Justin Fields will have his first career attempt to thwart a division rival’s playoff berth as the Chicago Bears host the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football. With the new Awesemo OddsShopper, bettors can now search player props by team and immediately pinpoint the best available odds at recognized sportsbooks. Let’s take a look at the tool’s projections and odds for Week 15 Sunday Night Football to lock in the best NFL prop bets on Brady tonight.
Justin Fields NFL Player Props | Monday Night Football
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Over 205.5 Yards Passing (-115, PointsBet)
Fields has recently started to find small successes in the Bears attack and aims to continue progress against the Vikings on Monday Night Football. Fields is averaging 144.1 yards passing while projecting for 222 yards against Minnesota, propagating an OddsShopper 57% expected win rate and 7% return on investment for the over. The Minnesota defense has surrendered 271.46 yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, rank 12th in pass DVOA and allow 7.69 yards per attempt (sixth most). Since he has exceeded 220 yards in two of his past three performances, grab the over on Fields at just above standard juice.
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Under 1.5 Touchdowns Passing (-222, Caesars)
While Fields has made strides in his work of late, the touchdowns have been more difficult to come by. Fields is averaging 0.54 touchdowns per game and projects for 1.2 touchdowns through the air against Minnesota, lending to an OddsShopper 65% expected win rate, though just a -5% return on investment for the under at lofty juice. The Vikings allowing 1.84 touchdowns passing per game to opposing quarterbacks may motivate money in the other direction, as Minnesota ranks 18th in PFF coverage grade. Though Fields most recently threw two touchdowns against the Packers in a desperation campaign, Week 14 marked the only performance all season where he managed more than one touchdown passing. The Vikings still have plenty to play for, and stopping Fields in the red zone for four quarters seems likely enough.
Over 17.5 Completions (-113, FanDuel)
On the other side of the spectrum of progress is Fields’ consistency as of late. Fields is averaging 12.09 completed passes per game and a 57.6% completion rate, and he projects for 20.93 completions on 31.1 pass attempts, translating to a 73% expected win rate and 37% return on investment for the over. Minnesota’s defense is allowing 22.23 completions per game and a 63% catch rate, and they rank 14th in PFF pass rush grade. Though the season average is not anything pleasing, Fields last managed 18 completions against Green Bay and prior to injury had 22 completions against Tampa Bay. Fields has exceeded this total just three times this season, but they came in his past five games, and he nearly managed a fourth instance in that span.
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