PGA Weather Splits
In PGA tournaments, golfers almost always tee up once in the morning and once in the afternoon in the first two rounds – either Thursday morning and Friday Afternoon or vice-versa. In general conditions for golfing are better earlier in the day, so this is done to give each golfer the best chance at even conditions. But wind can make a huge impact on PGA tournaments with what golfers get the better weather for their rounds. That difference can be even more significant for bets and DFS contests involving a single round. Since weather forecasts can predict wind intensity fairly accurately, we can use this information to gain an edge with our bets.
In this table we show what the average wind conditions are forecasted to be for each round, and how we expect that to impact a golfer’s score on average. SG_Weather stands for shots gained weather and represents the average number of strokes advantage a golfer has relative to other golfers. These are weighted for the tournament’s average conditions so each golfer’s SG_Weather averages out to zero. R1avg and R2avg are the average wind speeds expected for that golfer’s round. And the R1 and R2 Strokes Gained columns break down the impact on each individual round.
Tee times for Round 1 aren’t known until Tuesday evening and will be updated by Wednesday morning. Tee times for rounds 3 and 4 are determined after the conclusions of Rounds 2 and 3, we will update the weather impacts for those rounds after the conclusions of the previous round.
Key:
- SG_Weather: Represents the average number of strokes a golfer will gain or lose in a given round relative to other golfers, due to weather.
- R1avg: Average wind speeds predicted for Round 1 for that golfers round
- R2avg: Average wind speeds predicted for Round 2 for that golfers round
PGA Weather
Name | DK Salary | SG_Weather | R1TeeTime | R2TeeTime | r1avg | r2avg | R1StrokesGained | R2StrokesGained |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Name | DK Salary | SG_Weather | R1TeeTime | R2TeeTime | r1avg | r2avg | R1StrokesGained | R2StrokesGained |
Patrick Cantlay | 11,200 | 0.10 | 8.7 | 14.1 | 6.1 | 14.2 | 0.40 | -0.30 |
Xander Schauffele | 11,200 | 0.10 | 8.7 | 14.1 | 6.1 | 14.2 | 0.40 | -0.30 |
Rory McIlroy | 10,700 | -0.06 | 13.7 | 9.9 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
Shane Lowry | 10,700 | -0.06 | 13.7 | 9.9 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
Sahith Theegala | 10,300 | 0.10 | 8.7 | 14.1 | 6.1 | 14.2 | 0.40 | -0.30 |
Will Zalatoris | 10,300 | 0.10 | 8.7 | 14.1 | 6.1 | 14.2 | 0.40 | -0.30 |
Collin Morikawa | 10,000 | -0.06 | 13.7 | 9.9 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
Kurt Kitayama | 10,000 | -0.06 | 13.7 | 9.9 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
Matt Fitzpatrick | 9,700 | -0.10 | 14.2 | 10.3 | 10.6 | 13.2 | 0.08 | -0.18 |
Alex Fitzpatrick | 9,700 | -0.10 | 14.2 | 10.3 | 10.6 | 13.2 | 0.08 | -0.18 |
Corey Conners | 9,500 | 0.07 | 9.3 | 14.7 | 7.0 | 14.1 | 0.35 | -0.29 |
Taylor Pendrith | 9,500 | 0.07 | 9.3 | 14.7 | 7.0 | 14.1 | 0.35 | -0.29 |
Tom Hoge | 9,400 | 0.08 | 9.1 | 14.5 | 6.6 | 14.1 | 0.37 | -0.29 |
Maverick McNealy | 9,400 | 0.08 | 9.1 | 14.5 | 6.6 | 14.1 | 0.37 | -0.29 |
