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RSM Classic Data & Stats | PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

Jason Rouslin

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PGA DFS Picks DraftKings FanDuel RSM Classic today this week free expert projections lineups optimal optimizer ownership rankings Webb Simpson Corey Conners data deep dive

Having a variety of viewpoints and data points can be both a curse and a blessing. This column will sift through all the data and top picks from the four statistical angles that make up PGA DFS. The swing season finishes this week in beautiful Sea Island, Ga. This year the tournament is sponsored by RSM and will again be played at Sea Island resort on its two courses, the Plantation Course and Seaside Course. The purpose of this DFS golf article is to take an in-depth look at the stats to focus on for the week when making PGA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel.

PGA DFS Data Deep Dive | The RSM Classic

Since becoming a full-time member, Scottie Scheffler has done everything but win on the PGA Tour, including shooting 59 in a playoff event last year. He has been close to that elusive first victory in each of the previous two weeks, coming in fourth down in Mexico and falling just short last week at the Houston Open after holding the lead for a long time in the final round. Scheffler is one of just a few golfers in the field that has two top-10s and at least four top-25s over the last 12 weeks. Talor Gooch is the only other golfer in that category. However, neither of them has as many top-10s as Sahith Theegala and Hayden Buckley. Each has three in the last 12 weeks, but neither has played well over the last three weeks.

If looking for consistency with golfers that have made the cut in every start over the last 11 weeks, then there are plenty to choose from, with 19 golfers making every cut. Some of those names include Cameron Smith, Russell Henley, Alex Noren, Adam Scott, Mackenzie Hughes, Joel Dahmen, Henrik Norlander, Corey Conners and Louis Oosthuizen.

Negative Recent Form

Matt Wallace has had an interesting few months, as a stretch of two starts yielded a fourth and a 14th, but outside of that it has been five missed cuts. Only he, Curtis Thompson and J.T. Poston have that in the last 12 weeks. Joseph Bramlett and David Lipsky have missed three straight cuts.

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PGA DFS Picks Based on Recent Form

  1. Scottie Scheffler ($10,900)
  2. Alex Noren ($9,500)
  3. Talor Gooch ($9,300)
  4. Danny Lee ($7,700)
  5. Alex Smalley ($7,100)
  6. Vincent Whaley ($6,600)

Course History at Sea Island Resort

While the tournament setup uses all 36 holes on this property, the format of the tournament has remained the same since its inception. As such, there is a full dataset to work with when analyzing course history.

With close to 20 golfers or more competing that make their permanent residence on the Island, the home theme will be plentiful this week. An interesting theme with these golfers, however, is they have a bit of feast or famine, especially Kevin Kisner and Zach Johnson. Each of them has three top-10s in the last five years, but the other two starts resulted in two missed cuts for Kisner, and one missed cut and a one 60th place finish for Johnson. Six other golfers have had multiple top-10s here since 2016, including Webb Simpson, Patrick Rodgers, Henrik Norlander, Andrew Landry, Camilo Villegas and Vaughn Taylor.

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Norlander is the only golfer other than Corey Conners to have made the cut in all four of his starts here since 2016. Conners is 3-for-3.

PGA DFS Picks Based on Course History

  1. Webb Simpson ($10,700)
  2. Kevin Kisner (($9,500)
  3. Mackenzie Hughes ($7,900)
  4. Henrik Norlander ($7,300)
  5. Kyle Stanley ($7,100)
  6. Zach Johnson ($6,900)

Strokes Gained

A year’s worth of data should clearly indicate where golfers excel and where they struggle. For perspective, the average number of strokes gained for each stat has been added. Each week this column will also include the most important stat for the week and the top 10 rankings based on the average strokes gained from those stats.

Strokes Gained Tee to Green

  1. Keegan Bradley (1.348)
  2. Corey Conners (1.15)
  3. Russell Henley (0.926)
  4. Doug Ghim (0.909)
  5. Scottie Scheffler (0.909)
  6. Luke List (0.892)
  7. Seamus Power (0.845)
  8. Louis Oosthuizen (0.835)
  9. Webb Simpson (0.818)
  10. Jhonattan Vegas (0.817)

Strokes Gained Off the Tee

  1. Jhonattan Vegas (0.647)
  2. Corey Conners (0.625)
  3. Keith Mitchell (0.57)
  4. Luke List (0.557)
  5. Joaquin Niemann (0.556)
  6. Scottie Scheffler (0.515)
  7. Charles Howell III (0.505)
  8. Jason Day (0.442)
  9. Emiliano Grillo (0.368)
  10. Jim Herman (0.336)

