Welcome to the English Premier League DFS coverage for Thursday, Dec. 16. Below are the top EPL DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel for Matchday 17, which consider all aspects of the slate, from Awesemo’s expert projections to pricing to popularity for DFS fantasy soccer. These EPL DFS soccer picks should help with creating highly projected lineups in DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy soccer tournaments and cash games.
DraftKings & FanDuel EPL DFS Picks Today
Leicester City (+135) vs. Tottenham (+185), O/U 2.5
Chelsea (-450) vs. Everton (+1,150), O/U 2.5
Liverpool (-800) vs. Newcastle (+2,000), O/U 3.5
Romelu Lukaku (DraftKings: $7,600, FanDuel: $20)
Mason Mount (DraftKings: $9,200, FanDuel: $19)
Chelsea is a heavy favorite against Everton. On a small slate the clear teams to target are Chelsea and Liverpool, which both have plus matchups at home. Chelsea has the third-best home offense in the EPL: 2.13 expected goals per match. They trail only Manchester City in total goals scored at home and face an Everton team that allows 1.41 expected goals per match on the road.
The primary goal hunter for Chelsea is Romelu Lukaku. His 2.47 shots per match are third on the team. His price on DraftKings is low enough for the scoring upside, but the lack of floor keeps him as a GPP play. On FanDuel his price is among the top of the list, and the on-target accuracy of 26% makes the attackers from Liverpool better options.
Mason Mount has seen his salary rise alongside his production. He contributes on 27% of Chelsea’s overall scoring, which leads the club. Mount averages 2.47 shots per match and builds a floor through an average of 5.95 crosses. He is an upside play on both sites, and his 4.06 scoring chances created make him a better play at a $1 discount from Lukaku on FanDuel. For stacking Chelsea, look to value on Jorginho. He is under $6,000 and handles the penalty. penalties are a hard metric to track, but Chelsea has drawn the most in the EPL, making Jorginho worth some shots in GPPs.
Diogo Jota (DraftKings: $8,700, FanDuel: $20)
Sadio Mane (DraftKings: $8,300, FanDuel: $19)
Mohamed Salah is a clear top play. He leads the EPL in shot volume and goals scored. The matchup against Newcastle is prime for scoring output. Newcastle allows 1.62 expected goals on the road. Liverpool leads the EPL with an expected goals of 2.45 per match at home. The attackers alongside Salah look primed to find the back of the net.
Diogo Jota is second on the team sheet in goals and averages 3.39 shots per match. He hits target at 35% accuracy and averages 3.83 scoring chances created per match. Sadio Mane is at a discount from his two teammates up front, contributes on 17% of their overall scoring, and has 3.38 shots and creates 2.91 scoring chances per match. Two of the three are key to stacking on a small slate. Salah will draw the highest ownership, and the pivot to Sane and Jota not only provides leverage, but also frees up salary to mix in key members of Chelsea or the wingbacks from Liverpool.
Liverpool will look to dominate the time of possession, and Newcastle’s starting 11 are priced for the limited opportunities. Allan Saint-Maximin makes an interesting one-off with an average of 2.02 shots per match and 1.56 drawn fouls per match. Jonjo Shelvey would be in line to handles set shares and averages 3.66 crosses and one attempt per match. They are reserved for GPP plays for leverage, and Jorginho still is a priority over them if dropping to that price range in cash.
Other Options: James Maddison (DraftKings $9,400, FanDuel $17), Youri Tielemans (DraftKings $8,400, FanDuel $18), Son Heung-Min (DraftKings $9,600, FanDuel $19), Jamie Vardy (DraftKings $8,600, FanDuel $19), Harry Kane (DraftKings $6,600, FanDuel $18)
Andrew Robertson (DraftKings: $6,000, FanDuel: $13)
Andrew Robertson could go overlooked with Reece James and Trent Alexander-Arnold on the slate. He does not have the attempts at net that the two produce. His floor is just as high as them, and his salary is discounted. Robertson averages 6.33 crosses per match and 1.91 assisted shots per match. His upside is in his teammates finishing his setups towards the goal and the clean sheet bonus, which is a very realistic expectation in this matchup.
Other Options: Trent Alexander-Arnold (DraftKings $8,000, FanDuel $15), Reece James (DraftKings $7,200, FanDuel $14), Sergio Reguilon (DraftKings $5,300, FanDuel $13)
Alison (DraftKings: $5,900, FanDuel: $13)
Edouard Mendy (DraftKings: $5,800, FanDuel: $12)
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