Nick Taylor | 9,200 | -0.08 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 13.1 | 0.09 | -0.17 |
Adam Hadwin | 9,200 | -0.08 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 13.1 | 0.09 | -0.17 |
Nicolai Hojgaard | 9,100 | -0.21 | 14.2 | 14.5 | 10.6 | 14.1 | 0.08 | -0.29 |
Rasmus Hojgaard | 9,100 | -0.21 | 14.2 | 14.5 | 10.6 | 14.1 | 0.08 | -0.29 |
Brice Garnett | 9,000 | 0.09 | 8.9 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 14.1 | 0.39 | -0.29 |
Sepp Straka | 9,000 | 0.09 | 8.9 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 14.1 | 0.39 | -0.29 |
Billy Horschel | 8,900 | -0.08 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 13.1 | 0.09 | -0.17 |
Tyson Alexander | 8,900 | -0.08 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 13.1 | 0.09 | -0.17 |
Keith Mitchell | 8,800 | -0.05 | 13.5 | 9.7 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.11 | -0.15 |
Joel Dahmen | 8,800 | -0.05 | 13.5 | 9.7 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.11 | -0.15 |
Taylor Montgomery | 8,700 | 0.11 | 8.4 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 14.2 | 0.41 | -0.30 |
Ben Griffin | 8,700 | 0.11 | 8.4 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 14.2 | 0.41 | -0.30 |
Beau Hossler | 8,600 | -0.03 | 13.3 | 9.5 | 10.3 | 12.8 | 0.12 | -0.14 |
Sam Ryder | 8,600 | -0.03 | 13.3 | 9.5 | 10.3 | 12.8 | 0.12 | -0.14 |
Thomas Detry | 8,500 | 0.11 | 8.4 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 14.2 | 0.41 | -0.30 |
Robert Macintyre | 8,500 | 0.11 | 8.4 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 14.2 | 0.41 | -0.30 |
Aaron Rai | 8,400 | -0.03 | 13.3 | 9.5 | 10.3 | 12.8 | 0.12 | -0.14 |
David Lipsky | 8,400 | -0.03 | 13.3 | 9.5 | 10.3 | 12.8 | 0.12 | -0.14 |
Doug Ghim | 8,300 | 0.11 | 8.4 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 14.2 | 0.41 | -0.30 |
Chan Kim | 8,300 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 9.3 | 10.1 | 12.7 | 0.13 | -0.13 |
Daniel Berger | 8,200 | 0.06 | 9.5 | 14.9 | 7.2 | 14.0 | 0.34 | -0.28 |
Victor Perez | 8,200 | 0.06 | 9.5 | 14.9 | 7.2 | 14.0 | 0.34 | -0.28 |
Davis Thompson | 8,100 | 0.14 | 8.0 | 13.6 | 5.1 | 14.2 | 0.45 | -0.30 |
Andrew Novak | 8,100 | 0.14 | 8.0 | 13.6 | 5.1 | 14.2 | 0.45 | -0.30 |
Andrew Putnam | 8,000 | 0.06 | 9.5 | 14.9 | 7.2 | 14.0 | 0.34 | -0.28 |
Joe Highsmith | 8,000 | 0.06 | 9.5 | 14.9 | 7.2 | 14.0 | 0.34 | -0.28 |
Garrick Higgo | 8,000 | 0.13 | 8.2 | 13.8 | 5.5 | 14.2 | 0.43 | -0.30 |
Ryan Fox | 8,000 | 0.13 | 8.2 | 13.8 | 5.5 | 14.2 | 0.43 | -0.30 |
Austin Eckroat | 7,900 | -0.05 | 13.5 | 9.7 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.11 | -0.15 |
Chris Gotterup | 7,900 | -0.05 | 13.5 | 9.7 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.11 | -0.15 |
Matt Wallace | 7,900 | -0.06 | 13.7 | 9.9 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
Thorbjorn Olesen | 7,900 | -0.06 | 13.7 | 9.9 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
Kevin Yu | 7,800 | 0.13 | 8.2 | 13.8 | 5.5 | 14.2 | 0.43 | -0.30 |
C.T. Pan | 7,800 | 0.13 | 8.2 | 13.8 | 5.5 | 14.2 | 0.43 | -0.30 |
Gary Woodland | 7,800 | -0.11 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 10.7 | 13.3 | 0.08 | -0.19 |
