Welcome to the English Premiere League Daily Fantasy Sports coverage for Saturday, May 1. Here you’ll find the top EPL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel, which consider all aspects of the slate, from Awesemo’s expert projections to pricing to popularity across the soccer DFS landscape. These picks should help you create highly projected lineups in DraftKings and FanDuel English Premier League tournaments and cash games.
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EPL Odds Report
Brighton & Hove Albion (+120) vs. Leeds United (+230), O/U 2.5
Chelsea (-227) vs. Fulham (+650), O/U 2.5
Everton (-105) vs. Aston Villa (+280), O/U 3.5
EPL DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Lineups | May 1
These are listed in order of what I believe are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.
EPL DFS Picks: Forwards/Midfielders
Kalvin Phillips (DraftKings $4,500, FanDuel $)
Jack Harrison (DraftKings $7,500, FanDuel $)
Leeds United travels to Brighton, where they face the No. 1 home defense in the English Premier League. Brighton’s actual goals allowed of 1.18 per match suggest the chances might not be there, but they can leak out quality opportunities. Leeds averaged 1.4 expected goals on the road and has an actual scoring rate of 1.75 per match.
The goal-hunting option would be Patrick Bamford, who comes into the match leading the visitors in overall scoring and shot volume at 2.96 per match. His price falls below $7,000, and he has contributed on 43% of his club’s overall scoring. He looks to handle penalty sets with the expectation that Mateusz Klich will remain out. Klich in the starting 11 makes an interesting GPP punt at $3,2000 for salary relief and PK upside.
Kalvin Phillips is a solid core play given salary relief and a mix of metrics. With Raphinha expected out, Phillips splits corner shares with Jack Harrison and has become more active on the offense. He delivers indirect free kicks and has recorded consecutive multi chances created matches to top-tier defenses. Phillips adds value with 2.96 won tackles/interceptions and looks to get an uptick on the 1.80 shots/assisted shots per match.
Harrison does his offensive damage by way of open play, with 2.87 shots/assisted shots per match and a higher floor on sets to increase the 4.32 crosses per match. His asking price is not as favorable, but the upside surpasses Phillips’. Harrison has contributed on 27% of his club’s overall scoring and a pairing with Bamford makes a solid value stack in GPPs.
Gylfi Sigurdsson (DraftKings $7,800, FanDuel $)
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (DraftKings $6,500, FanDuel $)
Aston Villa is a club that has really struggled at Villa Park, allowing a below-average 1.40 expected goals. The actual goals conceded are just as bad, and they face an Everton club that is just as bad offensively on the road, averaging 1.11 expected goals. Everton’s woes can be attributed to the inconsistent starting 11 affected by injuries to the attackers, and there are different ways to get in on the high-priced offense.
Gylfi Sigurdsson would be a first in when you considering penalty duty and offensive involvement. He averages 2.63 crosses per match, which stay par with James Rodriguez in, and increase without Rodriguez to over 1.5 per match. Sigurdsson is not shy to shoot and puts up 2.26 shots/assisted shots per match. Rodriguez is a top option; the only concern is the price paid for the form that seems inconsistent and his set shares will draw high ownership.
The goal hunting options are Richarlison and Dominic Calvert-Lewin. Calvert-Lewin is preferred given the higher on-target accuracy and significant price discount of over $1,500. Both mirror each other with 2.51 and 2.54 shots per match, though Calvert-Lewin hits target at a much higher clip.
If Sigurdsson does not start the match, Rodriguez is a clear core play with one of the attackers up front. The high asking prices across the three make it unappealing to stack them unless predicting them to break three goals.
Pascal Gross (DraftKings $8,700, FanDuel $)
All season long Leeds has given up chances on the defense due to their high-press offense. Pascal Gross is the due it all for the home side of this match. He handles all set shares and contributes on 25% of Brighton’s overall scoring. Gross averages 6.44 crosses per match and 2.06 assisted shots. Brighton will look to come out of this match with points to keep them out of relegation, and it is hard to imagine them keeping Leeds completely off the score sheet.
A GPP option is the attacking man upfront, Neal Maupay. He leads the host in overall scoring and averages 2.19 shots per match. He can add value with over a drawn foul per match, but even at sub-$7,000, he needs to contribute on the scoresheet. Maupay’s shot volume is more appealing on DraftKings over FanDuel due to his 38% accuracy, which can leave empty points on FanDuel for not hitting target.
Other Options: Mason Mount (DraftKings $10,000, FanDuel $), Kai Havertz (DraftKings $5,800, FanDuel $), Anwar El Ghazi (DraftKings $9,200, FanDuel $), Ollie Watkins (DraftKings $7,700, FanDuel $), Ademola Lookman (DraftKings $7,400, FanDuel $)
EPL DFS Picks: Defender
Joel Veltman (DraftKings $4,800, FanDuel $)
Reece James (DraftKings $6,800, FanDuel $)
Joel Veltman comes in discounted and returns to his defender tag. He is highly involved in the Brighton push-up and can ignite a counter attack. He averages 2.33 crosses per match by way of open play and averages 1.25 shots/assisted shots. On the wing he draws 1.44 fouls per match. Given the long ball press of Leeds offense, he will have chances to increase his 2.40 won tackles/interceptions. He is a core defender play given the low ask and different metrics to produce 2X+ value.
Reece James looks to get the start at the wing, judging solely from his lack of minutes in the Champions League fixture. James comes in with a high asking price but is active on the wing, and if Mason Mount gets a breather, he could see set shares. James averages 4.59 crosses per match and 2.37 shots/assisted shots. Time of possession is Chelsea’s friend, and holding on to Champions League spot for next year will drive them to put of goals. James’ activity without scoring has his floor easily paying off the asking price with upside potential.
Other Options: Lucas Digne (DraftKings $6,300, FanDuel $), Matthew Cash (DraftKings $4,700, FanDuel $), Antonee Robinson (DraftKings $4,000, FanDuel $).
Illan Meslier (DraftKings $4,500, FanDuel $)
Emiliano Martinez (DraftKings $4,300, FanDuel $)
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