Strokes Gained on Approach

  1. Keegan Bradley (0.856)
  2. Russell Henley (0.831)
  3. Corey Conners (0.698)
  4. Matthew NeSmith (0.683)
  5. Emiliano Grillo (0.669)
  6. Kyle Stanley (0.55)
  7. Russell Knox (0.522)
  8. Doug Ghim (0.516)
  9. Chez Reavie (0.505)
  10. Henrik Norlander (0.468)

Strokes Gained Around the Green

  1. Seamus Power (0.44)
  2. Louis Oosthuizen (0.353)
  3. Webb Simpson (0.353)
  4. Brian Harman (0.334)
  5. Jason Day (0.312)
  6. Dylan Frittelli (0.312)
  7. Camilo Villegas (0.31)
  8. Matt Jones (0.305)
  9. Wyndham Clark (0.29)
  10. Chris Kirk (0.269)

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Strokes Gained Putting

  1. Louis Oosthuizen (0.764)
  2. J.T. Poston (0.706)
  3. Zach Johnson (0.667)
  4. Brendon Todd (0.62)
  5. Cameron Smith (0.573)
  6. Chesson Hadley (0.552)
  7. Harris English (0.544)
  8. Alex Noren (0.538)
  9. Mackenzie Hughes (0.483)
  10. Adam Scott (0.475)

Strokes Gained on the Green and on Approach

  1. Louis Oosthuizen (1.223)
  2. Cameron Smith (0.864)
  3. Russell Henley (0.856)
  4. Adam Scott (0.831)
  5. Webb Simpson (0.828)
  6. Lanto Griffin (0.778)
  7. Hank Lebioda (0.763)
  8. Zach Johnson (0.752)
  9. Corey Conners (0.69)
  10. Harris English (0.669)

For the yearly strokes gained ranks, Click here.

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Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Strokes Gained

  1. Louis Oosthuizen ($10,400)
  2. Cameron Smith ($10,000)
  3. Joaquin Niemann ($9,700)
  4. Lanto Griffin ($7,300)
  5. Patton Kizzire ($7,100)
  6. Hank Lebioda ($6,600)

Old School Statistics

Proximity

  1. Justin Rose
  2. Keegan Bradley
  3. Nick Hardy
  4. Vaughn Taylor
  5. Tom Hoge
  6. Tyler Duncan
  7. Russell Knox
  8. Emiliano Grillo
  9. Mito Pereira
  10. Joel Dahmen

Good Drive Percentage

  1. Kevin Kisner
  2. Louis Oosthuizen
  3. Lucas Glover
  4. Corey Conners
  5. Webb Simpson
  6. Lee Hodges
  7. Hayden Buckley
  8. Jim Herman
  9. Brian Harman
  10. Seth Reeves

Putting Outside 20 feet

  1. Webb Simpson
  2. Justin Rose
  3. Patrick Rodgers
  4. Andrew Putnam
  5. Scott Piercy
  6. Lucas Glover
  7. Denny McCarthy
  8. Joel Dahmen
  9. Adam Scott
  10. Corey Conners

Birdie or Better

  1. Scottie Scheffler
  2. Cameron Young
  3. Davis Thompson
  4. Cameron Smith
  5. Webb Simpson
  6. Corey Conners
  7. Danny Lee
  8. Russell Henley
  9. Talor Gooch
  10. Max Homa

Par 4 400-450 yards

  1. Tyler Duncan
  2. Keegan Bradley
  3. Davis Thompson
  4. Adam Scott
  5. Patrick Rodgers
  6. Kevin Kisner
  7. Russell Henley
  8. Mito Pereira
  9. Alex Noren
  10. Chris Kirk

Approach Proximity 125-150 Yards

  1. Russell Henley
  2. Cameron Smith
  3. Corey Conners
  4. Kyle Stanley
  5. Branden Grace
  6. Chez Reavie
  7. Camilo Villegas
  8. Seamus Power
  9. Adam Scott
  10. Chris Kirk

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Statistical Analysis

  1. Corey Conners ($9,900)
  2. Russell Henley ($9,600)
  3. Adam Scott ($9,000)
  4. Seamus Power ($8,200)
  5. Lucas Glover ($7,000)
  6. Hayden Buckley ($7,300)

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The DraftKings PGA DFS projections for this week, the DraftKings PGA DFS showdown projections for today and the DFS PGA ownership projections for FanDuel are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world. Yahoo! PGA DFS rankings will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament. Looking for more DFS PGA stats and the best PGA DFS advice?

Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now two years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of James as well as two Labradors (Choco and Bella) and he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at Awesemo.com. In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, or somewhere hopefully lost in nature with his dogs guiding him along the way. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing [email protected].

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