The short-handed Green Bay Packers will need to dig deep for a victory as they head west to battle the undefeated Arizona Cardinals. The Awesemo team has launched the NFL Player Props Tool, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best Week 8 NFL player props available based on the Tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the best NFL prop bets for tonight’s Packers vs. Cardinals Thursday Night Football matchup.
Week 8 Thursday Night Football NFL Player Prop Bets
Marcedes Lewis Under 18.5 Yards Receiving (-113, FanDuel)
Marcedes Lewis is playing his 225th game, and the NFL Player Props Tool predicts it to be a quieter performance. Lewis is averaging 15.4 yards receiving through seven games, and the props tool gives the under a 75% expected win rate. With Lewis projected for 15.72 yards on 1.52 receptions and 2.13 targets, the props tool gives the under a whopping 42% return on investment.
Despite the Packers being without Davante Adams and Allen Lazard, Lewis has been played just 47% of snaps and has just 6% of the team’s yards. Arizona ranks No. 1 in defensive pass DVOA against opposing tight ends and surrenders just 22.28 yards per game to the position. With Marquez Valdes-Scantling potentially returning as well, grab the under on Lewis at moderate house juice.
James Conner Over 45.5 Yards Rushing (+100, Caesars)
James Conner is enjoying his new home in the Arizona backfield. He is averaging 48 rushing yards per game through seven games with the Cardinals, and the props tool gives the over a 69% expected win rate. As Conner is projected for 55.62 yards on 11.68 carries against the Packers, the props tool also lends a suggested 32% return on investment to the over.
Since arriving in Arizona, Conner has been splitting carries with Chase Edmunds but still has a team-leading 12.1 carries per game. The Green Bay defense has surrendered 80.57 yards per game and 4.18 yards per carry to opposing backs. Kyler Murray has become by far more the pocket presence quarterback this season than any in his career and is leaning on his backfield for yards. Take the over on Conner at even-money odds.
DeAndre Hopkins Under 5.5 Receptions (-130, PointsBet)
DeAndre Hopkins has led the Cardinals in receptions all season, but the props tool believes the targets may land elsewhere. Hopkins is averaging 4.7 catches on 6.71 targets through seven games this season, and the NFL Player Props Tool gives the under a 59% expected win rate. With Hopkins projected for 5.15 receptions on 7.28 targets, the props tool expects a 3% return on investment.
Although Hopkins has had his share of underwhelming performances, he has also had his share of good ones. The Packers defense allows just 11.57 receptions per game to opposing receivers collectively and ranks ninth in PFF coverage grade. Provided the increased house juice on such an iffy line, it may be best to stay away on this one.
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