Welcome to the UEFA Euro 2020 Championship DFS coverage for Tuesday, July 6. Here you will find the top Euro DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel, which consider all aspects of the slate from Awesemo’s expert projections to pricing to popularity for DFS fantasy soccer. These Euro 2020 DFS soccer picks should help you create highly projected lineups in DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy soccer tournaments and cash games.
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Euro Odds Report
**All Odds from BetMGM**
Spain (+200) vs. Italy (+140), O/U 2.5
Euro 2020 DFS Picks: Fantasy Soccer | July 6
These are listed in order of what are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.
Euro DFS Picks: Captain
Lorenzo Insigne (DraftKings: $16,500, FanDuel: $15)
This is an interesting matchup in the semifinals of the Euro. Italy has yet to lose in the tournament and recorded three clean sheets. They come in as the favored side and have an expected goals average of 1.65. The Italians had convincing performances against Austria and Belgium and averaged 18.9 shots per match in the Euros. Lorenzo Insigne handles the set pieces.
Insigne averages 3.5 shots per match and offers a floor with crossing volume and created chances. On DraftKings he is a core play. On FanDuel his 28% on-target accuracy makes him a better play in the utility spot.
Koke (DraftKings: $11,100, FanDuel: $6)
Similar to Insigne, Koke handles the sets for Spain. His floor is built on sets and a mix of assisted shots and drawn fouls. He is a core play even as a one-off in an Italy stack on DraftKings. On FanDuel he lacks shot volume and on-target accuracy to pay off even the free price. On DraftKings he is a solid captain play in an Italy stack if playing a low-scoring result. Insigne and Koke would be in almost every lineup in one form or another if maxing entries.
Euro DFS Picks: Flex
Alvaro Morata (DraftKings: $8,600, FanDuel: $14)
Federico Chiesa (DraftKings: $7,800, FanDuel: $12)
Goal hunters are necessary to take down a GPP. There is a mix of contributors from both sides throughout the Euro. Alvaro Morata has led Spain in shot volume with 3.49 per match. Dani Olmo is at the top as well, but Morata’s on-target accuracy is 46.7%. If Olmo starts, he is an option in a Spain stack. The penalty sets are between Morata and Gerard Moreno, who both have failed in their attempts. Morata’s positioning as the No. 9 and ability to connect on feeds from the wings makes him the preferred option, with the two wingers alongside as mixed exposures in pairings.
Federico Chiesa has earned his start for Italy. His willingness to fire at the net and creation on the wing make the price too cheap. He will garner ownership and will be worthy chalk. He has averaged 3.69 shots per match and has 36.7% on-target accuracy. Nicolo Barella frequently gets on the scoresheet, and Ciro immobile is always a threat to find the back of the net. The punt consideration lies with Jorginho, who comes in under $5,000 and handles penalties.
Jordi Alba (DraftKings: $6,800, FanDuel: $10)
It is hard to look for a defender outside Jordi Alba. The split in time of possession might limit clear attempts for the center backs of each side, so rely on a chance creator. On DraftKings he provides crossing volume and assisted shots. On FanDuel his passing metrics and clears mirror most the other defenders. His price on FanDuel is tough to fit in, which should keep his ownership lower. With Leonardo Spinazzola out, the wing backs of Spain would have an advantage pressing up against a weaker defensive wing back in Emerson. The pivot off Alba is Cesar Azpilicueta for a discount and offensive push.
Gianluigi Donnarumma (DraftKings: $6,400)
Unai Simon (DraftKings: $6,000)
The goalkeepers for both nations have stepped up. Gianluigi Donnarumma made key saves for Italy against Belgium, and Unai Simon came up big in penalties for Spain. They will see an increase in volume given the talent up front for both opposing attacks. Donnarumma has an 85.7% save percentage in the Euros, while Simon has 50%. Even allowing a goal could see the winning keeper a place in the optimal at the flex. If playing for a low-scoring affair, putting keepers in a lineup is not a crazy approach. This strategy is very risky unless maxing a GPP.
Italy vs Spain: Draw +220 (BetMGM)
It is hard to separate both sides. Italy averages 1.65 expected goals and allows 1.45 in knockout rounds. Spain averaged nearly three expected goals and allowed 2.2 per match in the knockout stage. Spain has underperformed in actual goals, while Italy has scored over one actual goal compared to expected.
The style of play looks to start slower until one team breaks through, and both have the firepower on and off the bench to level the scoresheet at any point. The best play on the line from value is a draw in the 90 minutes at +220. The last three meetings between the two sides have resulted in a win for each and a draw. It has been years and player overhauls for key parts of both sides since then.
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