The upstart New England Patriots ride a four-game winning streak into Mercedes Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons on Thursday Night Football. The Awesemo team has launched the NFL Player Props Tool, covering each of the major prop categories for each week throughout 2021. We will analyze all the odds at various sportsbooks to identify the best Week 11 NFL player props available based on the tool’s projected values and odds of success. Below are three of the best NFL prop bets for tonight’s Patriots vs. Falcons Thursday Night Football matchup.
Week 11 Thursday Night Football NFL Player Prop Bets
With the latest groundbreaking features in sports betting featured in the OddsShopper tool, finding your best bets has never been as easy as it is now. With the ability to simply filter, sort and bet, you can now land the best bets and odds in 30 seconds or less. You can even create a Prop Party Parlay with a mix of your own favorite props of the day.
Olamide Zaccheaus Under 3.5 Receptions (-250, PointsBet)
Olamide Zaccheaus has been picking up additional targets in absence of Calvin Ridley, but the NFL Player Props Tool projects a lull tonight. Using OddsShopper to find the best bets and odds for Thursday Night Football is as simple as a couple of clicks. Zaccheaus is averaging 1.7 catches on 3.2 targets per game through nine games played, and the under has a massive 89% expected win rate. Zaccheaus is projected for 1.87 catches of 3.2 targets against the Patriots, giving the under a 25% return on investment. The Patriots rank third in pass defense according to Pro Football Focus and have allowed 10.9 receptions per game to opposing receivers. Although Zaccheaus is coming off a season-high seven targets against the Cowboys, he managed just two catches in the performance. The spend up is a bit wild, but grab the under on Zaccheaus catches.
Damien Harris Over 50.5 Yards Rushing (-110, DraftKings)
Damien Harris and the Patriots backfield have made a case for their playoff hopes. Harris is averaging 60.8 yards per game, and NFL Player Props Tool gives the over on 50.5 yards rushing a 68% expected win rate. With Harris projected for 65.15 yards against the Falcons, the props tool projects the over for a 15% return on investment. The Falcons have allowed 93.3 yards per game to opposing running backs while ranking 21st in run defense according to PFF. Harris has exceeded 50 yards in six of his eight games and does not have an injury designation after last week’s absence. On a low-hanging prop, lock in the over on Harris.
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Matt Ryan Over 21.5 Completions (-115, Caesars)
Matt Ryan has improved upon his completion rate since last season, averaging 24.22 completions at a 67.7% rate. The NFL Player Props Tool gives the over on 21.5 completions a 67% expected win rate. As Ryan is projected for 23.95 completions of 34.3 pass attempts against the Patriots, the props tool projects the over with a 26% return on investment. The Patriots rank 22nd in PFF pass rush while surrendering 20.6 completions at a 59.3% rate. On a considerably low completion total necessary, snag the over on Ryan.
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