With a day off tomorrow, the NBA will have games running throughout the day today. However, this slate features eight games that start at 6:00PM ET. There are several different ways to go on this slate, but the plays that I provided give more of a balanced lineup build look. These plays are driven by Awesemo’s NBA DFS Boom/Bust Tool as we narrow down three boom and one bust play. Sunday in the NBA is always filled with a bunch of news so make sure to stay up to date on Awesemo’s NBA Starting Lineups page to find out who is in and out tonight.
Boom/Bust NBA Daily Fantasy Projections & Picks Today
Boom: JaVale McGee: $3,800 DraftKings/$3,600 FanDuel
79.8% DraftKings Boom/82.8% FanDuel Boom
We know the drill by now. With DeAndre Ayton out, play JaVale McGee. It is that simple. McGee is by far the best value on the slate as his boom percentage in our Boom/Bust Tool are flying off the page. In 15 games without Ayton this season, McGee is averaging 11.1 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 25.5 DraftKings points per game. Despite being only projected to play 23.9 minutes tonight, McGee is the highest projected value on DraftKings and FanDuel in our daily projections. To be honest, it isn’t even close. Fade at your own risk.
The Suns are not only playing without Ayton, but Devin Booker and Jae Crowder are also taking the night off. Despite those three out, the Suns are still 15-point road favorites implied for 118.5 points as the Thunder have zero size to match up with McGee in the paint. The Thunder are another team that has mailed in their season as they try and tank for a higher draft pick. They rank 25th in rebounding percentage as McGee despite playing limited minutes, has a chance to double-double tonight. He is fantastic option in all formats.
Boom: Jordan Poole: $8,100 DraftKings/$8,200 FanDuel
29.2% DraftKings Boom/20.4% FanDuel Boom
After another stellar performance last night, it makes sense to go right back to the Jordan Poole well again tonight. He has done an incredible job filling in for Stephen Curry. With Curry off the floor this season, Poole leads the Warriors in both usage rate increase and fantasy production. During that time he has played over 1,100 minutes which is by far the most on the team. Poole is coming off back-to-back 30+ games where he poured in at least six 3-pointers in each contest. He will look to carry that momentum playing the Kings.
The salary may come as a sticker shock to some, but obviously most of the field is falling in love with this play. Poole has the second-highest ownership on DraftKings and fourth-highest on FanDuel in our ownership projections. The Warriors are only 5.5-point road favorites as they have lost seven of their last nine games. However, this is a great matchup against the Kings who despite winning four of their last five games, are still in the bottom of the Western Conference. Poole is a great way to go in balanced lineup builds.
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Boom: Karl-Anthony Towns: $9,600 DraftKings/$8,700 FanDuel
37.3% DraftKings Boom/48.6% FanDuel Boom
The best game environment features this Timberwolves and Rockets matchup. The Rockets always present the best matchup in the league as they allow a league-high 117.8 points per game. They rank 29th in defensive rating as this game has the highest total on the slate at 243 points. The Timberwolves and Rockets rank first and second in pace this season. They also allow the most points in the paint with 53.1 per game. Which is why Karl-Anthony Towns is arguably one of the best plays on the slate, especially on FanDuel at his cheap salary.
Towns has only scored over 39 DraftKings points once in his last five games, but he should feast in the paint against this Rockets team playing without Christian Wood. The Rockets also rank 28th in rebounding percentage. Towns continues to lead the Timberwolves in points and rebounds where he is nearly averaging a double-double for the seventh-straight season. Towns is the best value of anyone on FanDuel priced over $5,600 in our projections. He is the best way to get exposure to this incredible high-paced game environment.
Bust: Paul George: $9,900 DraftKings/$9,900 FanDuel
58.0% DraftKings Bust/63.7% FanDuel Bust
This fade isn’t a knock on Paul George at all, it is price-driven when he seems to still be on a minutes limit. George has come back at just the right time for the Clippers. He has played in two out of the last three games and he has performed well. George put up 57.5 DraftKings points in his first game back after missing 43-straight games! One of the best parts about George is his steals upside. He had seven steals in his first two games back. He does it on both ends of the floor as he is projected to play 32.4 minutes tonight.
His bust percentage in our Boom/Bust Tool is extremely high mainly due to his salary rising so much. Another tool that is showing George as a bad play tonight is in our Fantasy Basketball Rankings where George has a D value on both DraftKings and FanDuel. The matchup against the Pelicans features the closest game on the slate as the Clippers are two-point road underdogs. George has played very well in his limited minutes, but having a salary this close to $10,000 on both sites, makes him a relatively easy fade on this slate.
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We also have FanDuel ownership rankings, Yahoo! rankings and DraftKings NBA ownership rankings for today's slate. View our DraftKings ownership projections, our Yahoo! NBA ownership and our FanDuel NBA ownership projections. Our NBA DFS projections FanDuel are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks. Check out our daily fantasy rankings NBA for fantasy points and values that are derived directly from Alex Baker's own DFS basketball projections. Looking for more NBA DFS plays and the top NBA DFS picks for today?
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