Lee Hodges | 7,800 | -0.11 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 10.7 | 13.3 | 0.08 | -0.19 |
Taylor Moore | 7,700 | 0.09 | 8.9 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 14.1 | 0.39 | -0.29 |
Matthew NeSmith | 7,700 | 0.09 | 8.9 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 14.1 | 0.39 | -0.29 |
Luke List | 7,700 | 0.07 | 9.3 | 14.7 | 7.0 | 14.1 | 0.35 | -0.29 |
Henrik Norlander | 7,700 | 0.07 | 9.3 | 14.7 | 7.0 | 14.1 | 0.35 | -0.29 |
Greyson Sigg | 7,600 | -0.14 | 14.8 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
Chesson Hadley | 7,600 | -0.14 | 14.8 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
Kyoung-Hoon Lee | 7,600 | -0.10 | 14.2 | 10.3 | 10.6 | 13.2 | 0.08 | -0.18 |
Michael Kim | 7,600 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 9.3 | 10.1 | 12.7 | 0.13 | -0.13 |
Matt Kuchar | 7,500 | 0.07 | 9.3 | 14.7 | 7.0 | 14.1 | 0.35 | -0.29 |
Steve Stricker | 7,500 | 0.07 | 9.3 | 14.7 | 7.0 | 14.1 | 0.35 | -0.29 |
Nick Hardy | 7,500 | 0.09 | 8.9 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 14.1 | 0.39 | -0.29 |
Davis Riley | 7,500 | 0.09 | 8.9 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 14.1 | 0.39 | -0.29 |
Harry Hall | 7,500 | -0.03 | 13.3 | 9.5 | 10.3 | 12.8 | 0.12 | -0.14 |
Scott Piercy | 7,500 | -0.03 | 13.3 | 9.5 | 10.3 | 12.8 | 0.12 | -0.14 |
Dylan Wu | 7,400 | 0.13 | 9.7 | 10.6 | 7.4 | 13.4 | 0.33 | -0.20 |
Justin Lower | 7,400 | -0.13 | 14.6 | 10.6 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.20 |
Carson Young | 7,400 | -0.11 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 10.7 | 13.3 | 0.08 | -0.19 |
Ben Martin | 7,400 | -0.11 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 10.7 | 13.3 | 0.08 | -0.19 |
Chandler Phillips | 7,400 | 0.05 | 9.7 | 15.1 | 7.4 | 14.0 | 0.33 | -0.28 |
Jacob Bridgeman | 7,400 | 0.05 | 9.7 | 15.1 | 7.4 | 14.0 | 0.33 | -0.28 |
Kevin Streelman | 7,300 | -0.13 | 14.6 | 10.6 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.20 |
Martin Laird | 7,300 | -0.13 | 14.6 | 10.6 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.20 |
Nate Lashley | 7,300 | -0.11 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 10.7 | 13.3 | 0.08 | -0.19 |
Rafael Campos | 7,300 | -0.11 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 10.7 | 13.3 | 0.08 | -0.19 |
Vincent Norrman | 7,300 | -0.14 | 14.8 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
Jorge Campillo | 7,300 | -0.14 | 14.8 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
Nicolas Echavarria | 7,200 | 0.08 | 9.1 | 14.5 | 6.6 | 14.1 | 0.37 | -0.29 |
Max Greyserman | 7,200 | 0.08 | 9.1 | 14.5 | 6.6 | 14.1 | 0.37 | -0.29 |
Alex Smalley | 7,200 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 9.3 | 10.1 | 12.7 | 0.13 | -0.13 |
Matti Schmid | 7,200 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 9.3 | 10.1 | 12.7 | 0.13 | -0.13 |
Ben Silverman | 7,200 | -0.15 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 13.5 | 0.06 | -0.21 |
Kevin Dougherty | 7,200 | -0.15 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 13.5 | 0.06 | -0.21 |
Zach Johnson | 7,100 | -0.08 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 13.1 | 0.09 | -0.17 |
