In this article, we will take a look at the best Week 7 NFL player prop bets from the 4 p.m. ET window. Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these player prop bets. Three bets stood out above the rest in the 4 p.m. ET window, so let’s see what best NFL prop bets are:
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Week 7 Best NFL Player Prop Bets
Matthew Stafford, Over: 287.5 Passing Yards, -120 (BetMGM)
Stafford gets a matchup against the only team he had ever known before this season, the Detroit Lions. What a change of scenery (and success) it has been with the Los Angeles Rams, who sit at 5-1. Stafford should absolutely shred a Lions defense that ranks 25th DVOA. Detroit is slightly worse than average in terms of allowing passing yards, but the narrative of two quarterbacks facing their old teams could turn into a “flexing the guns” contest at times. Of course, we’re taking Stafford and the favored Rams in that battle.
According to Awesemo’s Player Props Tool, Stafford is projected to go over 287.5 passing yards by almost 50, and there’s a 78% expected win rate with a 44% expected return on investment. Some folks may be scared away by the blowout narrative, but only one starting quarterback has failed to throw for 250+ yards against the Lions this season.
Chase Edmonds, Over: 31.5 Rushing Yards, -110 (DraftKings)
The Arizona Cardinals are the highest favorite of the week at -17, as they’ll be facing the Houston Texans. If you took a look at Awesemo’s expert projections for Week 7, you’ll notice the Cardinals defense is projected to have more success than any other defensive unit. In short, we should see Arizona take control of this game early, meaning there should be plenty of rushing opportunities for Edmonds against a Houston defense that is allowing the second-most rushing yards per game (141.3) this season.
According to Awesemo’s Player Props Tool, Edmonds is projected to run for 55.5 yards in this matchup with an 86% expected win rate and 64% expected return on investment. Edmonds has exceeded this mark in four of his six games. In addition, nine different running backs have rushed for 30+ yards against the Texans.
Darren Waller, Over: 5.5 Receptions, -115 (PointsBet)
(Waller was added to the injury report late Saturday with a “questionable” tag. Check on his availability prior to the game.)
While the Philadelphia Eagles are allowing the fifth-fewest passing yards per game (211.8) this season, they are allowing the fourth-highest completion percentage (71.5%). This is a perfect time for the Las Vegas Raiders to get their main target Waller involved back in the passing game. After the big Week 1 performance, going for 10-105-1 against the Baltimore Ravens, Waller hasn’t exceeded five catches once, albeit landing either four or five receptions in all of them.
According to Awesemo’s Player Props Tool, Waller is projected for just under seven receptions with a 63% expected win rate and 18% expected return on investment. The Eagles’ defense was just toasted by tight ends last week when OJ Howard and Cam Brate combined for nine catches on 11 targets for 75 yards and a touchdown.
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