There’s another NBA playoff doubleheader in store on Thursday night. Milwaukee will hope its home court can help it turn the tide in Game 3 of the Nets vs. Bucks Eastern Conference Semifinals series. Then the action shifts out West for Game 2 of the Clippers vs. Jazz series, where we will get to see the teams renew hostilities following an epic Game 1 showdown. Once again, there are a number of enticing NBA player props focused on tonight’s slate. The following article contains NBA betting odds and picks for a trio of props, including a betting prediction for Jazz center Rudy Gobert.
NBA Betting Prediction: NBA Player Props | June 10
Nets shooting guard Bruce Brown has made a point of getting after it on the glass in these NBA Playoffs. He has outperformed his per-game rebounding average of 5.4 in three games thus far. This includes Tuesday’s Game 2 victory. That said, Brown played a playoff-high 26 minutes in Brooklyn’s blowout victory but still fell shy of tonight’s total of 6.5 rebounds. The odds here are simply too inflated not to explore betting the under.
Even with James Harden set to remain sidelined in Game 3 this evening, Brown’s minutes total hasn’t seen that much of a spike. The Nets have distributed Harden’s vacated minutes around fairly evenly. To have any realistic chance of clearing 6.5 boards, Brown figures to require at least 25 minutes of playing time. On top of that concern, the Bucks were the top rebounding team in the NBA this season. After getting their doors blown off in the first two games of this series, Milwaukee figures to be playing at a different level in this must-win Game 3. More shots falling and a better team effort all around don’t bode well for Brown’s rebounding prop. Stick with under 6.5 for this play.
When a player averages 67.5% shooting from the floor, the only real causes of a below-average scoring output can be fewer shot attempts or a drastic reduction in made baskets. Rudy Gobert suffered the effects of both in Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals. His 10 points came on just six total shot attempts for the game. That marked his worst shooting percentage, lowest point total and second-fewest shot attempts of the playoffs to date. Had Gobert shot his typical percentage, he still would’ve cleared tonight’s NBA betting odds of 13.5 total points.
The Awesemo NBA Player Props Tool is projecting a healthy 13% expected ROI on playing over 13.5 total points for Gobert tonight. The tool is also projecting him to finish with 14.66 points. That figure is far closer to his season scoring average of 14.3 points per game than the odds themselves. The Clippers will once again be without Serge Ibaka in the frontcourt, a definitive benefit for Gobert’s offensive outlook. In addition, the Jazz cannot rely on Donovan Mitchell to go for 45 points for a second straight game. Other players will need to contribute more offensively, and Gobert has cleared the 13.5-point threshold in four playoff games.
The Clippers’ point guard position turned on its head in Game 1 compared to what they did in their first-round series. After serving as the most consistent scoring option behind stars Kawhi Leonard and Paul George in Round 1, Reggie Jackson played only 17 minutes in the series opener. A few different Clippers saw more minutes than they had recently on Tuesday night, and Rajon Rondo was one of them. His 28 minutes were the most he has played in any postseason game to date. If that trend is to continue going forward, NBA player props on Rondo’s total assists cannot be ignored.
Rondo is probably not going to play another 28 minutes or more in Game 2 tonight, but he is such a gifted passer that he can easily smash tonight’s betting odds of 3.5 total assists in fewer minutes than that. In fact, Rondo has eclipsed that line in all but two playoff games thus far. Those two games in which he fell short were the same two in which he failed to log more than 10 minutes. Even with the juiced odds to the over, this is a bet worth making.
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