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DFS Golf Picks This Week & Expert Rankings for RBC Heritage 2022

Geoff Ulrich



The PGA moves down to the coast this week with a quick return to another classic event in the RBC Heritage. The April date on this event always provides some cooler off the sea conditions, which can see fog, rain and wind all play factors. Winning scores run the gamut at this shorter technical track and there have been single-digit winners at various points over the last decade. Last year saw Stewart Cink reach 19 under par, but he put on a dominant performance which saw him gain multiple strokes throughout the bag. This venue tends to have a type and there are lots of players with great course history this week to consider for DFS golf picks on DraftKings and FanDuel.

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The venue is a short Pete Dye designed par 71 that measures around 7,099 yards and features small Bermuda greens. The greens are tough to hit — look for bad greens-in-regulation percentages this week — but quite flat in most spots and easy to put on. Winners here often gain massive strokes on the greens and Webb Simpson gained 6.6 strokes putting during his win in 2020. With several tight driving holes and doglegs, clubbing down off the tee is often necessary on several holes and off-tee game tends to be deemphasized. It is a tricky course where iron play, strong putting and experience on claustrophobic Pete Dye venues tend to pay off.

DFS Golf Rankings & Expert 2022 RBC Heritage Picks

Harbour Town Golf Links Stats and Info

  • Average three-putt percentage is often 10-20% lower than the tour average, but the average greens-in-regulation percentage is also 5-10% lower than average.
  • Average driving distance at this event is one of the lowest on tour and often 10 to 15 yards lower than tour average; two of the last four winners here have lost strokes off the tee at this event and driver is not a club players will use a ton this week.
  • Five of the last six winners here have gained 3.5 strokes on approach (or more) for the week of their win; Cink gained 8.1 strokes on approach during his win in 2021.

Putting Splits

The greens at Harbour Town Golf Links are TifEagle Bermudagrass. These tend to be easier to putt on, with fewer three-putts than normal. Here is a more general look at some of the best and worst Bermudagrass putters in the field, relative to their strokes gained on other surfaces. Use caution with these in your fantasy golf picks; they are not the be-all, end-all, but they make for a nice tiebreaker.

Positive Bermuda Putting Splits, Last 50 Rounds

  1. Chesson Hadley: +40 strokes on Bermuda, -1 on all other surfaces
  2. Kevin Kisner: +32 strokes on Bermuda, +8 on all other surfaces
  3. Adam Hadwin: +29 strokes on Bermuda, +4 on all other surfaces
    *+ equals total strokes gained | – equals strokes lost

Negative Bermuda Putting Splits, Last 50 Rounds

  1. Jason Kokrak: +11 strokes on Bermuda, +45 on all other surfaces
  2. Maverick McNealy: -4 strokes on Bermuda, +27 on all other surfaces
  3. Patrick Cantlay: -1 strokes on Bermuda, +31 on all other surfaces

Latest PGA DFS Content

RBC Heritage DFS Golf Picks & Fantasy Golf Rankings

Shane Lowry: Grades: A, Values: C

It was a great Masters for Shane Lowry, who put up a career-best third-place finish there last week. Lowry has played inspired golf for most of the year, starting strong over in Europe before grabbing four top-15 finishes in a row over on the PGA Tour. Lowry’s best asset right now also happens to be his approach game, which has seen him gain at least three strokes against the field in each of his last four starts. That kind of consistency should obviously be coveted this week at Hilton Head, where strong approach games are absolutely essential to victory and Lowry’s experience at this event/venue — ninth in 2019 and third in 2021 — should have DFS players buoyed as well.

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From a PGA DFS projections standpoint, there is no one with a salary under $10,000 who has a higher point projection than Lowry, in the Awesemo Model. While some kind of Masters hangover could be a fear, numerous players have competed and done well at Augusta to then come to this event and take it a step further, like Cink finishing 12th at Augusta last year before winning this event. Lowry looks primed and ready for a big week and is a player to build around with a very affordable salary on both sites.

