This daily NBA betting article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player props each day. With OddsShopper, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment . Also, OddsShopper can find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Here are the six best bets for today’s nine game-slate.
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The teams are meeting for the last time this season. Philadelphia defeated New Orleans 117-97 in the season opener as the 76ers held the Pelicans to just 44 second-half points. Both teams were much healthier than they are now. Seth Curry will miss his third straight game due to ankle soreness, and Danny Green (hip) will miss his seventh consecutive contest, although Matisse Thybulle (shoulder sprain) could return for the 76ers after a five-game absence. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have declared eight players out, including starters Devonte’ Graham (left ankle soreness), Josh Hart (left ankle sprain), Brandon Ingram (right ankle sprain), and Jonas Valanciunas (rest).
It was going to be a tough road for the Pelicans to cover the spread if they were healthy, as Philadelphia has been playing superb basketball for the past month even though they stumbled a couple of times in the past week. The 76ers are 8-3 with a plus-7.3 scoring margin in 2022 and have won 12 of 16 overall. A big reason for the Sixers’ good form is improved offensive efficiency (114.7 offensive rating since Jan. 1), better shooting (54.6% EFG), and Joel Embiid. Embiid has led the team in scoring in each of the last 16 contests, averaging 33.8 points on 55.3% shooting from the field while also making over nine free throws at an 82% clip in January.
The way Embiid has been playing, it was going to take a gigantic effort on the offensive end from Valanciunas and Ingram to be competitive. But watch out now. Granted, New Orleans has played decent basketball over the last two months, but the Pelicans are just 1-6 with no days off with a minus-9.6 scoring margin. Moreover, the Pelicans have only won two of their previous 10 games without Ingram, with five of the losses coming by double-digits. However, the Pelicans did pick up a win over a depleted Pacers team. Awesemo gives Philadelphia a 74% chance of winning the game.
The Celtics look good to pick up the victory here, but the point spread is a little too high, especially if De’Aaron Fox (ankle) can go. Fox missed the Kings’ 133-127 setback at Milwaukee on Saturday. Awesemo has the expected margin of victory for the Celtics at 5.9.
Sacramento is not in good form, having lost three straight and nine of 13. Only three of those losses were by double-digits, and the Celtics have struggled against teams with outstanding guards and a decent “big” this year. Plus, Boston has been one of the most inconsistent teams in the league, and Jaylen Brown has struggled shooting over the last 10. The Celtics are 7-5 in 2022, and they have lost their previous two games at TD Garden. OddsShopper gives the Kings a 57% chance of covering with an expected ROI of 13%.
This contest has an excellent chance of being a superb game as it features two of the league’s best defensive squads. Despite a few poor performances this month, Golden State has been ranked No. 1 in the NBA in defense all season. Still, the Warriors are holding teams to a league-worst 49.8 effective field goal percentage. They rank fourth in the league in opponent’s turnover percentage and fifth in defensive rebounding percentage. Golden State plays with league-average pace.
Meanwhile, the Mavericks like to play methodically and have stepped up their defense lately. Since Christmas, Dallas leads the NBA with a 101.7 defensive ranking, and it is even better (98.8) since the calendar turned to 2022. Since New Year’s Day, the Mavericks have limited their opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 47.8%. They have also rebounded the ball exceptionally well during this stretch, collecting 75.2% of all available rebounds on the defensive end. Moreover, the teams combined for just 181 points in their first meeting this season. The Warriors will not have Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala, while Klay Thompson is questionable. OddsShopper gives the under a 54% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 3%.
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Harris has hit the boards with renewed vigor over the last two games, his most during a two-game period in almost a month, as he grabbed 11 boards against the Spurs on Saturday. He has grabbed at least seven rebounds in seven of his last 10 outings while averaging 6.8 rebounds during this stretch overall. Moreover, Harris has rebounded the ball at Wells Fargo Arena this year and pulled down 12 boards in the first game against the Pelicans. He should have plenty of rebounding opportunities tonight as the Sixers have played well defensively and done a good job at keeping the opposition off the offensive glass. Harris is projected for 7.75 rebounds. OddsShopper gives the under a 66% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 29%.
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