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High-Upside NBA Daily Fantasy Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups Tonight | 4/7/22




For Thursday night, DFS players get a seven-game NBA slate to attack. Three of these games carry totals north of 230 points and there are a plethora of appealing studs and value plays to consider, with many teams fighting for playoff position and other teams resting key players. As always, be sure to watch the Awesemo NBA Starting Lineups page closely for updates on each team before making NBA picks today. Here are some NBA daily fantasy basketball picks that stand out for tonight’s slate using Awesemo’s NBA DFS Boom/Bust Tool and NBA DFS projections.

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Boom/Bust NBA Daily Fantasy Projections & Picks Today

Boom: Nikola Jokic: $12,600 DraftKings/$11,800 FanDuel

28% DraftKings Boom/41% FanDuel Boom

With plenty at stake tonight for the Nuggets, Jokic is a building block for all formats. Only trailing the Jazz by one game, Denver is still alive for the No. 5 seed in the West with two games remaining. More importantly, they need to win tonight to make sure they do not drop into the play-in tournament. The Nuggets are two games ahead of the Timberwolves for the No. 6 seed, but Minnesota owns the tiebreaker between the two clubs. So if the Nuggets lose their final two games and the Timberwolves win their final two, Denver will drop to the No. 7 seed and find themselves competing in the play-in tournament next week. Obviously, tonight is a must-win for the Nuggets and Jokic should continue to put up godly numbers against the Grizzlies. With so much on the line each night, Jokic has six straight efforts of at least 70 DraftKings points behind a 33% usage rate.

While Memphis does rank fourth in defensive efficiency, they are locked into the No. 2 seed and have nothing to play for tonight. Furthermore, they rank fourth in pace compared to the Nuggets, who rank 19th. Jokic has topped 60 DraftKings points in two of his three meetings with the Grizzlies this season, and the Nuggets carry the fourth-highest implied team total of Thursday’s seven-game slate (118.75 points). This game’s total is also the second largest on the board (233 points), and Jokic has destroyed his opponents for 66 DraftKings points per game, in 12 games with totals of 230 or greater this season. The likelihood of him leading this slate in fantasy points scored is extremely high tonight, and Jokic needs to be one of your core plays.

Boom: LaMelo Ball: $9,200 DraftKings/$9,000 FanDuel

28% DraftKings Boom/33% FanDuel Boom

Trailing the Nets and Hawks by 1.5 games, the Hornets still have an outside chance of moving up to the No. 8 seed in the East. As they pursue a higher seed, Ball has been terrific, producing 48 DraftKings points per game across his last 10 starts, including five performances over 50 DraftKings points. For the season, Ball leads the Hornets with a 27.5% usage rate, a 33% assist percentage and 1.34 DraftKings points per minute. On the menu for tonight is an outstanding matchup against the Magic, who are missing many key pieces and rank 20th in defensive efficiency for the season.

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Charlotte’s implied team total is the second highest of the night (122.25 points), and this game’s total is the third largest on the slate (230.5 points). Ball is amassing 44 DraftKings points per game in the 23 games that have presented a total of at least 230 points this season and has a top-five ceiling among all players competing tonight according to Awesemo’s NBA DFS Boom/Bust Tool.

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Boom: Markelle Fultz: $5,200 DraftKings/$6,000 FanDuel

35% DraftKings Boom/25% FanDuel Boom

Opposite of Ball, Fultz is a great value play tonight with the Magic understaffed. For the second straight game, Cole Anthony (toe) and Wendell Carter Jr. (wrist) will be unavailable. With these two players sidelined Tuesday, Fultz started at point and delivered 30.5 DraftKings points across 23.5 minutes in the upset over the Cavaliers. He should handle around 25 minutes again tonight, and while that may not seem like much, Fultz has been an elite producer sans Anthony and Carter this season.

In the 207 minutes Fultz has played with those two starters off the court, he is providing 1.32 DraftKings points per minute with a 27% usage rate and 44.3% assist percentage, all of which are team highs for this situation. Facing this Hornets’ club that ranks 24th in defensive efficiency and fifth pace, Fultz brings 40 fantasy point upside at an affordable cost.

Boom: Tre Jones: $5,300 DraftKings/$5,800 FanDuel

38% DraftKings Boom/33% FanDuel Boom

Even at season-high price tags on both DraftKings and FanDuel, Jones remains a lock button with Dejounte Murray (illness) still sidelined. Following his double-double worth 39.3 DraftKings points in Tuesday’s win over the Nuggets, Jones is supplying 34 DraftKings points in 33 minutes per game in the past 10 Murray has missed. Mostly credited to a team-high 29.1% assist rate, Jones collects 0.92 DraftKings points per minute with Murray off the court this season in a sample size of 912 minutes.

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The Spurs only trail the Pelicans by one game for the No. 9 seed in the West and they have a real chance of stealing it from New Orleans, given they own the tiebreaker between the two teams. Getting this seed is important, as it would give San Antonio homecourt for the first game of the play-in tournament, and tonight they will be competing in an elite environment against the Wolves. Both these clubs rank inside the top six in pace, and this game’s total is up to 240 points, which is the high mark of this seven-game slate by 7 points. In this setting, Jones is a tremendous combination of safety and upside that needs to be taken advantage of.

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Check out our daily fantasy sports rankings NBA for fantasy points and values that are derived directly from Alex Baker's own best NBA DFS projections. Looking for more DFS NBA news and the best NBA DFS advice? We also have FanDuel ownership rankings, Yahoo! NBA ownership rankings and DraftKings NBA ownership rankings for today's slate. Our best DFS NBA projections are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks. View our DraftKings ownership projections, our FanDuel NBA ownership and our Yahoo! ownership projections.

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