In this article, we’ll take a look at the best Week 2 NFL player prop bets from the 4:00 p.m. ET window. Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these prop bets. Three bets stood out above the rest in the 1:00 p.m. ET window, so let’s see what they are:
Tom Brady – Over 309.5 Passing Yards (-114, FanDuel Sportsbook)
With an extra three days of rest, Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will look to make quick work of the Atlanta Falcons. This should be an easy day for the Bucs, who face a Falcons defense that looked completely lost in the season opener. Tampa Bay turned the ball over four times in the Week 1 matchup against the Dallas Cowboys, so Brady certainly wants his guys to have a flawless outing.
In the opener, the Bucs really struggled to run the football. Against an inferior opponent like the Falcons, perhaps they could work on it a little more. However, Atlanta’s defense is so bad that it might not matter how many times Tampa Bay runs the ball. According to the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool, Brady has a 66% chance to exceed 309.5 passing yards and has an expected return on investment of 23.3%.
Kirk Cousins – Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes (+128, FanDuel)
Sunday’s matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and Arizona Cardinals is supposed to be one of the higher scoring games on the slate. However, the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool isn’t too fond of Cousins being a big part of the scoring. Cousins only has a prop number of 1.5 passing touchdowns, but he might have difficulty getting the ball out of his hands. Last week, the Cardinals’ defense was immaculate against the Tennessee Titans, allowing only 13 points while forcing six sacks and three turnovers.
Cousins going under 1.5 passing touchdowns has the highest expected return on investment (18.6%) for any quarterback in the 4:00 p.m. EST window.
Alexander Mattison – Over 10.5 Rushing Yards (-110, Caesars)
The lack of Cousins passing touchdowns could be explained by the optimism of the Vikings’ running game. According to the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool, Mattison rushing over 10.5 yards clocks in as the highest expected return on investment (81.7%) and expected win percentage (95%).
Of course, Mattison is the backup to superstar running back Dalvin Cook, but running the football is how Minnesota will stay competitive in this one. Mattison was phased out in the opener due to the Vikings going down early in the game. Although it didn’t work out last week, he does have a history of getting himself involved in the game plan. Last season, Mattison topped the 10.5 rushing-yard mark in his first six games. And it makes sense, especially if the Vikings would like to keep Cook’s workload within reason early on.
Will Dissly – Over 2.5 Receptions (+130, DraftKings) / 16.5 Receiving Yards (-116, FanDuel)
Dissly had a strong opener against the Indianapolis Colts, catching all three of his targets for 37 yards. His day was highlighted by a fancy juke move parlayed into a one-armed slam down of a Colts defender. That play certainly got everyone excited, especially his quarterback, Russell Wilson.
This week’s matchup against the Titans is expected to be one with sneaky profitability. According to the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool, Dissly is expected to almost double the amount of receiving yards (32) as his prop number (16.5). The system believes it has a 77% chance of winning with an expected return on investment of 44.4%.
In Week 1, Dissly (70%) and his tight-end counterpart Gerald Everett (72%) got in on a good number of the snaps. Dissly was more successful with his 3-37 line compared to Everett only grabbing two passes for 20 yards. Look for those 2-TE sets to continue in this matchup against the Titans and for Dissly to continue being the more profitable of the two tight ends.
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