Week 10 Monday Night Football NFL Picks + Odds Boosts To Watch | Bears vs Vikings

Odds boosts are exactly that: promotions from sportsbooks that move lines in your favor on certain bets. Many of them are prop bets, hoping you’ll put a few dollars on someone to hit a home run or a certain team to score a specific number of goals. Our job is to highlight some of those odds boosts and give you the best NFL prop bets and picks to wager on, after all, it is not always smart to simply buy into the NFL odds the sportsbooks are selling. We scour the internet trying to find the best odds boosts for you every day from every sport. Today, we are going to dissect the Week 10 Monday Night Football game between a pair of NFC North rivals in the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears.

What makes this matchup between the Bears and Vikings so difficult is the fact neither offense lends itself to good odds boosts. The Bears have just been a mess on offense and rank 30th in both yards gained and points scored this season. The Vikings have a good offense, but the Bears defense is much better than the stats would suggest, especially when it comes to keeping teams out of the end zone. These odds boost boil down to a question of how effective Dalvin Cook can be against a team he’s historically struggled against and how efficient Kirk Cousins can be against this strong pass rush.

Ben Rasa's Bet of the Day Awesemo's sports betting expert Ben Rasa pours over the day's betting lines and breaks down the best bet of the day for you to build your sports betting card around.

NFL Odds: Week 10 Monday Night Football Picks + Prop Bets

NFL Pick: Dalvin Cook Scores & Vikings Win (+130 DraftKings)

There was an odds boost around Cooks’ yardage for this game, but I felt very uncomfortable with the 100-yard marker set by BetMGM. Cook has totaled 86 yards on 34 carries in three games against the Bears in his career, which averages out to less than three yards per carry. He has looked very strong the past two weeks since returning from injury, but the Packers and Lions aren’t necessarily known for being stout run defenses like the Bears. Just last week, Derrick Henry had 68 yards on 21 carries against Chicago, and 26 of those came on just one run.

However, Cook is still a threat to score a touchdown tonight, especially if the Vikings are able to get into the red zone. Cook’s speed on the perimeter will be a problem for Chicago in tight spaces, especially if they have to concern themselves with some of the larger receivers the Vikings can flank on the outside. I came very close to suggesting the FanDuel wager that Cook will score at least two touchdowns for +330 odds. Cooks has scored six total touchdowns the last few weeks, and I don’t know if Chicago can keep him out of the end zone tonight.


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NFL Pick: Allen Robinson Scores Touchdown (+160 PointsBet)

There were several receiving-based odds boost for the Vikings receivers, but again, I couldn’t pull the trigger on them. The Bears have allowed the second-fewest passing touchdowns in the league this year, and Cousins’ connection with Adam Thielen has slowed down. Instead, I flipped the script on the Vikings’ 30th-ranked passing defense that has allowed 19 passing touchdowns, the second most in the NFL. Chicago will be throwing a lot in the second half once it falls behind, which means plenty of targets for Robinson.

Foles has focused so much attention on Robinson this season, and the receiver has mostly delivered for the Bears. He’s only caught three touchdowns, a byproduct of the inconsistent quarterback play more than anything else, but he’s always going to have chances to make plays himself. He already has 57 catches in nine games this season, and he is the main weapon for Chicago’s offense when attacking Minnesota’s vulnerability. Robinson has the best chance of any of the receivers listed on either team to score a touchdown tonight.

NFL Pick: Kirk Cousins & Nick Foles Throw Interception (+295 DraftKings)

Cousins threw at least one interception in five of his first six games of the season, but has gone two weeks without a pick. Of course, he’s only had to throw the ball 34 combined times over the past two weeks as Cook literally carried the Vikings to victories, so it makes sense that he hasn’t been picked off. Chicago isn’t known for its interceptions this season, but Cousins will need to throw the ball a bit more tonight when the Bears commit themselves to stopping the run. The more times Cousins has to put the ball in the air, the more likely it seems the other team will come down with it. Chicago doesn’t have a lot of interceptions this season, but Kyle Fuller and Eddie Jackson are both very capable of making a big play for this defense.

As for Foles, last week was the first time all season he didn’t throw an interception despite throwing a season-high 52 times. He’s been defined by his mistakes this year, more so than his successes, and Minnesota has a defense capable of forcing those miscues from the quarterback. In particular, outside linebacker Eric Wilson has three of Minnesota’s six interceptions this season, and Foles is the type of quarterback who would miss a linebacker in zone coverage and make a bad pass. It is the little things that have given Foles so much trouble this season, so I expect he’ll make a mistake tonight as he has in almost every other game.


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