On paper, this looks like one of the more interesting slates. The LCK have the biggest favorite, but will people still flock to rostering LPL players? I’ll be providing some quick-hit analysis on all the matchups tonight as well as some of my favorite players on the slate.
March 25, 2020 LCK matchups
Game 1: Afreeca Freecs (AF) vs. Sandbox Gaming (SB)
Game 2: T1 (T1) vs. APK Prince (APK)
Game 3: Gen. G Esports (GEN) vs. Damwon Gaming (DWG)
March 25, 2020 LPL matchups
Game 1: Rogue Warriors (RW) vs. Dominus Esports (DOM)
Game 2: Suning (SN) vs. Team WE (WE)
Game 3: Vici Gaming (VG) vs. LGD Gaming (LGD)
Here are the players used by the LCK teams last time they played. It is unlikely to get much starting lineup news before lock.
AF should be able to handle SB, but who will start for AF? They seemingly like playing anybody at any time, and they’re a good but inconsistent team because they really don’t have a set starting roster. SB are 2-7 while also having played nine players to this point. One thing they have is one of the best top laners in the league in Summit, but he didn’t play in their last series so he’s a risk. If he does play, he’s also matching up against Kiin from AF who is a beast. AF should be able to win this series, and this is one of the series I hope we get starting news from before lock.
If you asked me yesterday who would win this match I would have said RW pretty comfortably. It’s difficult to predict how the news that broke yesterday will affect the team. Currently, I’d probably guess this is a 3 game series that could go either way. DOM needs to hope for better performances from their starting mid laner xiye to allow them a shot at a victory. If RW are to win, it’s likely ZwuJi has a good performance, and the team as a whole plays without pressure.
Newly branded T1 should breeze against the team with the highest death total per game at 14 in APK. Greatest of all time Faker should exploit his mid lane matchup. Honestly, everybody on T1 should exploit their matchup. APK has started a multitude of players trying to figure out the right combination, and if APK has a chance at any success Flawless is going to need to show up for them.
SN and WE should provide a very entertaining series. Both teams average about 13 deaths per game, with SN averaging slightly more kills per game at 14.4. The two matchups I’d look at most are the junglers in SofM/beishang and the ADC huanfeng/jiumeng. Whichever teams pair can perform at a higher level should lead their team to victory. WE is very cheap on this slate, and with this being such a close betting matchup, I imagine this will be an easy place to find value if you need it.
GEN is coming off a comfortable victory over Griffin, and should be able to continue their winning ways tonight against DWG. Look for Ruler and Life to take advantage of a leaky DWG bot lane. DWG lost last night in a minor upset against KT, and if they threaten GEN, it’s probably because Nuguri or ShowMaker put their hard carry pants on. Keep an eye out for news if DWG decides to start ADC Ghost who they signed a month ago.
VG are still incredibly inconsistent. They tend to not play high kill games averaging only 9 per game, but maybe a matchup against 17.1 deaths per game LGD is what they need to turn on the kill switch. LGD loves playing high kill, crazy games. Jungler Peanut has a 75% KP while his team averages 14.5 kills per game. If LGD wins, they’ll likely pressure VG early and force them into a less familiar play style. I’m not sure if VG are the team to lull LGD into a slower paced match, and I like LGD to win a potentially tight series.
My favorite plays for the slate
ADC-Teddy. Playing alongside GOAT in Faker, Teddy has performed exceptionally this split. A 33.2% damage share and 76.7% KP combined with an exceptional matchup against APK make Teddy a great play.
JNG-Peanut. Peanut offers a ceiling most junglers don’t. If LGD aren’t lulled in by VG’s slower playstyle, Peanut will be a likely benefactor, as the play maker forces action across the map.
ADC-Ruler. You can get to GEN today, and while Ruler didn’t light the world on fire last night, he’s a super solid, well priced player on a team that should 2-0 their opponent.
Favorite contrarian play of the day
ADC-huanfeng. I spoke a little bit about needing to pick the right side of the matchup, and I think most people are going to see that WE is cheap and just smash them. Huanfeng is expensive, but if SN wins 2-0 he would likely be a big part of the reason for that.