NEST 2020 is here, and thankfully that means more LoL DFS during the offseason. It’s difficult to predict which of these LPL teams may or may not take it seriously, but I’m breaking down the NEST 2020 series nonetheless. I cannot stress enough how important it is to keep an eye out for starting lineup changes, as this could be a volatile event, and we might not know who starts until much later.
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November 11, 2020 NEST Matchups:
Bilibili Gaming (BLG) vs. Suning (SN)
FunPlus Phoenix (FPX) vs. eStar (ES)
LoL DFS Matchup Notes: NEST 2020 DraftKings Picks
BLG got smoked by RW in their opening series of this tournament, dying fifty four times, while procuring twenty nine kills. Perhaps unsurprisingly, Meteor was pretty solid in the RW series, whereas the other BLG regulars in Jinjiao and XinMo really looked unimpressive. They’re possibly switching up their roster today, as they added a bunch of new players to the BLG roster. Honestly how playable BLG is depends on who they run out. If they run out the same five guys they did against RW, they’re blandly exciting, however any new changes would merit further looking into, however LoL DFS players would already be familiar with FoFo and Wings.
This is not the same roster that just took second at Worlds 2020, as unlike a lot of teams, SN is fielding five completely new players. View is the most hyped prospect, and it’s easy to see why just by looking at his stats. His lowest kill participation (KP) in any LDL split was 2019 Summer where it was still an impressive 73.6%. Owo was the other player that got relegated to the LPL bench summer 2020, and he also has extremely solid looking numbers. Since owo didn’t play LDL in summer, this’ll be the first professional match Assum will play with him. Overall it’s difficult to love SN, but View is a legitimate prospect, and BLG has already dropped a series to RW, so I won’t be afraid to play SN, especially since they’re cheap. View is now listed as a top laner instead of JNG on DraftKings, so this is another weird wrinkle we might have to deal with during this tournament.
FPX won an interesting three game set over EDG last time out, where the longest game was just over thirty minutes. They netted fifty three kills over the three games, with forty seven coming in their victories. Lwx and Crisp are the leftovers from the normal roster here, and both performed exceptionally in their two wins. Insulator took a little while to heat up before exploding with thirteen kills in game three, and the other two players in xiao7 and youxin looked solid throughout the series. Even though they’re priced up likely due to the FPX brand, the organization has a World Championship title, and EDG was rostering a pretty strong lineup. Really when it comes down to it, Lwx is the player who likely shines most in a series win, making him very attractive LoL DFS wise.
We might be seeing the last of ES as an organization, as it seems that JTeam will be acquiring their LPL spot. What this means to the players on the roster now is difficult to know, but you could very easily envision this squad being extremely hungry to produce a good result, as Alu is the only new member from summer. ES is extremely affordable, and with FPX fielding not their full roster, it’s difficult to see how ES won’t be at least competitive here. I’m looking for Wei to outjungle youxin from FPX, which could assist ES in getting multiple lanes ahead. Overall, ES is exciting strictly from the fact that we’re pretty familiar with their players, and the fact that FPX is priced up probably due to their name.
Favorite LoL DFS play of the day
ADC-Lwx. On paper Lwx is the best player on this slate, and while I fully believe ES is capable of challenging, or beating FPX, it would be foolish of me to not like what I feel to be the best overall player on the slate.
Favorite LoL DFS contrarian play of the day
JNG-Wei. Honestly, ES feels too cheap, and I’m hoping we see players flock more toward the FPX name, making ES an overlooked quantity. Wei is very solid, and if ES goes all out, he should be a sparkplug in what could be an ES win.
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