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High-Upside NBA Daily Fantasy Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups Tonight | 4/16/22

Tyler Schmidt



Awesemo's free NBA fantasy projections for DraftKings & FanDuel DFS lineups today & expert fantasy basketball optimizer picks 4/24/22

It is officially NBA playoff time! This feels like Christmas Day all over again with the start times being one game after another. The slate features four games starting at 1:00 p.m. ET. It will be important to stay up to date on Awesemo’s NBA Starting Lineups page to find out who is in and out tonight, even though there shouldn’t be that much news for the playoffs. These plays below are driven by Awesemo’s NBA DFS Boom/Bust Tool as we narrow down three boom and one bust play.

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Boom/Bust NBA Daily Fantasy Projections & Picks Today

Boom: Spencer Dinwiddie: $6,300 DraftKings/$6,900 FanDuel

58.2% DraftKings Boom/38.5% FanDuel Boom

The last game of the regular season was a nightmare for the Dallas Mavericks. They lost their star point guard Luka Doncic for at least one game in their first-round series with the Utah Jazz. The move to add Spencer Dinwiddie at the trade deadline looks much better now that Doncic is injured. He will be one of the best options in the mid-range without Doncic on the floor. In two games without Doncic this season, Dinwiddie is averaging 31 points, 6.5 assists, and 46 DraftKings points per game while shooting 54.3% from the field.

Dinwiddie is popping as the third-best value option on DraftKings behind two stud underpriced centers in our NBA daily fantasy projections. He also has the third-highest boom percentage in our NBA DFS Boom/Bust Tool. The Mavericks get a home matchup against the Jazz, but are five-point underdogs and implied for only 102.25 points, which is the lowest on the slate. This is a tough spot for the Mavericks playing without Doncic, but Dinwiddie will need to step up. In those two games without Doncic, he averaged a 33.7% usage rate. He is a great option tonight.

Boom: Nikola Jokic: $10,600 DraftKings/$12,000 FanDuel

62.3% DraftKings Boom/40.1% FanDuel Boom

Picking one center over the other was difficult. Both Nikola Jokic and Joel Embiid are very underpriced on DraftKings. Playing them together may be the way to go on this slate. Looking at our NBA Fantasy Rankings they are the only two players with an A Value and A Grade on both sites. It is too difficult to ignore Jokic at the top with his upside and consistency. He ended the season recording seven-straight games of over 70 DraftKings points. Jokic is not only the best pay-up option on DraftKings, but he is the best value in our NBA DFS projections.

Jokic was the first player in league history to finish a single season with 2,000 points, 1,000 rebounds and 500 assists. With Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. unlikely to play in the playoffs, it will continue to be the Jokic show. He has also played very well against the Warriors recently. In nine games over the last three seasons, Jokic is averaging 24.4 points, 13.3 rebounds, and 8.2 assists with two triple-doubles. Prioritize Jokic on DraftKings where he has by far the highest boom percentage in our Boom/Bust Tool.

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Boom: Patrick Beverley: $5,400 DraftKings/$5,000 FanDuel

35.6% DraftKings Boom/54.6% FanDuel Boom

Another point guard who seems to be popping very well in our NBA DFS Boom/Bust Tool is Patrick Beverley. He caught a lot of flack for celebrating the Timberwolves’ Play-In Tournament victory, even though the playoffs are difficult for this franchise and Beverley knocked off his former team to get in. Beverley played 33 minutes in their victory as he recorded a season-high 11 rebounds. He also stuffed the stat sheet as he had seven points, three assists, one steal and one block. Beverley has 28 or more DraftKings points in three of his last four games.

The Timberwolves led the league in scoring this season, while their opponent the Grizzlies came in second. The Timberwolves also led the league in 3-pointers made, which ranked as the third-highest total of all time. Their offense is electric and even though games slow down in the playoffs, this matchup has the highest total on the slate at 236 points as the Timberwolves are 6.5-point underdogs. Beverley is projected to be the best value on FanDuel and the fourth-best on DraftKings. He will play a lot trying to defend Ja Morant.

Bust: Stephen Curry: $9,300 DraftKings/$9,200 FanDuel

58.0% DraftKings Bust/65.1% FanDuel Bust

It has been awhile since we have seen Stephen Curry, but he is probably to play tonight for the Warriors first playoff game. He will likely be on a minutes restriction of some-sort which makes this more of an obvious bust potential play. Curry’s salary may be intriguing for both sites, but our projection model has him slotted to play 32.7 minutes, which may be on the high end. Even playing that many minutes, he comes in as a very bad value for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Curry also has a D Value in both sites in our NBA Fantasy Rankings.

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This Warriors team could be very dangerous in the playoffs if they are healthy. That is the biggest question mark as Curry, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green have only played one game together all season. In that one game, Curry of course had 47 points while shooting 64% from the field showcasing his upside. The Warriors are still 6.5-point favorites at home with the second-highest implied total on the slate. Curry has the upside, but he is tough to trust since he has missed 12-straight games. Fade Curry in this spot.

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Our NBA DFS projections today are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks. Check out our NBA fantasy rankings today for fantasy points and values that are derived directly from Alex Baker's own NBA DFS projections today. We also have Yahoo! ownership rankings, DraftKings NBA rankings and FanDuel NBA rankings for today's slate. Looking for more NBA DFS lineups and the top NBA DFS picks tonight? View our FanDuel NBA ownership projections, our Yahoo! ownership projections and our DraftKings NBA ownership projections.

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