NBA Fantasy: DraftKings + FanDuel Projections & High-Upside Plays 4/16

In NBA DFS it is not as simple as rostering who the best play is. It’s imperative to consider the odds each individual player has of going off or busting. Nobody is a sure thing. With the Awesemo NBA DFS Boom vs. Bust Tool, it provides odds to help navigate range of outcomes for NBA daily fantasy. These are some of the NBA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel that have the best NBA DFS projections of booming or busting, according to our tool.

*Candidates written up in the morning, so boom/bust percentages may change throughout the day.

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DraftKings + FanDuel Boom/Bust Projections | April 16

NBA Fantasy Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Boom Candidates

Isaiah Stewart vs. Thunder: $4,400 DraftKings/$4,800 FanDuel

55.8% DraftKings Boom/62.1% FanDuel Boom

The Pistons’ injury report is a disaster for tonight. Jerami Grant remains out again, while Mason Plumlee is getting rested. Detroit was already thin in the frontcourt, so this leaves them with Stewart, Sekou Doumbouya and Jahlil Okafor as the only active bigs. Okafor has only played 29 minutes since the start of February, so it seems unlikely he will shoulder a large load. This leaves Stewart to likely start at center and play as many minutes as he can handle. He has the best boom rating on both FanDuel and DraftKings for this reason. The last time he started, Stewart played 33 minutes and scored over 40 fantasy points.

Killian Hayes vs. Thunder: $3,500 DraftKings/$3,800 FanDuel

39.5% DraftKings Boom/38.9% FanDuel Boom

The backcourt situation for the Pistons isn’t much better than the frontcourt situation. Rodney McGruder, Cory Joseph, Wayne Ellington and Dennis Smith Jr. are all out tonight. With these injuries in mind, playing time is up for grabs and it makes sense to give Hayes as many minutes as he can handle. Detroit took him in the first round of the Draft, and he hasn’t gotten a ton of run this season because of a hip injury. Since returning and getting healthy, Hayes has shown some of the promise that made him a lottery pick. He is averaging 19 DraftKings points in 21 minutes per game since returning, and he could play over 30 minutes tonight due to all the injuries.

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Fred VanVleet vs. Magic: $7,900 DraftKings/$7,400 FanDuel

29.4% DraftKings Boom/44.7% FanDuel Boom

VanVleet finally returns to action tonight after a layoff due a suspension and an injury. He probably will not play 36 minutes, although he should play a healthy number of minutes. It is not often wise to target a player coming off a layoff, but everybody is out for the Raptors. Gary Trent Jr., Jalen Harris, Pascal Siakam, Kyle Lowry and O.G. Anunoby are all expected to miss tonight’s game. This should mean that VanVleet will have a massive usage rate during the time he is on the court. The uptick in points per minute outweighs him potentially playing a couple fewer minutes than normal, and that’s exemplified in the Awesemo NBA Fantasy projections.

NBA Fantasy Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Bust Candidates

Anthony Edwards vs. Pistons: $7,500 DraftKings/$7,600 FanDuel

75.1% DraftKings Bust/65.1% FanDuel Bust

Edwards is coming on really strong in the second half of the season. With LaMelo Ball out because of a broken wrist, betting odds have changed dramatically and Edwards is now favored to win the Rookie Of The Year award. Going forward, there are some concerns about his fantasy production. Karl-Anthony Towns is returning after an absence due to personal reasons, while D’Angelo Russell is also healthy and starting to play more minutes. The Timberwolves have dealt with injuries for most of the season, and Edwards could lose out on usage going forward with the time getting healthier.

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Author

Greg Ehrenberg

Greg is a former stand up comedian who quit telling jokes to pursue a career in the world of DFS. He started playing fantasy sports in 6th grade when Greg and his friends would skip classes to meet in the bathroom for 20 team fantasy basketball drafts. Considering his current career path, it was the best education he could have asked for.