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FREE EXPERT UFC VEGAS 51 PICKS: Best MMA Bets for Luque vs. Muhammad 2 | Saturday 4/16/22

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After an explosive pay per view, the UFC heads back to the Apex, for UFC Vegas 51 with a rematch of an UFC 205 prelim in Vincente Luque vs. Belal Muhammad. Now, this fight is essentially a title eliminator with both fighters being highly ranked welterweights. There are a lot of massive favorites on the moneylines, which are only good for UFC parlay building blocks. Eight of the 13 fights have a moneyline favorite of -180 or wider, and there are four fights that are -400 or wider. However, as you know, betting props in MMA is an excellent way to make money. This gives bettors multiple ways to bet when making their UFC picks tonight. As always when shopping for the best UFC betting odds and lines, make sure to use OddsShopper to find the top odds at various sportsbooks. It is easily the best sports betting tool when it comes to shopping for the top ROI odds for the fights, and it will save bettors a lot of money in the long run. Below are the top UFC picks tonight when filling out a betting card. Let’s dig into some of the best UFC Vegas 51 predictions, picks and best bets for UFC Vegas 51: Luque vs Muhammad 2.

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Expert UFC Vegas 51 Picks, Predictions & Best Bets

Devin Clark vs. William Knight

In a battle of unranked light heavyweights, Devin Clark will look to crack the top 15 when he takes on William Knight. Clark has gone 5-5 in his last 10 fights in the UFC and four of them have come by finish. However, three of the four losses are against fighters who have fought for the championship; and the other, Ryan Spann, is ranked 13th in the world. Clark has fought elite competition, so this fight with Knight is clearly a step down. Knight has a ton of power but he does not utilize it very well. Knight is 3-2 in his UFC career and all but one has gone to decision. He is most dangerous in the first round, as he has explosive power, but recently Clark has faced heavy power punchers and has shown very good durability, most notably against Alonzo Menifield. He took some heavy shots in the first round, survived, and got a decision by winning Rounds 2 and 3. Look for a similar style of fight here. Knight will be live for a finish in the first round, but if the fight extends into the later rounds, look for Clark to take over with a wrestling heavy approach and grind out rounds. Clark’s last five UFC victories have come via decision, and if you favor Clark to win, betting him by decision is a good prop. However, with the odds of the fights as a whole to go to decision at -135, that is the bet to make.

Best UFC Betting Pick: Clark/Knight Fight Goes to Decision -135 (DraftKings)


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Vincente Luque vs. Belal Muhammad

In a rematch of their fight in November 2016, Vincente Luque will take on Belal Muhammad. It is really tough to take away anything from their first fight almost six years ago, as Luque won by first-round knockout. Since that night, both fighters have fought in the UFC 11 times each and both have grown as fighters. This fight also has higher stakes as they are ranked the No. 5 and No. 6 welterweights, respectively. The winner will probably be one fight away from a title shot and the loser will have to regroup and go on another winning streak. In terms of the actual fight, Luque should have the advantage almost everywhere. He is a better, more technical striker with more power, and he also is a much better submission grappler. The are two spots where Muhammad will be better. The first is wrestling, and Luque does not have the best takedown defense, which could be a concern since Muhammad will be shooting for takedowns. The other area where Muhammad will have an advantage is cardio. I am not sure how much that will come into play and we have seen both fighters go the distance on multiple occasions. Honestly, its hard not to favor Luque in this fight, his only loss in his past 10 fights was to Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson and it was because he just could not find the range. Thompson is a very awkward fight for anyone. So while betting a finish prop on Luque would get you much better odds, Muhammad hasn’t been finished since their first fight and has shown to be quite durable during that stretch, so it is very possible we see the scorecards in this fight.

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Best UFC Betting Pick: Luque -170 (DraftKings)


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