Ryan Palmer | 7,100 | -0.08 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 13.1 | 0.09 | -0.17 |
Chad Ramey | 7,100 | 0.10 | 8.7 | 14.1 | 6.1 | 14.2 | 0.40 | -0.30 |
Martin Trainer | 7,100 | 0.10 | 8.7 | 14.1 | 6.1 | 14.2 | 0.40 | -0.30 |
Thriston Lawrence | 7,100 | 0.04 | 10.0 | 15.2 | 7.6 | 13.9 | 0.31 | -0.27 |
Aldrich Potgieter | 7,100 | 0.04 | 10.0 | 15.2 | 7.6 | 13.9 | 0.31 | -0.27 |
Carl Yuan | 7,000 | 0.11 | 8.4 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 14.2 | 0.41 | -0.30 |
Zecheng Dou | 7,000 | 0.11 | 8.4 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 14.2 | 0.41 | -0.30 |
Ryan Brehm | 7,000 | 0.10 | 8.7 | 14.1 | 6.1 | 14.2 | 0.40 | -0.30 |
Mark Hubbard | 7,000 | 0.10 | 8.7 | 14.1 | 6.1 | 14.2 | 0.40 | -0.30 |
Erik Barnes | 7,000 | 0.05 | 9.7 | 15.1 | 7.4 | 14.0 | 0.33 | -0.28 |
Harrison Endycott | 7,000 | 0.05 | 9.7 | 15.1 | 7.4 | 14.0 | 0.33 | -0.28 |
Jhonattan Vegas | 6,900 | 0.13 | 8.2 | 13.8 | 5.5 | 14.2 | 0.43 | -0.30 |
Bronson Burgoon | 6,900 | 0.13 | 8.2 | 13.8 | 5.5 | 14.2 | 0.43 | -0.30 |
Justin Suh | 6,900 | 0.05 | 9.7 | 15.1 | 7.4 | 14.0 | 0.33 | -0.28 |
Rico Hoey | 6,900 | 0.05 | 9.7 | 15.1 | 7.4 | 14.0 | 0.33 | -0.28 |
Ben Kohles | 6,900 | 0.06 | 9.5 | 14.9 | 7.2 | 14.0 | 0.34 | -0.28 |
Patton Kizzire | 6,900 | 0.06 | 9.5 | 14.9 | 7.2 | 14.0 | 0.34 | -0.28 |
Peter Malnati | 6,800 | -0.10 | 14.2 | 10.3 | 10.6 | 13.2 | 0.08 | -0.18 |
Russell Knox | 6,800 | -0.10 | 14.2 | 10.3 | 10.6 | 13.2 | 0.08 | -0.18 |
Cameron Champ | 6,800 | 0.08 | 9.1 | 14.5 | 6.6 | 14.1 | 0.37 | -0.29 |
MJ Daffue | 6,800 | 0.08 | 9.1 | 14.5 | 6.6 | 14.1 | 0.37 | -0.29 |
Sam Stevens | 6,800 | 0.13 | 8.2 | 13.8 | 5.5 | 14.2 | 0.43 | -0.30 |
Paul Barjon | 6,800 | 0.13 | 8.2 | 13.8 | 5.5 | 14.2 | 0.43 | -0.30 |
Mac Meissner | 6,700 | 0.04 | 10.0 | 15.2 | 7.6 | 13.9 | 0.31 | -0.27 |
Austin Smotherman | 6,700 | 0.04 | 10.0 | 15.2 | 7.6 | 13.9 | 0.31 | -0.27 |
Hayden Springer | 6,700 | -0.15 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 13.5 | 0.06 | -0.21 |
Tom Whitney | 6,700 | -0.15 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 13.5 | 0.06 | -0.21 |
Seonghyeon Kim | 6,700 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 9.3 | 10.1 | 12.7 | 0.13 | -0.13 |
Sang-Moon Bae | 6,700 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 9.3 | 10.1 | 12.7 | 0.13 | -0.13 |
Eric Cole | 6,600 | -0.08 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 13.1 | 0.09 | -0.17 |
Russ Cochran | 6,600 | -0.08 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 13.1 | 0.09 | -0.17 |
J.J. Spaun | 6,600 | 0.09 | 8.9 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 14.1 | 0.39 | -0.29 |
Hayden Buckley | 6,600 | 0.09 | 8.9 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 14.1 | 0.39 | -0.29 |
Parker Coody | 6,600 | -0.15 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 13.5 | 0.06 | -0.21 |
Pierceson Coody | 6,600 | -0.15 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 13.5 | 0.06 | -0.21 |
Troy Merritt | 6,600 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 9.3 | 10.1 | 12.7 | 0.13 | -0.13 |
Robert Streb | 6,600 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 9.3 | 10.1 | 12.7 | 0.13 | -0.13 |
