Best NBA Bets Today: Free Betting Picks, Predictions & Player Props 3/11

Even though there were only two games on the NBA docket last night, the action was fantastic as the Warriors and Nets made major statements. Brooklyn whipped Philadelphia 129-100 as Kevin Durant posted a double-double with 25 points and 14 rebounds, while Seth Curry contributed 24 points and Kyrie Irving chipped in 22 points. Then in the nightcap, Stephen Curry pumped in 34 points to lead the Warriors to a 113-102 victory over the red hot Nuggets. It will be interesting to see what is in store in tonight’s 10-game slate headlined by the Cavaliers at the Heat and the Raptors at the Suns.

This daily NBA article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player prop bets today. With OddsShopper, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment . OddsShopper can find which sportsbooks offer the best prices for these prop bets. The following are the 10 best bets for tonight’s slate.

Best NBA Bets Today: Player Props & Expert Betting Picks

We are excited to announce the launch of our Premium Betting Picks subscription! Click the link to subscribe and join our Betting Picks Discord channel. Each day, Alex “Awesemo” Baker, Ben Rasa, and Steve “da Coltz” Buzzard use Awesemo’s industry-leading projection models to identify the best potential ROI situations and provide catered snapshot betting analysis in an actionable timeframe.

Until March 17, you can get a discount on these best bets when you use coupon LetMeSeeThosePicks at checkout, which will get you full access for only $15. Now is the time to get a Premium Betting Picks subscription, just in time for March Madness.

Pistons Spread (+14.5) Over Celtics

Detroit continues to play its best basketball of the season thanks to improved offensive production. The Pistons are 5-3 over their last eight games since the All-Star break, including winning two of three on the road. They have shot 45.3% from the field and made 11.1 3-pointers a game at a 34.4% clip, while also hauling in over 13 offensive caroms a game over this stretch. Cade Cunningham, Jerami Grant, Saddiq Bey and Marvin Bagley have all shot the ball well and each has put up more than 15 points a game in the second half of the season. The Pistons enter the game banged up, especially in the backcourt, as Hamidou Diallo, Killian Hayes, Frank Jackson and Rodney McGruder join Isaiah Stewart on the sidelines.

Boston has played some spectacular basketball in 2022. The Celtics have the second-best record in the league since New Year’s (23-8), and they have won four straight, as well as six of seven since the All-Star break. The Celtics have been highly efficient on the offensive end (120.5 offensive rating) over their last seven games, but they have been surprisingly less than stellar on the defensive end (111.9 rating).

The Celtics lead the season series 2-1 and should win this game, with Awesemo giving them nearly a 90% chance of picking up the W. The best bet is to go with Detroit to cover. The point spread has increased by a point since the morning line. The Pistons beat the Celtics 112-111 in Boston on February 26, and neither of their two setbacks have been by double-figures. Moreover, the Celtics winning margin since the All-Star break has been 7.6 (or 9.6 at home), and their six victories during this period have been by less an average of fewer than 13 points. Meanwhile, the Pistons have been outscored by a half-point and six points on the road since Feb. 23. The last time Detroit has been involved in a double-digit game was one month ago.

Grizzlies Spread (-9) Over Knicks; Under 229 Points

The point spread has dropped a half-point since the morning line. Memphis has been up-and-down over the last eight games, as they have split those contests. Defensive effort has been key for the Grizzlies over this stretch, as the games they have shown up on that end of the floor they have coasted. In the games they have not, the Grizzlies took the loss. Memphis has been one of the best teams at home (22-10, +8.6 scoring margin) and has dominated teams with a sub. 500 record, posting an average winning margin over 10 points. The Grizzlies have also been involved in the most double-digit games in the league, and they have the third-most wins in those contests (24). Plus, Ja Morant and the Grizzlies’ backcourt has been excellent over the last 10 games.

New York has won three straight, and they have played pretty well in each of their last four contests. Before the recent stretch, the Knicks had lost 17 of 20, with nine of those setbacks by double-digits, so it will be interesting to see what team will show up. They have demonstrated that they can be a quality defensive team when engaged. The Knicks remain shorthanded in the backcourt, which could be a problem, as they have given up the fourth-most points to opposing guards over the last 10 games.

While Awesemo gives the Grizzlies a 77% of winning the game, the projections like the under with 225 points forecasted in this matchup. Since the All-Star break, both teams have struggled on the offensive end while ranking in the top-10 in defensive efficiency. New York has posted an effective field goal percentage of 52.3% and a defensive effective field goal percentage of 51.2%. Similarly, Memphis has an effective field goal percentage of 51.4% and a defensive field goal percentage of 52.8%. OddsShopper gives the under a 56% chance of occurring with an expected ROI of 7%.

Hornets Moneyline (-140) Over Pelicans

Charlotte is just 3-4 since the All-Star break, but they have faced some stiff competition with all four of the losses coming against some of the top teams in the Eastern Conference. But the Hornets can really score the ball, which could be an issue for the Pelicans, who have lost three straight. New Orleans will be without C.J. McCollum and Brandon Ingram. The Pelicans are 2-14 on the season without Ingram.

The Latest Sports Betting Content from Stokastic Odds

Nicolas Batum Over 8.5 Points

Batum has not shot the ball particularly well in the second half of the season, but he did score 17 points against the Warriors on Tuesday and has knocked down at least two triples in three of his last four outings. Batum scored 10 points in the Clippers’ first meeting against the Hawks. Opposing small forwards have had much success against Atlanta over the last 10 games, compiling over 24 points a game while shooting 50.3% from the field and 40.9% from the 3-point line. Batum is projected for 10.98 points. OddsShopper gives the over a 67% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 28%.

Julius Randle Under 24.5 Points

Randle has scored the ball very well since the start of February, as he has attempted eight free throws a game during this stretch. He has topped the 20-point mark in 11 of those 15 appearances, including tossing in 46 points against Sacramento on Monday. However, the point total seems a tad too high against a Memphis team that has defended decently well since the All-Star break. Plus, Randle only had 18 points against the Grizzlies in the squad’s first meeting of the season. Moreover, Memphis has given up the fewest points in the league to opposing power forwards over the last 10 games. Randle is projected for 21.70 points. OddsShopper gives the under a 64% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 16%.

Other Top Bets & NBA Picks Today

Heat vs. Cavaliers Under 211
Mavericks vs. Rockets Under 225.5 Points
Suns Spread (-5.0) Over Raptors
Clippers Spread (+7.0) Over Hawks; Under 227.5 Points
Ivica Zubac Over 10.5 Points

Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!