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Expert Olympic PGA DFS Picks & Stats This Week for DraftKings & FanDuel | Monday, July 26, 2021

Jason Rouslin



Free expert PGA DFS Picks Olympics DraftKings FanDUel THis week COllin Morikawa Patrick Reed stats data form fantasy golf

Having a variety of viewpoints and data points can be both a curse and a blessing. In this article, I sift through all of the data and give you top picks from all four statistical angles that make up PGA DFS. This week the PGA Tour takes a break from the massive fields and brutal cut sweats, and there are a guaranteed four rounds from all of the golfers. The Tokyo Olympics will have 59 or 60 golfers, depending on a replacement for Jon Rahm. PGA DFS contests on DraftKings and FanDuel are big and with a limited field, so diversifying among some unpopular names will be important.

Also, there is no Course History this week.

PGA DFS Picks This Week: The 2020 Tokyo Olympics

Of the 59 golfers teeing it up, only Udayan Mane of India does not have a recorded start in the last 11 weeks. Every other golfer competing has at least three starts.

Recent Form

The incredible form of Mito Pereira continues to roll on, as he added his sixth top-10 in the last 12 weeks. It was his second straight on the PGA Tour, and it seems his career is just getting started. Speaking of a career that is just getting going, Collin Morikawa’s rise to superstardom has been fast and furious, as he added his second major in just his first few years on tour. He is also playing great golf, adding three other top010s in the past 11 weeks. Only Hurly Long of Germany, playing on the Challenge Tour, has four or more top-10s over the past three months. Kristian Krogh Johannessen of Norway also has three top-10s and six top-25s in his last seven starts on the Challenge Tour.

Paul Casey is joined by Abraham Ancer and Jhonattan Vegas of the PGA Tour and Guido Migliozzi of the European Tour with three top-10s in the past three months. Ten others have multiple top-10s, including Shane Lowry, Xander Schauffele, Viktor Hovland and Rory McIlroy.

Negative Recent Form

Gavin Green of Malaysia needs the motivation of putting on his country’s colors, as he has missed six of his seven cuts over the past three months. Sebastian Munoz of Venezuela has been great when he has made the cut, coming in the top five twice and adds in five missed cuts. Luckily this week, the golfers are guaranteed four rounds. Others like Sami Valmiki, Rory Sabbatini, Maximilian Kieffer, Romain Langasque and Jazz Janewattananond have all missed four cuts and have no top-10s.

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Recent Form

  1. Collin Morikawa ($11,200)
  2. Paul Casey ($9,500)
  3. Jhonattan Vegas ($7,400)
  4. Mito Pereira ($7,200)

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Strokes Gained

Going through the pictures of this tree-lined course, it seems as though driving will be on the easier side. It should be a first and second-shot golf course, as the green complexes and length are where it seems to get tricky. I have also compiled the corresponding stat for the European Tour and added them in to the mix this week.

Strokes Gained Tee to Green

  1. Collin Morikawa
  2. Ryan Fox
  3. Justin Thomas
  4. Matthias Schwab
  5. Paul Casey
  6. Thomas Pieters
  7. Viktor Hovland
  8. Rory McIlroy
  9. Xander Schauffele
  10. Corey Conners

Strokes Gained Off Tee

  1. Jhonattan Vegas
  2. Thomas Pieters
  3. Viktor Hovland
  4. Antoine Rozner
  5. Adrian Meronk
  6. Rory McIlroy
  7. Corey Conners
  8. Joaquin Niemann
  9. Sungjae Im
  10. Xander Schauffele
  11. Guido Migliozzi

Strokes Gained on Approach

  1. Collin Morikawa
  2. Paul Casey
  3. Justin Thomas
  4. Fabrizio Zanotti
  5. Corey Conners
  6. Matthias Schwab
  7. Hideki Matsuyama
  8. Xander Schauffele
  9. Viktor Hovland
  10. Rasmus Hojgaard

Strokes Gained Around Green

  1. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
  2. Tommy Fleetwood
  3. Justin Thomas
  4. Ryan Fox
  5. Patrick Reed
  6. Shane Lowry
  7. Matthias Schwab
  8. Si Woo Kim
  9. Ashun Wu
  10. Paul Casey
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Strokes Gained Putting

  1. Garrick Higgo
  2. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
  3. Sami Valimaki
  4. Patrick Reed
  5. Adri Arnaus
  6. Xander Schauffele
  7. Cameron Smith
  8. Kalle Samooja
  9. Joaquin Niemann
  10. Mackenzie Hughes

For the yearly strokes gained ranks, Click here.

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Strokes Gained

  1. Viktor Hovland ($9,900)
  2. Corey Conners ($8,800)
  3. Antoine Rozner ($7,600)
  4. Ryan Fox ($6,900)

Old School Statistics

There will be a heavier emphasis on ball striking this week, as the course will yield plenty of birdie looks with quality shots on the first two. I will take a look at some of the stats that both the PGA and European Tours collect.

Greens in Regulation

  1. Collin Morikawa
  2. Fabrizio Zanotti
  3. Rasmus Hojgaard
  4. Matthias Schwab
  5. Guido Migliozzi
  6. Corey Conners
  7. Antoine Rozner
  8. Xander Schauffele
  9. Garrick Higgo
  10. Sungjae Im

Driving Distance

  1. Rory McIlroy
  2. Ryan Fox
  3. Xander Schauffele
  4. Jhonattan Vegas
  5. Joaquin Niemann
  6. Garrick Higgo
  7. Carlos Ortiz
  8. Viktor Hovland
  9. Justin Thomas
  10. Thomas Pieters


  1. Ashun Wu
  2. Abraham Ancer
  3. Thomas Pieters
  4. Si Woo Kim
  5. Patrick Reed
  6. Guido Migliozzi
  7. Justin Thomas
  8. Maximilian Kieffer
  9. Sungjae Im
  10. Matthias Schwab

Awesemo's Top Golfer Tool is an Ace

Since golf performances are largely uncorrelated between one golfer and the next, aside from weather impacts, a good way to view a PGA DFS lineup is as a parlay, where you have to hit all 6 picks to hit. The Awesemo Top Golfer Tool gives you the probabilities that each golfer will finish top 6, as well as their 25%, 50%,and 75% results as a benchmark for how you can expect each golfer to perform at the tournament.

Birdie or Better

  1. Collin Morikawa
  2. Xander Schauffele
  3. Justin Thomas
  4. Viktor Hovland
  5. Cameron Smith
  6. Garrick Higgo
  7. Adri Arnaus
  8. Rory McIlroy
  9. Ryan Fox
  10. Kalle Samooja

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Statistical Analysis

  1. Joaquin Niemann ($9,200)
  2. Guido Migliozzi ($8,400)
  3. Garrick Higgo ($8,300)
  4. Thomas Pieters ($8,100)

Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!

Looking for more PGA DFS picks for this week and PGA DFS picks for today? The DraftKings PGA DFS projections, the FanDuel DFS PGA showdown projections and the DFS PGA ownership projections for today are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world. FanDuel PGA DFS rankings will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament.

Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now two years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of James as well as two Labradors (Choco and Bella) and he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, or somewhere hopefully lost in nature with his dogs guiding him along the way. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing [email protected].

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