Jimmy Stanger | 6,500 | 0.04 | 10.0 | 15.2 | 7.6 | 13.9 | 0.31 | -0.27 |
Adrien Dumont De Chassart | 6,500 | 0.04 | 10.0 | 15.2 | 7.6 | 13.9 | 0.31 | -0.27 |
Vince Whaley | 6,500 | 0.14 | 8.0 | 13.6 | 5.1 | 14.2 | 0.45 | -0.30 |
Adam Long | 6,500 | 0.14 | 8.0 | 13.6 | 5.1 | 14.2 | 0.45 | -0.30 |
Kelly Kraft | 6,400 | 0.14 | 8.0 | 13.6 | 5.1 | 14.2 | 0.45 | -0.30 |
Kevin Tway | 6,400 | 0.14 | 8.0 | 13.6 | 5.1 | 14.2 | 0.45 | -0.30 |
Robby Shelton | 6,400 | -0.14 | 14.8 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
Wilson Furr | 6,400 | -0.14 | 14.8 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
Callum Tarren | 6,400 | -0.03 | 13.3 | 9.5 | 10.3 | 12.8 | 0.12 | -0.14 |
David Skinns | 6,400 | -0.03 | 13.3 | 9.5 | 10.3 | 12.8 | 0.12 | -0.14 |
Zac Blair | 6,300 | 0.06 | 9.5 | 14.9 | 7.2 | 14.0 | 0.34 | -0.28 |
Patrick Fishburn | 6,300 | 0.06 | 9.5 | 14.9 | 7.2 | 14.0 | 0.34 | -0.28 |
Brandon Wu | 6,300 | 0.13 | 9.7 | 10.6 | 7.4 | 13.4 | 0.33 | -0.20 |
James Nicholas | 6,300 | 0.05 | 9.7 | 15.1 | 7.4 | 14.0 | 0.33 | -0.28 |
Ben Taylor | 6,300 | -0.08 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 13.1 | 0.09 | -0.17 |
Sean O'Hair | 6,300 | -0.13 | 14.6 | 10.6 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.20 |
Roger Sloan | 6,200 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 9.3 | 10.1 | 12.7 | 0.13 | -0.13 |
Josh Teater | 6,200 | 0.00 | 13.1 | 9.3 | 10.1 | 12.7 | 0.13 | -0.13 |
Francesco Molinari | 6,200 | -0.06 | 13.7 | 9.9 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
Luke Donald | 6,200 | -0.06 | 13.7 | 9.9 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
Charley Hoffman | 6,200 | 0.07 | 9.3 | 14.7 | 7.0 | 14.1 | 0.35 | -0.29 |
Nick Watney | 6,200 | 0.07 | 9.3 | 14.7 | 7.0 | 14.1 | 0.35 | -0.29 |
Alejandro Tosti | 6,100 | -0.05 | 13.5 | 9.7 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.11 | -0.15 |
Ted Potter Jr. | 6,100 | -0.19 | 13.5 | 14.0 | 10.4 | 14.2 | 0.11 | -0.30 |
Trace Crowe | 6,100 | -0.14 | 14.8 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
Harry Higgs | 6,100 | -0.14 | 14.8 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
Chez Reavie | 6,100 | -0.11 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 10.7 | 13.3 | 0.08 | -0.19 |
Brandt Snedeker | 6,100 | -0.11 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 10.7 | 13.3 | 0.08 | -0.19 |
Scott Gutschewski | 6,100 | -0.13 | 14.6 | 10.6 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.20 |
Jonathan Byrd | 6,100 | -0.13 | 14.6 | 10.6 | 10.8 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -0.20 |
Kevin Chappell | 6,000 | 0.14 | 8.0 | 13.6 | 5.1 | 14.2 | 0.45 | -0.30 |
Jason Dufner | 6,000 | 0.14 | 8.0 | 13.6 | 5.1 | 14.2 | 0.45 | -0.30 |
Norman Xiong | 6,000 | -0.15 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 13.5 | 0.06 | -0.21 |
Ryan McCormick | 6,000 | -0.15 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 13.5 | 0.06 | -0.21 |
Kevin Kisner | 6,000 | 0.08 | 9.1 | 14.5 | 6.6 | 14.1 | 0.37 | -0.29 |
Scott Brown | 6,000 | 0.08 | 9.1 | 14.5 | 6.6 | 14.1 | 0.37 | -0.29 |
Raul Pereda | 6,000 | -0.05 | 13.5 | 9.7 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 0.11 | -0.15 |