Projected PGA DFS ownership: DraftKings: 16.9% | FanDuel: 19%

The Stats:

  • Ranks top-20 in proximity and approach stats over the last 50 rounds
  • Has played this event three times with two top-10 finishes; has gained over one stroke putting on the Hilton Head greens in three of those four starts as well

Webb Simpson: Grades: B, Values: A

The RBC Heritage has a certain type of player that excels at this venue every single year it seems, and it is mainly veteran players who bring in solid around the green skills and a still elite approach game. That pretty much describes Webb Simpson to a tee when he is in form, and the veteran looks like his game finally might be rounding into shape just in time for another run at one of his favorite tracks. The 2020 winner of this event had dealt with some injury issues to start the year but has now played in three events in a row counting the Match Play and has made the weekend in each of his last two stroke-play events.

Simpson’s 35th at Augusta does not jump off the page but when Webb is at least hanging around on those longer tracks, his game generally is not too far off. From a long-term perspective, Simpson still grades out very well at $8,800 on DraftKings this week and has the second-highest DFS golf point projection of any player under $9,000 there this week. When factoring in his increasing short-term form and course history though, he grades out as an even stronger play and likely will not develop into huge chalk this week due to his slow start to the season.

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Projected PGA DFS ownership: DraftKings: 9.2% | FanDuel: 6.3%

The Stats:

  • Ranks ninth in DraftKings points gained over the last 50 rounds.
  • Still ranks top 20 in overall proximity in longer-term form and fifth from 125 to 150 yards as well.
  • Has not missed the cut at Harbour Town in nine straight starts.

Awesemo golf betting experts Ben Rasa and Eytan Shander will be coming to you every week on the OddsShopper YouTube Channel with the Putting for Dough golf betting show, where they give you their expert PGA picks and predictions for the week. This week, they are giving their free golf betting picks for the 2022 Masters.

Low-Owned Daily Fantasy Golf GPP Flier

Si Woo Kim ($8,400)

The $8,000 range on DraftKings this week has a lot of playable names but no overwhelming chalk. Ownership should be spread there and it will give an opportunity to chase some upside with some of those names. One player who looks like he is potentially going under-loved right now is Si Woo Kim, who arguably has the best pure upside of anyone in this range. The three-time PGA Tour winner has dominated Pete Dye tracks over his career, grabbing wins at TPC Sawgrass and TPC stadium. He also lost in a playoff at this event back in 2018 and has typically done his best work on these shorter technical tracks, where his elite short iron game and around the green wizardry can shine through the best.

Kim has now made 10 cuts in a row on the PGA Tour and he showed good resolve to make the weekend at Augusta after opening with a 76 there. With everything in his game looking sharp (he gained strokes throughout the bag at the Valero where he finished 13th) taking him on as an upside play in GPPs this week makes sense. If he Is under 10% rostered on DraftKings, he could be the play of the week in this range.

Projected PGA DFS ownership: DraftKings: 6.1%

Top Three Under 5% in DraftKings Fantasy Golf This Week

This section will target players that should end up under or close to 5% ownership in larger DraftKings Golf GPPs. These picks are boom/bust PGA DFS players with an almost 100% focus on the upside.

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Patton Kizzire ($7,100)

Kizzire busted as a chalky play at the Valero Texas Open a couple of weeks ago but had been playing some solid golf prior to that start. His struggles in Texas were mostly around the greens too as he has now gained strokes on approach in six straight starts. An elite putter at times, Kizzire can bail DFS players out in numerous ways this week on a shorter track and is tracking himself with sub-5% ownership in the projections.

Matthew NeSmith ($6,600)

NeSmith has lots of experience playing on this side of the country and is only one start removed from a third-place finish at the tougher Valspar Championship. He has gained four strokes or more on approach the last two years he has played this event and could easily excel with a top 10 if he is even just average around the greens this week.

Erik van Rooyen ($7,300)

Van Rooyen is another player whose approach game should have fans buoyed for his chances this week. He gained over 11 strokes on approach a few weeks back at another Pete Dye venue at the Players Championship and will at least be well-rested after getting cut at the Masters. He is the epitome of boom or bust but did finish 21st at this event last season as well.

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The Yahoo! DFS PGA projections, the PGA DFS showdown projections for today and the DFS PGA ownership projections for today are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world. Looking for more DFS PGA picks and PGA DFS? FantasyDraft PGA DFS rankings for this week will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament.

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