In NBA DFS and daily fantasy basketball as a whole, it is not as simple as rostering who we think the best play is. We have to consider the odds each individual player has of going off or busting. Nobody is a sure thing. With the Awesemo NBA DFS Boom vs. Bust Tool, we have our own odds to help us navigate range of outcomes for NBA daily fantasy. These are some of the NBA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel that have the best NBA DFS projections of booming or busting according to our tool.
*Candidates written up in the morning, so boom/bust percentages may change throughout the day.
DraftKings + FanDuel Boom/Bust Projections | Jan. 26
NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Boom Candidates
DeMarcus Cousins vs. Wizards: $7,200/$6,000
78% DraftKings Boom/62.7% FanDuel Boom
Cousins is becoming a staple of this column. He is crushing with Christian Wood out, and his price hasn’t gone up enough. In three starts he’s averaging 44.83 DraftKings points in 29 minutes per game. Cousins’ playing time is trending up, and we should see him play over 30 minutes as long as he avoids foul trouble. Until Wood returns, Cousins is a core play for me.
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Marcus Morris vs. Hawks: $5,000/$4,700
26.8% DraftKings Boom/25.2% FanDuel Boom
As of noon, Morris is the best cheap play on the slate. The Clippers are the latest team to deal with a COVID issue, and it’s hitting the team extremely hard. Both Kawhi Leonard and Paul George are in the health-and-safety protocols and will not play tonight. In addition, Patrick Beverley is out because of knee soreness. This leaves the Clippers shorthanded for a favorable matchup against the Hawks. Morris stands to gain the most from both a playing time and usage standpoint. We don’t have much data with Morris on the Clippers when Leonard and George are off the court, but he was a great fantasy asset as a top option in the offense for the Knicks last season when playing on a barren roster.
NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Bust Candidates
R.J, Barrett vs. Jazz: $7,500/$6,600
67% DraftKings Bust/73.3% FanDuel Bust
Barrett has put up some big fantasy games this season. However, there is still a massive issue with his fantasy potential, and it’s that he isn’t good. Barrett often has decent fantasy games based on volume, but he’s shooting 41.3% from the field and 25% from 3. In a tough matchup against the Jazz where the Knicks are double-digit underdogs, it’s not hard to envision a scenario where he struggles. This is why Barrett has one of the highest bust odds of any player picking up ownership today. In addition, his salary recently increased.
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