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Week 11 Sunday NFL Picks + NFL Odds Boosts To Watch | Taysom Hill, Dalvin Cook + Justin Herbert

Josh Walfish



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When it comes to NFL betting, there is often few better wagers to gamble on than NFL odds boosts. They are bets that are exactly what they sound like: promotions from sportsbooks that move the odds in your favor on certain bets. Most of them are the specific prop bets that you might be searching for by yourself, and oftentimes the odds are fairly enticing. Rarely can you make a lot of money on these bets because of limits, but our job is to highlight the best NFL prop bets and NFL picks to wager on every weeks. We scour the internet trying to find the best NFL odds boosts for you every day from every sport. Today, we’re going to delve into the plethora of odds boosts on the market for the Week 11 Sunday slate.

This weekend features plenty of interesting games, but not many interesting odds boosts. There are plenty of props on the market, but the value isn’t nearly as good as it normally is this weekend. But that doesn’t mean there aren’t worthy bets for you to consider for Sunday’s slate. There was obviously going to be some sportsbook that put an odds boost out on Taysom Hill, so we’ll dissect what to expect from the New Orleans Saints starter. We also look at the most explosive running back on November, Dalvin Cook, and how Justin Herbert matches up with the New York Jets. We end with a look at Mike Evans and how effective he could be this weekend for Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

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Week 11 Sunday NFL Picks + Odds Boosts

NFL Picks: Taysom Hill Passing & Rushing Touchdown (+200 DraftKings)

It will be fascinating to see how the Saints adapt their offense to Hill’s skill set this week. Hill has been used in limited packages as a receiver and runner, but it remains to be seen how that can expand into an entire gameplan for New Orleans. Atlanta has faced the fewest rushes on any team in the NFL, which is why it ranks sixth in rushing yards allowed, but the Falcons are 12th in yards per carry allowed. We’ve never seen New Orleans use a lot of run-pass options or designed quarterback runs, so it will be interesting to see how often Sean Payton uses those plays.

The play calling will be important because Atlanta has allowed at least 300 yards passing in eight of their nine games this season. No one has really seen Hill pass in the NFL, considering he has just 18 career passing attempts and has never thrown more than two times in a single game. Both of those things will likely change against the Falcons, so Hill will rely on his receivers to help him get into an early rhythm. The Saints have too many weapons in the passing game for Hill not to find a way to throw at least one touchdown pass. Hill is also too good of a rusher for the Saints not to use his athleticism in the red zone, giving him a good chance at a rushing touchdown.

NFL Picks: Dalvin Cook & Ezekiel Elliott 157.5+ Combined Rushing Yards (+105 DraftKings)

We could almost ignore Elliott entirely for this wager because there’s a decent chance Cook can carry this bet by himself. He ran for 163 yards against the Packers three weeks ago then ran for 206 against Detroit two weeks ago. Chicago held him to 96 yards, but the Dallas defense is nowhere near as talented or tough as the Bears unit. Minnesota has ridden Cook the last three weeks since he returned from injury, and that shouldn’t change this week. The Cowboys rank 31st in rushing defense and 30th in yards per attempt, which is not good places to be when facing Cook.

Elliott has not been the running back many expected him to be this season, but he’s still averaging about 64 yards per game this season. If he won’t need to rush for 100 yards in order to win this bet assuming Cook stays healthy, and any yardage he can add will only help finish this bet earlier. The Vikings are in the middle of the league in terms of rushing defense, so the chances will be there for Elliott to help balance the Cowboys offense in Andy Dalton‘s return to the field.

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NFL Picks: Justin Herbert 3+ Passing Touchdowns (+110 PointsBet)

Herbert has thrown for multiple touchdowns the last six games, though he’s thrown just two the last two weeks. However, he is facing a Jets defense that has struggled against the pass this season, as New York ranks 29th in passing yards allowed. The Jets have really been hit or miss the past four games, holding Buffalo and New England without a passing touchdown but gave up five to Kansas City and three to Miami. The five allowed to Kansas City seems far more typical of the Jets defense than holding a passing-inept Patriots offense without a touchdown pass.

The Chargers offense has become far more pass heavy in recent weeks as the running back room has dealt with some injuries. Herbert has found ways to spread around the passes beyond just Keenan Allen and Hunter Henry, though both are still a large part of the offense. Mike Williams has excelled as a deep threat as well with 17 yards per catch, and Jalen Guyton has done well with his extended playing time with a season-high six targets last week. Combined, the plethora of weapons at Herbert’s disposal with the Jets’ defensive struggles make this look like a good bet.

NFL Odds & Picks: Mike Evans Receiving Touchdown (+140 PointsBet)

The Rams will be a tough test for the Buccaneers this week, with how well Los Angeles’ defense has played the past few weeks. Los Angles ranks second in both points and yards allowed, but for the purposes of this bet, the Rams have allowed the fewest passing touchdowns in the league. The Rams have just one fewer interception (eight) than touchdowns allowed through the air, and that will challenge Tampa Bay’s passing attack.

But if Tampa Bay is going to score a passing touchdown, it will likely be Evans on the receiving end. He has caught a touchdown in seven of the Buccaneers’ 10 games this season, and he’s clearly developed a strong rapport with Brady. Evans has at least seven targets in six games this season, including a season-high 11 last week against Carolina. Evans is a strong red-zone threat at 6-foot-5 and 230 pounds, and he is a deep threat as well for the Buccaneers, so he can score in almost situation.

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