In this article, we will take a look at the best Week 12 NFL player prop bets from the 1 p.m. ET window. Using the Awesemo NFL Betting Player Props Tool, bettors can utilize it to maximize their profits and see which bets have the highest expected return on investment. Also, bettors can use OddsShopper to find which sportsbooks are offering the best prices for these player prop bets. Three bets stood out above the rest in the 1 p.m. ET window, so let’s see what best NFL prop bets are:
Week 12 Best NFL Player Props & Betting Picks
Jonathan Taylor – Over 79.5 Rushing Yards
Jonathan Taylor has been magnificent with three straight 100-yard rushing games, and in five of the last six. It’s no surprise that the Indianapolis Colts have gone 5-1 in that six-game stretch, considering Taylor is even starting to garner some MVP talk around the league. Sunday’s matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will come with a bit of resistance, as they are allowing the fewest rushing yards per game. However, the sharp money at sportsbooks is on the Colts this week, and it was even a peculiar opening line (-2.5 or -3) as well. Most teams feel the need to air it out against the Bucs going against Tom Brady, but this game flow is seeming like things will be a little different
According to Awesemo’s expert projections, Taylor is projected to run for 100 yards with a 72% expected win rate and 34% expected return investment. Only one running back (Khalil Herbert) has reached 70-plus yards against the Buccaneers this season but, as mentioned, Taylor should have additional opportunities if the Colts have the lead for long stretches. Not to mention, it’ll be a strength-on-strength matchup as Indianapolis ranks second in rush offense DVOA and fourth in yards per carry.
Miles Sanders – Over 59.5 Rushing Yards
Finally, the Philadelphia Eagles are starting to run the football on a regular basis. Some may feel like Nick Sirianni is mocking everyone by overdoing the run, but the Eagles are 3-1 since changing offensive philosophies. Miles Sanders returned to the lineup after a month-long absence and rushed for 94 yards on 16 carries in the win over the New Orleans Saints last week; the 16 carries were a season high. The Eagles’ matchup is a positive one as the New York Giants rank 30th in rush defense DVOA and 23rd in yards allowed per carry.
According to Awesemo’s expert projections, Sanders is projected to run for 78 yards with a 70% expected win rate and 34% expected return on investment. So far this season, seven different running backs have exceeded 59.5 rushing yards against the Giants.
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Zach Wilson – Over 229.5 Passing Yards
It will be tough to convince people that Sunday’s matchup between the Houston Texans and New York Jets is a Super Bowl preview, but that doesn’t mean the two basement-dwelling teams can’t have some fun. It would not be surprising at all to see a couple of trick plays pulled out in this one. Zach Wilson gets the Jets QB1 role all to himself again after both Mike White and Joe Flacco will miss the game for COVID protocols. Before his injury
According to Awesemo’s expert projections, Wilson is projected to throw for 266 yards with a 72% expected win rate and 34 expected return on investment. So far this season, eight different quarterbacks have exceeded 229.5 passing yards against the Texans.
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