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Corner Kick: EPL DFS Picks for Matchday 18 with Kevin De Bruyne | 12/26/21

Jovanni Vidal

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Welcome to the English Premier League DFS coverage for Sunday, Dec. 26. Below are the top EPL DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel for Matchday 17, which consider all aspects of the slate, from Awesemo’s expert projections to pricing to popularity for DFS fantasy soccer. These EPL DFS soccer picks should help with creating highly projected lineups in DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy soccer tournaments and cash games.

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**All Odds from BetMGM**

Manchester City (-600) vs. Leicester City (+1.250), O/U 3.5

Norwich City (+650) vs. Arsenal (-250), O/U 2.5

Tottenham (-145) vs. Crystal Palace (+450), O/U 2.5

West Ham (-115) vs. Southampton (+300), O/U 2.5

Aston Villa (+425) vs. Chelsea (-145), O/U 2.5

Brighton (-110) vs. Brentford (+310), O/U 2.5

Forwards/Midfield

Riyad Mahrez (DraftKings: $9,500, FanDuel: $17)

Kevin De Bruyne (DraftKings: $9,000, FanDuel: $21)

Manchester City play host to Leicester City. Manchester City is the top club in the EPL standings and rank second in offense at home with 2.43 expected goals per match. Leicester have had all sorts of trouble on defense allowing 1.58 expected goals on the road. They have allowed two plus goals in each of their previous four away matches including three in each to Liverpool and Napoli. Manchester City’s offense packs as much a punch as those two sides and will look to put this match away early. The starting eleven will be a mystery for this rotated group of stars.

Kevin De Bruyne comes in discounted on DraftKings from the other options and handles set shares. He leads the club with 6.14 scoring chances created per match and sits among the top at 3.75 shots per match. De Bruyne as not contributed on much of the scoring for Manchester City on the season which makes him a tough roster at the asking price on FanDuel. On FanDuel the options of Riyad Mahrez and Gabriel Jesus. They each average north of 2.85 shots per match with Mahrez second on the club at 3.5. The strikers lack the floor but the match up is there and they provide upside on the goal contribution.

Mahrez offers a floor on DraftKings with over one goal contribution in each start this season. The shot volume is their as mentioned above and he averages 7.44 crosses per match. The presence of Phil Foden or De Bruyne will not cut into Mahrez crossing volume too much as his splits evenly flow through sets and open play. The attacking options conclude with Raheem Sterling and Bernardo Silva. The host side’s offense is spread across the scoring front and they come in at sub $9,000 on the asking price. They lack the floor and we would look for the upside from one or the other. They fit Manchester City stacks mixed with one of the higher priced options in both cash and GPP’s.

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Gabriel Martinelli (DraftKings: $10,700, FanDuel: $17)

Martin Odegaard (DraftKings: $8,300, FanDuel: $15)

Arsenal is trending up in form since the benching of Piere-Emerick Aubameyang. They have four consecutive victories where they posted two plus goals and see a Norwich side that allows 1.8 expected goals in their previous three outings. Arsenal will look to walk out of this meeting with all three points as they continue to seal a top four finish.

Gabriel Martinelli has been on a scoring run and comes in as the most expensive option on DraftKings. The salary will require at least one goal form Martinelli and the volume is their with 2.21 shots per match. He is a GPP option and in cash I would look to the other Arsenal weapons. Martin Odegaard comes in with a significant discount and a floor build on set shares. He averages 1.34 shots per match and 4.13 scoring chances per match. The scoring option for the visiting side is Alexandre Lacazette. He handles the PK and has contributed on a score for the club in 50% of his starts. He has the match up advantage and makes a top play given the salary and scoring upside for DraftKings.

The set shares and distribution has been evenly spread in the impressive run Arsenal has put together. For stacking I would look to Odegaard or Lacazette mixed with at least one of Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli. In all formats Saka and Martinelli are in play. On FanDuel Martinelli and Saka are the preferred options over Lacazette with a discounted salary.

Michail Antonio (DraftKings: $7,500, FanDuel: $19)

Jarrod Bowen (DraftKings: $9,400, FanDuel: $18)

West Ham has trouble scoring in recent form. They take on a Southampton side that has not kept a clean sheet since the injury to Alex McCarthy. West Ham need a win with Europa slot slipping away. They average 1.52 expected goals per match which ranks mid tier in the EPL. Southampton allows 1.71 expected goals per match on the road, sitting bottom four in the EPL.

Jarrod Bowen handles set shares and averages 4.74 crosses per match via an even split of sets and open play. This mark sees an uptick without Aaron Creswell. Bowen trails Michail Antonio on the team lead of shot volume with 2.69 per match. He sits second in scoring chances created with 3.65 per match and contributes on 26.9% of the club’s overall scoring.

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Antonio leads the club in scoring and contributes on 38% of the club’s overall scoring. He comes in with a favorable salary where a goal is enough to pay it off. Similar to Lacazette, Antonio is underpriced on DraftKings and provides scoring upside while freeing up salary for the volume output stars of Manchester City and Arsenal. Bowen and Antonio make a GPP stacking option with a full Manchester City or Arsenal. I would look to two to three of the options from these three sides to mix in a lineup for SE or cash roles.

Other Options: Son Heung-Min (DraftKings $9,700, FanDuel $20), Harry Kane (DraftKings $6,800, FanDuel $19), Jame Ward-Prowse (DraftKings $8,800, FanDuel $17), Ollie Watkins (FanDuel $17), Ivan Toney (FanDuel $17).

Defense

Sergio Reguilon (DraftKings: $5,700, FanDuel: $13)

Sergio Reguilon is active on the offense for Tottenham. The club plays host to Crystal Palace. Crystal Palace is an impressive defense on the road allowing 1.42 expected goals per match. Tottenham is finding their scoring touch in recent matches with two plus goals in four consecutive matches. Reguilon has helped with the scoring with a goal and assist in the two matches he started. He adds value with crossing volume in open play and averages 3.75 per match. He makes a solid one off option and a pairing with Hugo Lloris or one of the Tottenham options listed above.

Other Options: Joao Cancelo (DraftKings $6,700, FanDuel $15), Vladimir Coufal (DraftKings $4,900, FanDuel $9), Valentino Livramento (DraftKings $4,600, FanDuel $11).

Goalkeeper

Hugo Lloris (DraftKings: $5,200, FanDuel: $13)

Aaron Ramsdale (DraftKings: $5,700, FanDuel: $14)


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Looking for more EPL DFS picks content? We have loads of articles, data, DraftKings and FanDuel cheat sheets and more on the Awesemo EPL DFS home page.

Jovanni Vidal is accountant and finance analyst, with lifetime passion for fantasy sports. He has provided content and player analysis for season-long fantasy sites. He joined Awesemo to help new and current DFS soccer players learn new approaches to the game and how to succeed, with an overall goal to grow the DFS soccer sport and various league content offerings. You can reach him on Twitter @fluff_marsh.

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