Wednesday, Nov. 27 has a heavy pre-holiday 14-GAME main slate on all the big daily fantasy sites. Before you lock in your NBA DFS lineups and NBA DFS picks on DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo and FantasyDraft, make sure to check out check out Awesemo’s NBA DFS rankings and projections. Let’s dig into some NBA DFS Picks, including Luka Doncic, Nikola Jokic, Kemba Walker and more.
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Also, click through to Chris Spags’ Switch and Hedge for more NBA DFS analysis and picks.
Don’t forget to check out the NBA DFS Strategy Show featuring Josh Engleman and Ben “Jazrazz” Rasa as they break down the NBA DFS slate and give out their thoughts on Anthony Davis, Lonzo Ball, Malcolm Brogdon, injury news and analysis.
NBA DFS Picks: Prime Time Players
The world is our oyster!
Denver and Dallas have started their Thanksgiving break early, but the other 28 teams are in action. That means superstars and matchups galore for our top-shelf options. Let your personal preference help you choose among the many options. Instead, today we will highlight some of the mid-tier options as we should have a plethora of punt options that appear with news and practice reports leading up to tip off.
NBA DFS Picks: Good Value
Ricky Rubio: Phoenix Suns vs. Washington Wizards
DraftKings $5,500, FanDuel $6,800, Yahoo $23 Ownership Rating (preliminary run): DraftKings 28.9%, FanDuel 6.5% Yahoo Fantasy 5.6%
Once again DraftKings (and FantasyDraft) have significantly dropped the price on a player who missed multiple games. Monday it was Malcolm Brogdon at $6,000/$11,800 and today it is Ricky Rubio. Dealing with a sore back that sidelined him in four of the last five games and limited him to 16 minutes in the other, Rubio is proclaiming full health. We know the Wizards are one of the fastest teams in the league with one of the worst defenses. They are also coming in after getting schooled in Denver last night. Fortunately, they put a lot of points on the board, so this should be a spirited contest.
Sticking with the Suns, Kelly Oubre Jr. gets a “remember me” game against the team that drafted him and he is nicely priced at $6,900 on both FanDuel and DraftKings. He should be flirting with the 40-fantasy-point plateau in this matchup. The FanDuel special is Frank Kaminsky who is somehow just $4,000 on FanDuel. He is in play on Yahoo at $13, but there are better options on DraftKings and FantasyDraft.
Kemba Walker: Boston Celtics vs. Brooklyn Nets
DraftKings $6,700, FanDuel $7,500, Yahoo $34 Ownership Rating (preliminary run): DraftKings 31.9%, FanDuel 76.5% Yahoo Fantasy 4.7%
Tonight Kemba Walker should be in the starting lineup after surviving what looked to be a very scary collision with teammate Semi Ojeleye. He is a relative bargain on every site except for Yahoo this evening. It sounds like Walker will be a full go, so we can roster him with confidence at 30-ish minutes. Our one concern, however, can be related to his performance in the three games prior to his injury. Two of the three contests were losses for the Celtics, though that was also in the midst of a West Coast road trip. In those game he averaged 33.5 minutes, 15.7 points, 4.0 rebounds, 5.3 assists and 0.7 steals for just 28.8 fantasy points per game. Those games were in Los Angeles against the Clippers, Sacramento and Phoenix. Prior to that he had topped 40 fantasy points in eight of 10 games.
NBA DFS Picks: Risky Value
Willie Cauley-Stein: Golden State Warriors vs. Chicago Bulls
DraftKings $4,700, FanDuel $5,500, Yahoo $16 Ownership Rating (preliminary run): DraftKings 30.9%, FanDuel 20.7% Yahoo Fantasy 18.6%
There must be something that the masses are seeing that I am missing because here we are again with Willie Cauley-Stein gaining some heavy traction, albeit early in the day. Full disclosure, I have become a fan of the Sacramento Kings players the last couple years because they are usually cheap, play fast and are fun to watch. So I have rostered more than my fair share of Cauley-Stein. I just do not see him being hugely productive with the current version of the Warriors. Yes, the former Sacramento big man should be playing 25-30 minutes most games, but he has no offensive game, PERIOD. The bulk of his points are in the paint off of rebounds or dump-offs.
This is not the kind of player that gets offense sets designed for him. All you need to know is that he has played 15 games this season with a season high of 12 points, four games with 10 and the rest have been single digits. He has topped eight rebounds only twice. If I get burned with a 40-fantasy-point outing, so be it. Please note, if Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Klay Thompson and/or D’Angelo Russell were playing, then we would see Cauley-Stein with production similar to his time in Sacramento. In the meantime, he is not worth rolling out on any slate with more than four games.
FantasyCruncher NBA DFS Tip of the Day
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With the incredibly user-friendly and flexible rules creation feature on FantasyCruncher, we can take our lineup construction to the next level.
By using the “Add/Remove” Column feature, we can bring in different data elements to help inform our “Crunches” with just a little pre-planning in Excel or Google Sheets. In the example below, Awesemo Points and Value Grades have been added as new columns in the upload template along with the Boom/Bust% outcomes.
Several new features have been added to the Awesemo projections such as the Boom/Bust likelihood as well as Standard Deviations for each player. This is something that is quite helpful for NBA DFS whether you are building one or one hundred lineups.
As always, you can reach out to me in Awesemo.com Premium Slack or on Twitter @EMacDFS if you have any NBA DFS questions about DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo or FantasyDraft.
Good Luck NBA DFS Gamers! ~ EMac
If you haven’t signed up for Yahoo Fantasy DFS, click this link and use the promo code Awesemo when making your first deposit and you will be eligible for $30 of free play, which Yahoo will match through the first $30 of your deposit (this bonus will be received in Yahoo Sports Rewards Points, aka YSRP which can be used to enter any paid contest immediately).