In this article, we’ll take a look at the best Week 2 NFL player prop bets from the 1:00 p.m. ET window. Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Three bets stood out above the rest in the 1:00 p.m. ET window, so let’s see what they are:
Jameis Winston – Under 243.5 Passing Yards (-114, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Winston and the New Orleans Saints are 3.5-point favorites on the road against the Carolina Panthers. We have seen tons of sharp money coming in on the Panthers at home throughout the week, and that’s certainly a surprise after the Saints trounced the Green Bay Packers in the season opener by 35 points. While throwing for five touchdown passes in the win, Winston only finished with 148 passing yards on 20 attempts. If the Panthers take control of this game, it might mean more passing attempts, but not loads of success.
The Saints had seven different assistant coaches come down with COVID-19, and they will now miss Sunday’s game. What’s frustrating for Winston is that all seven of those coaches are on the offensive side of the ball. Their duties will be split up amongst the available coaches, but you must imagine that’s another bit of unwanted chaos for New Orleans. After all, the team is dealing with the aftermath of Hurricane Ida, which will take a toll at some point.
In Week 1, the Panthers allowed 258 passing yards to Jets rookie QB Zach Wilson. However, he accumulated most of those yards in the second half, and Carolina only allowed 45 yards on the ground. Expect Saints RB Alvin Kamara to do much better and make sure his team’s offense keeps the Panthers honest in the running and passing game. Most sportsbooks have Winston’s prop number somewhere in the low 240s, but FanDuel’s 243.5 is the best spot while it goes as low as 231.5 (-149) over on BetMGM. According to Awesemo’s NFL Betting Player Props Tool, Winston going under 243.5 yards has the second-highest expected return on investment for any QB’s passing-yards prop bet. It’s also worth noting that the same system has Winston going under his expected 16.5 rushing-yards mark as one of its best ROI bets.
Chase Claypool – Over 45.5 Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Going back to Awesemo’s NFL Betting Player Props Tool, Claypool is expected to blow right past his expected receiving yardage total (45.5). Our system has him down for 67.2 yards, giving bettors a 76% chance of success on this one bet. The Pittsburgh Steelers are 6.5-point favorites on Sunday against the Las Vegas Raiders, who will be making the cross-country flight for a breakfast game. In addition, the Raiders just played that challenging game on Monday Night Football against the Baltimore Ravens, so we should expect all areas of their team to be a bit sluggish.
Claypool led all Pittsburgh receivers in the opener with an aDOT of 10.6, and his 45 receiving yards in the opener were the second-best on the team. QB Ben Roethlisberger got off to a rough start in Week 1 before finally leading the Steelers to a victory in the second half. Admittedly, it was a shaky performance for Big Ben in his first game of the season. However, this offense has a golden opportunity in front of it this Sunday, and we have certainly seen them perform well at home over the years.
Kenyan Drake – Over 43.5 Rushing Yards (-114, FanDuel Sportsbook)
FanDuel Sportsbook bettors get a much more favorable number on Drake’s rushing-yards prop bet. As opposed to getting his number at 46.5 yards, the FanDuel bettors can get it all the way down at 43.5. And every single yard can make a difference, especially against one of the NFL’s better defenses. Although, Buffalo Bills RB Devin Singletary ran for 72 yards on 11 carries against the Steelers last week.
For Drake, this is all about opportunity. Raiders starting RB Josh Jacobs (ankle/toe) will miss Sunday’s game, thrusting Drake right into the bell-cow role. Drake made his most significant impact in the passing game in the season opener, grabbing all five of his targets for 59 yards. That improvement in the passing game is a big reason he shouldn’t have too much competition for carries.
While he only carried the ball six times for 11 yards in the opener, Drake will have a renewed sense of energy back in the starting lineup. According to the Awesemo’s NFL Betting Player Props Tool, Drake is projected to rush for 50 yards, putting him just over the 43.5-yard mark on the day. As mentioned, the Raiders had a very tough game on Monday, so it wouldn’t be surprising to try and see them slow it down at the onset. That would likely lead to more rushing attempts from Drake.
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