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PGA One and Done: Expert PGA Golf Picks This Week for the WGC Dell Match Play 2022

Ben Rasa



After a string of tournaments in Florida, the PGA Tour takes a breather with a WGC event on the schedule. It heads to Austin Country Club in Texas for what is one of, if not the most unique event of the year. Taking a page out of March Madness, the tour sets up a 64-man bracket with match play being the format. Each player will have to emerge from his group of four to have a shot at taking down this event. It’s an awkward event for One and Done, but there are a ton of high-end players to choose from.

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PGA One and Done Picks: 2022 WGC Match Play

What is a One and Done Pool?

A One and Done pool has some similarities with NFL survivor pools except that players cannot be eliminated early for making a poor pick. Each week players have to select one golfer, and their prize money earned that week become points for the player. The same player cannot be used twice, just like an NFL survivor contest, so strategy and knowing when to save a top-tier player can make the difference. At the end of the season, the team with the most cumulative earning earns a strong payoff. Pools will pay several spots, depending on it is size, similar to a GPP structure from DFS golf.

Valspar Championship One and Done Recap

Matthew Fitzpatrick

The setup for Matthew Fitzpatrick was solid at Valspar, as his game is well suited to tackle that course. In addition, he was coming off a missed cut at the Players, which had some people hesitant to go back to him. However, he tied for fifth, which was good enough for $300,000. It’s not the $1.4 million that Sam Burns got for winning the event, but it is still a solid result from Fitzpatrick.

Jason Day

The Valspar isn’t a usual stop during the PGA Tour season for Jason Day, and after last week it is clear why. Day wasn’t able to find the weekend and just couldn’t get much going on Thursday or Friday. A missed cut is always disappointing in One and Done, but the opportunity cost was minimal with a guy like Day at a smaller event like Valspar. Those who played Day will have to find a spot or two to make up that lost money, as a lot of people rostered Fitzpatrick or Thomas and they finished near the top of the leaderboard.

Paul Casey

Paul Casey decided to withdraw from Valspar after the grueling Players Championship. Fortunately, he gave plenty of notice, so there was time to adjust and pivot to someone else. Casey is back in action, and his withdrawal seemed like just a maintenance week after that difficult Monday round at Sawgrass.

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2022 WGC Match Play PGA One and Done Picks

Viktor Hovland

A lot of people are likely saving Hovland for major season, and that is an understandable gameplan. He is primed to get in contention at the biggest events, but he is also interesting as a play here when most people might look elsewhere. Hovland’s form is in perfect shape, with his off-tee game being among the best in the world. His group is more than manageable with Will Zalatoris, Cameron Tringale and Sepp Straka, none of whom present a huge threat to Hovland. If he can get out of the group stage, that’s a significant boost in payout and keeps him alive for a seven-figure payday if he makes a run.

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Alex Noren

Alex Noren has been one of the most consistent players on tour over the past month, and he is turning out quality results each week. Noren finished just outside the top 10 last week at Valspar, and his ball striking is in good shape. Now he joins Louis Oosthuizen, Paul Casey and Corey Conners in a group that is the widest open in the entire bracket. With WGCs offering a guaranteed payout just for being in the field, it is worthwhile to take some risks with guys who will not be popular One and Done choices this week, and Noren qualifies.

Joaquin Niemann

Joaquin Niemann won a month ago at the Genesis, and he is a talented young gun who is live to win even bigger events in 2022 and possibly contend at something like this Match Play WGC. Niemann’s around-the-green game can be suspect, but his overall play is in solid shape and he should dominate his group tee to green. He is joined by Kevin Na, Russell Henley and Maverick McNealy, which makes this one of the easier groups to navigate. If Niemann gets off to a hot start, he should find himself in the top 16, and then anything can happen in this high-variance tournament.

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WGC Match Play One and Done Pick: Viktor Hovland

After a disappointing result last week, the play is to go to the top of the board with Hovland. He is among the favorites to win this event at 14-1, and the crazy format could deter some people from reaching for the elite players. Although saving Hovland for majors would be great, there is still plenty of top-end talent available for those opportunities. Hovland has the skillset and game to compete each week on tour, and this is a solid opportunity for those willing to use him early in the season.

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The PGA DFS projections for FanDuel, the FanDuel DFS PGA showdown projections for today and the DFS PGA ownership projections are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world. DraftKings PGA DFS rankings will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament. Looking for more DFS PGA picks and DFS PGA lineups?

*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing [email protected].

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