Digging into UFC Vegas 29, a number of UFC picks stand out as strong values ahead of this weekend’s card. Awesemo’s OddsShopper tool is a crucial key to maximizing profits in these betting markets. Finding the best odds, let’s get into the UFC betting picks and predictions for this Korean Zombie vs. Ige on Saturday, June 19, 2021.
MMA Betting Picks, Odds & Predictions: UFC Vegas 29: Korean Zombie vs. IgeÂ
Virna Jandiroba -130 (William Hill)
Starting right away with the women’s strawweight division, Virna Jandiroba has interesting advantages over Kanako Murata. After opening at -150, the line curiously continues to move away from Jandiroba. She last fought Mackenzie Dern in December of 2020. Now sitting at 2-2 in the UFC, Jandiroba has submission victories over Mallory Martin and Felice Herrig. On Saturday’s card, she draws Murata entering her second fight. Murata comes from a Judo and wrestling background handled Rando Markos in her UFC debut. Both fighters love to shoot takedowns. Jandiroba lands 3.16 per bout to Murata’s 4.00. However, Jandiroba’s jiu-jitsu is the X-factor in this fight. Jandiroba has 13 professional wins by submission. An accomplished grappler, she also has wins over Amanda Nunes in pure grappling affairs. While Murata likes to use her wrestling to bring fights to the mat, Jandiroba is just as dangerous off her back. With strength of schedule and experience also favoring Jandiroba, backing her at -130 is the sharp bet here. For those looking for better odds, Jandiroba’s submission prop sits at +290. Murata’s only professional loss came via submission.
The Latest Sports Betting Content from Stokastic Odds
- BetMGM North Carolina Pre-Registration: $200 in Bonus Bets Awaiting You When Sports Betting Launches
- Bet365 North Carolina Pre-Registration: Get $100 in Bonus Bets Before March 11
- DraftKings North Carolina Pre-Registration: Up to $300 in Bonus Bets for NC Launch on March 11!
- FanDuel North Carolina Pre-Registration: Grab $300 in Bonus Bets Between Now and March 11!
- Bet365 Louisiana Bonus Code: Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets!
- Stokastic DFS on Youtube
Josh Parisian -135 (PointsBet)
An interesting low-level heavyweight fight, Josh Parisian takes on Roque Martinez in Saturday’s prelims. After two knockout victories on Dana White’s Contender Series, Parisian dropped his UFC debut to Parker Porter. However, he has a number of advantages over Martinez here. Already 0-2 in the UFC, Martinez has a negative striking ratio in the UFC. He absorbs 4.68 significant strikes for every 2.67 strikes landed and could struggle with Parisian’s forward pressure. One of the more aggressive strikers in the division, Parisian lands 7.46 significant strikes per minute. He also has a six-inch height and seven-inch reach advantage over Martinez. With this fight projected to play out on the feet, these size advantages should benefit Parisian. Parisian hasn’t displayed any sort of takedown ability, and Martinez defends takedowns at a 16% rate. Even if Parisian doesn’t excel in this area, Martinez’s poor takedown defense could provide Parisian an avenue to win rounds. At just -135, take Parisian’s physical and tactical advantages here.
Matthew Semelsberger +125 (PointsBet)
Two fighters making their debut in 2020, Matthew Semelsberger faces Khaos Williams in an interesting clash of styles. Williams relies primarily on his powerful striking, with six of 11 wins coming by knockout. Each of his two UFC wins came by knockout in 30 seconds or less. While Williams’ power presents a constant danger, Semelsberger looks like a particularly tough draw. He utilizes his cardio to his advantage and lands 7.93 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.31. Still, these strikes absorbed come more from his aggression than his poor defense. Semelsberger actually has 56% striking defense through two UFC fights. Conversely, Williams defends strikes at 44%, creating potential openings for Semelsberger. On the ground Semelsberger averages 1.97 takedowns per bout. Williams has only faced a pair of takedown attempts, but he failed to defend either against Michel Pereira. While Williams showed solid scrambling ability, his lack of takedown awareness creates another avenue for Semelsberger to win rounds. Semelsberger will have to dodge Williams knockout power, but getting a +125 underdog with a distinct path to victory is a sharp UFC betting pick to make.
Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!
Check out Stokastic's Best Bets home page for more sports betting picks and predictions.
