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NBA DFS Picks: The SuperDraft Starting Five | August 17th

Eric Lindquist

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Greg Ehrenberg breakes down the latests NBA DFS news in his Swtich and Hedge article, to help start your DraftKings + FanDuel lineup | 9/3/20

The NBA Playoffs are here, and with a new edition of the SuperDraft Starting Five! I’m giving you the NBA DFS picks for my starting five — two guards, two forwards, and a center — for Monday’s NBA DFS main slate.


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NBA DFS Picks: SuperDraft Starting Five

LOU WILLIAMS (1.7X MULTIPLIER)

His chicken-wing fiasco is well-documented at this point, but so is his sixth-man prowess. Lou is a walking-heat check, averaging over 36 SuperDraft points in his last two and playing under 25 minutes in those contests. I don’t expect him to be popular, which is part of the allure, but I also believe he’s a safe option as I expect Doc Rivers to extend his minutes now that he’s played himself back into game shape. 30+ minutes wouldn’t surprise me, and at that multiplier, neither would 80-plus fantasy points.

PAUL GEORGE (1.45X MULTIPLIER)

Another Clipper in the nightcap that sports a 230 total, George is an absurd value at a 1.45x multiplier. He has been a model of consistency so far in the bubble, scoring 20-plus real points and 38-plus fantasy points every game so far. Sure, Lou should cut into his rates with during his run with the second unit, but it’s hard to believe he couldn’t still spike a ceiling against a Dallas team who’s only capable wing defender, Dorian Finney-Smith, will most likely be trying to contain Kawhi Leonard. Fire up George and don’t think twice.


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KAWHI LEONARD (1.3X MULTIPLIER)

I did say Finney-Smith would be “trying” to guard Kawhi, but that doesn’t mean he will. Kawhi’s averaging 47.7 SuperDraft points per game in the bubble, and seems a mortal lock to play 35-plus minutes if this game stays remotely close. He’s shown a propensity to get hot come playoff time and it’s easy to see a big day coming out of the Clipper’s star (and the Clippers in general). Playing two of Williams, George and Leonard in every lineup sounds like a lot of fun to me, and three isn’t out of the question.

JOE INGLES (1.75X MULTIPLIER)

“Jingles” feels like an under-looked piece of the Utah Jazz, where everyone else feels like they’ll be more popular. Outside of Kawhi, I’m not in love with forward on this SuperDraft slate, so I’m happy to take some shots on the minutes at a decent multiplier. Despite only a 16.1% usage rate with Conley off the court, he’s faired well against the Nuggets this season with a +2.7 FP/game increase over his average. Someone has to step up with the absences for Utah, and I’m hoping it’s a low-owned Ingles who does it.

BOBAN MARJANOVIC (2X MULTIPLIER)

Okaaaaaaay, you’re probably shaking your head here. We all know that with Boban it’s only ever a question of minutes, as he clocks in with the third-highest SuperDraft point-per-minute rate on the slate (1.54). There are a couple things to address with this super-low-owned pick: I’m only going there if he starts and Montrezl Harrell is out, who Boban would have zero hope of containing. But it would make sense for Boban to start in this scenario, as Ivica Zubac has been playing well in the bubble and Maxi Kleber doesn’t have the size to slow him down. You can always pivot to Zubac if the news doesn’t break our way, but I’d have some shares waiting in case he gets the nod at the 5 next to Porzingis. In 20+ minutes, Boban could break the slate in a revenge spot.


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