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Best NFL Player Props & Betting Picks for Divisional Playoff Games | Saturday, 1/22/21

Henry John

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The NFL Playoffs resume on Saturday afternoon with the first half of the Divisional Round. The conference semifinal round commences in the afternoon with the Cincinnati Bengals taking on the Tennessee Titans. Then in primetime the Green Bay Packers will host the San Francisco 49ers. When it comes to NFL betting options on this weekend’s playoff action, the opportunities are endless. One of the best options for fans to consider is the NFL player props market. Make sure to include the revamped OddsShopper Tool in your handicapping process. The tool will help point you in the direction of the best NFL props and betting picks as well as the most favorable odds available in the market.

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Let’s put OddsShopper to the test and explore some of Awesemo’s favorite player props for Saturday’s NFL Divisional Round doubleheader.

Best NFL Bets & Props | Saturday Divisional Round Playoffs

With OddsShopper, finding the best NFL betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself with the three featured NFL prop bets below.

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Ryan Tannehill Under 238.5 Passing Yards (-114, FanDuel)

The Tennessee Titans are set to welcome back their best offensive weapons in running back Derrick Henry for Saturday’s playoff game against the Cincinnati Bengals. However, to say that the Titans completely changed their offensive identity during his absence is simply foolish. From the time Henry went on IR following the Titans’ Oct. 31 game to the end of the regular season, Ryan Tannehill only surpassed 237 yards passing twice in nine games. Both of those performances came against the Houston Texans. Now that Henry is back, it is hard to anticipate Tannehill having a higher yardage total.

When it comes to Tannehill’s history in the postseason, he has only totaled 594 yards passing in four career starts, all with the Titans. That averages out to 133.5 yards per game, over 100 fewer than the prop total for this Divisional Round matchup. Tennessee has two superstar names playing wide receiver in A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. However, it is clear at this point that the Titans are not willing to deviate from the offensive identity. In all honesty, Awesemo’s projection of 227.68 passing yards for Tannehill might actually be generous. Yet, it still sits over 10 yards lower than the best line in the NFL betting market. OddsShopper shows some sportsbooks listing this passing prop as low as 235.5. At the preferred line, this prediction is given a solid expected ROI of 20%.


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Ja’Marr Chase Under 5.5 Receptions (+120, Caesars)

Bengals rookie sensation Ja’Marr Chase exploded in his postseason debut last week. However, his nine receptions and 116 yards receiving notably came against a defensive opponent nowhere near the caliber of the Titans. After ranking 29th in adjusted defensive efficiency a year ago, Tennessee finished the regular season 12th in the same metric this season. A big reason for this was an improved pass defense. Joe Burrow may connect with Chase frequently when he has time in the pocket. However, it is very debatable as to whether or not the Bengals’ offensive line can hold up against the best pass rush the Titans have had in years.

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While Chase might very well go on to win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award, he actually was held under 5.5 receptions in the majority of games this season. Prior to topping the NFL player props line in three of the last four weeks, he finished with five receptions or less in five straight games. The Bengals certainly have plenty of other capable weapons for Burrow to look to as well. Considering that OddsShopper lists plus-money odds on the under, this contrarian prop play figures to be well worth a look. Awesemo projects Chase for 4.80 receptions in Saturday’s playoff game. At the best price of +120, this under prediction is given a 35% ROI.

Jimmy Garoppolo Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-130, Caesars)

One of the major talking points ahead of Saturday night’s NFC Divisional Round game has been the shoulder injury of San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo. In fact, several NFL betting analysts were skeptical of whether or not Garoppolo would even be able to play in this game. While those concerns have since died down, the 49ers will undoubtedly look to lean on their run game in an effort to keep their quarterback healthy. Thus the NFL player props line of 1.5 touchdown passes for Garoppolo feels a bit high. From a matchup standpoint, the Green Bay Packers have actually proven to be more vulnerable against the run defensively anyways. This could play right into Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers’ hands on Saturday.

While the 49ers have been red-hot as a team recently, one would have to go back to December 12th to find the last time Garoppolo threw multiple touchdown passes in a game. Awesemo’s projections are keen on playing under 1.5 touchdown passes for the San Francisco signal-caller in this playoff battle. The betting market would seem to agree with that assessment. OddsShopper shows heavy juice to the under at all sportsbooks. However, bettors can still net a 13% ROI by playing the most favorable price of -130. With a projection of 1.34 touchdown passes, Awesemo also gives this under prediction a healthy 64% win probability.

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