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The First Cut: The Olympics PGA DFS Picks & Preview for DraftKings & FanDuel Fantasy Golf Lineups

Jason Rouslin

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PGA DFS Picks DraftKings FanDuel Shriners Open free expert advice tips strategy fantasy golf Viktor Hovland Brooks Koepka optimal lineup optimizer data deep dive expert stats data projections rankings ownership percentages tournament leverage

While it is not an ideal start to a week that was built up to be big for the game, the golf world has been ravaged by COVID-19 yet again. Both Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm were scheduled to leave for Tokyo on Sunday night, but both tested positive for COVID-19 on their last test before leaving Saturday Night. It is a big blow to lose the reigning U.S. Open Champion and another massive name like DeChambeau. But have no fears; Patrick Reed was third on the alternate list.

After Brooks Koepka and Patrick Cantlay declined to go, Reed seized the day and will be heading to Tokyo in a few hours. He was eligible since he ranks in the top 15 in the world. PGA DFS contests are another reason to get excited this week, as DraftKings has provided $200,000 as a first-place prize.

In case you are just joining us and trying out PGA DFS for the first time, here is what you can expect to see in this article:

  • Tournament and Format
  • Course Commentary
  • Course Facts and Figures
  • PGA DFS Course Summary and Statistical Comparison
  • PGA DFS Preview, including sweat sheet
  • Player Preview

The Olympics PGA DFS Preview and Picks

This is the second time golf will be part of the Olympics, but this time it has a much stronger field. Even with the COVID-forced withdrawals, 18 of the world’s top 50 golfers are competing. The field is headlined by local favorite Hideki Matsuyama and a strong American contingent, so there is sure to be a bit of buzz around the event.

Kasumigaseki Country Club

This week’s course, Kasumigaseki Country Club, was built all the way back in the 1920s and then redesigned by Tom Fazio five years ago. It has all bentgrass greens and is a par 71 measuring roughly 7,400 yards. Much like the course used for the Zozo Championship, it is perfectly very well maintained. With narrow tree-lined fairways with shaped holes, it should set up for a great venue. For more on the course, check out this video attached to this tweet:

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Par and Yardage

  • Par 71: 7,400 yards

Hole Dispersion

  • Four Par 3’s: 237, 217, 189, 203
  • 11 Par 4’s: 411, 381, 459, 386, 521, 461, 499, 498, 403, 343, 500
  • Three Par 5’s: 640, 586, 632

Grass Type

  • Bentgrass

Designer

  • Tom Fazio Redesign

Latest PGA DFS Content


PGA DFS Sweat Sheet and Slate Preview for the Olympics

Sweat Sheet

The Zozo Championship played at Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club, and that will be the comparison course this week. Since that course is about 400 yards shorter and a par 70, scores will be adjusted by about 10% on the harder side.

The average score at the end of the tournament projects to be roughly 3.5 under par, with the winning score coming in around -13 or -14. There are five par 4’s that are all short by PGA Tour standards and should yield a wedge or shorter on all of them. However, par 3’s and par 5’s are long and will present challenges for the golfers. That should even out the scores and provide a solid scoring event.

Olympics PGA DFS Player Preview

Even though Rahm and DeChambeau are out, the field is still packed with talent. Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas and Reed lead a powerful American team. They are the only nation with four golfers who qualify, all being ranked inside the top 15 in the world. Viktor Hovland, Tommy Fleetwood, Shane Lowry, Rory McIlroy and Paul Casey give Europe a strong representation as well.

The international side is also well represented, as Matsuyama is joined by Joaquin Niemann, Sungjae Im, Corey Conners, Cameron Smith, Marc Leishman, Thomas Pieters and Thomas Detry.


Awesemo's Top Golfer Tool is an Ace

Since golf performances are largely uncorrelated between one golfer and the next, aside from weather impacts, a good way to view a PGA DFS lineup is as a parlay, where you have to hit all 6 picks to hit. The Awesemo Top Golfer Tool gives you the probabilities that each golfer will finish top 6, as well as their 25%, 50%,and 75% results as a benchmark for how you can expect each golfer to perform at the tournament.

Olympics Qualifiers

  1. Adri Arnaus ($6,600): Arnaus is currently enjoying his fourth season on the European Tour, currently ranked 62nd. He has had three top-10s, including a tie for fourth at the Canary Island Championship. In his first two years on tour he ranked fourth and 34th in strokes gained off the tee, which has always his strong suit. However, his putter was not, ranking 144th and 152nd. But those stats have flipped this year, as he ranks 111th in strokes gained off the tee and ninth in strokes gained putting. If his putter can stay hot and the ball striking returns, he is someone to put on the radar.
  2. Antoine Rozner($7,600): Representing France, Rozner is having his best season on the European Tour. He won the Qatar Masters back in March, and since then he has added another three top-20s and is on a string of five made cuts. He has risen all the way to 87th in the world and has a chance to make a splash on the world’s stage.
  3. Mito Pereira($7,200): Pereira blasted through the Korn Ferry Tour this year, winning three times in the “super season.” He also finished in the top 20 four other times. He had his first top-five on the PGA Tour at the Barbasol Championship, coming in a tie for fifth. Then he added another good finish at the 3M Open this past week tieing for 6th. He may just be getting on gamers’ radars and could be a nice piece in PGA DFS lineups this week.

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The FanDuel DFS PGA projections, the PGA DFS showdown projections and the PGA DFS ownership projections for this week are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world. Yahoo! PGA DFS rankings for today will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament. Looking for more DFS PGA picks today and the best PGA DFS picks?

Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now two years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of James as well as two Labradors (Choco and Bella) and he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at Awesemo.com. In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, or somewhere hopefully lost in nature with his dogs guiding him along the way. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing [email protected].

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