When it comes to NFL betting, there are often few better wagers to gamble on than NFL odds boosts. They are bets that are exactly what they sound like: Promotions from sportsbooks that move the odds in your favor on certain bets. Most of them are the specific prop bets that you might be searching for by yourself, and oftentimes the odds are fairly enticing. Rarely can you make a lot of money on these bets because of limits, but our job is to highlight the best NFL prop bets and NFL picks to wager on every weeks. We scoured the internet trying to find the best Week 17 NFL odds boosts for you every day from every sportsbook. It’s the season-finale version of odds boosts as all 32 teams are in action Sunday to close out the 2020 regular season.
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The end of the 2020 NFL regular season is finally upon us, which means chaos is bound to ensue Sunday. Several teams are either completely resting starters or limiting the reps of their key players this weekend, so many of the usual suspects are missing from the NFL odds boosts market. As a result, there are slim pickings on the player pool, but plenty of interesting odds boosts that normally aren’t offered. This includes a pair of defensive odds boosts featuring two of the best defensive linemen in the league. One is for Browns defensive end Myles Garrett against the Steeler backups, and the other is J.J. Watt facing off with the Titans. There are also several odds boosts about how the results Sunday will impact the playoff picture, and we’ll focus in on the AFC South race between the Colts and Titans.
Week 17 Sunday NFL Odds Boosts
NFL Odds & Picks: Myles Garrett More Sacks than Mason Rudolph Touchdowns (+250 PointsBet)
These two players obviously have a bit of history with each other, but that is besides the point for the purposes of this bet. Garrett has only gone three games this season without at least half a sack, and he might be in for a big day against the Steelers’ backups. The Browns are going to need a big performance from its defense without a few key contributors, and no one will feel that pressure more than Garrett. As much as Pittsburgh has dropped back to pass this season, the Steelers have only allowed 13 sacks, including one in each of the last three games. Garrett likely won’t see the top Steelers offensive line, though, so he should be able to put a lot of pressure on Rudolph often. If he continues to play at the same level he has all season for Cleveland, he’ll get Rudolph on the ground at least once or twice in this game.
Meanwhile, Rudolph will see a reduction in weapons to attack a vulnerable Browns secondary that will be missing Denzel Ward for the game. This week might also be a good time for Pittsburgh to try to re-discover its rushing attack, which would take away scoring chances from Rudolph in the passing game. Pittsburgh is clearly sending a message that health is more important than seed, so I expect a conservative game plan from the Steelers. That will mean fewer chances for Garrett to sack the quarterback, of course, but I have more faith in Garrett getting pressure on Rudolph when the Steelers decide to throw than Rudolph delivering those throws for touchdowns. Ben Roethlisberger was struggling to score consistently with the first-string offense over the last month, so it will be even more of a challenge for Rudolph, who was mediocre in eight starts last year after Roethlisberger’s injury.
NFL Odds & Picks: J.J. Watt 4+ Combined Tackles (+250 FanDuel)
No player outside the playoff picture will be as motivated to play well Sunday as Watt. He went viral last Sunday for his impassioned rant about being a professional football player, and Watt isn’t the type of player to try to protect himself this week. He’s going to attack the Titans and their offensive line with the same ferocity as if this was a Week 1 game, and that’s already a big boost for the Texans. I would expect the Titans to run the ball a lot with Derrick Henry, which means it will give Watt some chances to accumulate some tackles as a run stopper by getting in on the gang tackles. The bigger concern for Tennessee, though, should be a motivated Watt charging through the line to disrupt the passing game.
Watt has just one sack in his last seven games and just five on the season, but he has a quarterback hit in each of his last five games. He is getting to the quarterback regularly still and he’s close enough to taste the sack several times. Since Tennessee lost Taylor Lewan to injury, the teams with great pass rushers have had success at getting to Ryan Tannehill. The Titans have only allowed 22 sacks this season, but the five teams to have multiple sacks against Tennessee since Lewan’s injury all had elite pass rushers, while those that recorded just one sack did not. Watt certainly qualifies as an elite pass rusher, and he’s due to have a big game to close out this season and build some momentum for the Texas into a critical offseason for the franchise.
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NFL Odds & Picks: Indianapolis Colts Win AFC South (+360 DraftKings)
In order for this to occur, Indianapolis needs to beat Jacksonville and Tennessee must lose in Houston to close out the season Sunday. We’ll start with what should be the easy part, and that is the Colts beating the Jaguars. There is a bit of apprehension because Jacksonville began the season by beating Indianapolis at home, but the Jaguars have proceeded to lose their next 14 games to secure the No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. The Colts have put themselves into position to win the division, but the loss to Jacksonville and last week’s loss to Pittsburgh are ones they would like to have back. Indianapolis had won five of six heading into that Steelers game, and the Colts outplayed the Steelers for the first three quarters. That gives me confidence they should be able to take care of Jacksonville with the knowledge that the Colts must win to give themselves a chance at the playoffs.
The other side of this equation is tricky because it requires Tennessee to lose in Houston. Outside of the dud in Chicago a few weeks ago, the Texans have been very competitive in their eight games since their off week. Houston has won three times and lost four games by a touchdown or less, including a pair of tight losses to the Colts. Tennessee and Houston had to go to overtime to decide the first meeting of the season back in Week 6, and the Texans have a weapon that Tennessee will struggle to slow down in Deshaun Watson. The Houston quarterback has thrown for 300 yards in five of his last six games and now faces a Titans defense that ranks 28th against the pass and has allowed the third-most touchdown passes in the league. This Watson-led offense can match Henry’s rushing capability and keep up in a shootout, which will put pressure on Tannehill to make enough plays to win. I’d bet on Watson over Tannehill in a shootout.
Also in this category of wagers is DraftKings’ odds boost on the Bears making the playoffs at 8-8 listed at +315 odds. That will happen if Green Bay beats Chicago and the Rams beat Arizona on Sunday, which seems like a real possibility. Without Jared Goff in the lineup, the Rams are going to simplify the offense, and that may benefit John Wolford against the Cardinals. Arizona is going to send out an injured Kyler Murray, and it will be interesting to see how a banged-up Murray will look against this Rams defense. Meanwhile, Green Bay must win to secure the first-round bye, so it makes sense for the Packers to try to play to win then maybe try to rest guys late if the victory is well in hand.
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