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DraftKings

Corner Kick: UCL DFS Picks for Group Stage with Cristiano Ronaldo | 10/20/21

Jovanni Vidal

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Manchester United star Cristiano Ronaldo appeared to trash Ole Gunnar Solskjær during the teams embarrassing 5-0 loss to Liverpool on Sunday

Welcome to the Champions League DFS coverage for Wednesday, Oct. 20. Below are the top UCL DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel for Group Stage, which consider all aspects of the slate, from Awesemo’s expert projections to pricing to popularity for DFS fantasy soccer. These UCL DFS soccer picks should help with creating highly projected lineups in DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy soccer tournaments and cash games.

DraftKings & FanDuel UCL DFS Picks Today

**All Odds from BetMGM**

Benfica (+650) vs. Bayern Munich (-250), O/U 3.5

Chelsea (-1,100) vs. Malmo (+3,000), O/U 3.5

Zenit (+260) vs. Juventus (+120), O/U 2.5

Lille (+230) vs. Sevilla (+125), O/U 2.5

Manchester United (-130) vs. Atalanta (+360), O/U 3.5

Young Boys (+220) vs. Villareal (+115), O/U 2.5

Forwards/Midfield

Cristiano Ronaldo (DraftKings: $9,300, FanDuel: $22)

Bruno Fernandes (DraftKings: $9,200, FanDuel: $20)

The go-to cash spot points to Chelsea in a plus matchup against Malmo at home. GPPs require leverage spots. Manchester United hosts Atalanta as a slight favorite, but Atalanta struggles on defense. Atalanta has allowed 1.56 expected goals, ranking below average in Serie A. On the road they are near the bottom, with 1.7 expected goals allowed per match. Manchester United has a full arsenal of attack, which places fifth in the EPL in expected goals. At home Manchester United ranks fourth in the EPL, with 1.75 expected goals per match and 2.5 actual goals per match.

The leader up front is Cristiano Ronaldo. Ronaldo builds his floor off shot volume, with 4.77 per match and an on-target accuracy clip of 38.1%. He is a brace threat whenever he steps on the pitch and has a low enough price under $10,000. His on-target shots give him the floor on FanDuel, and the scoring upside makes him a play in all formats.

Bruno Fernandes lacks the floor, but he is not shy to shoot, and the matchup calls for an uptick in 3.16 shots per match volume. He contributes on 37.5% of the host’s scoring and creates 5.92 scoring chances per match. The open-play average of 3.29 crosses per match add to his value and makes him a core play of the Manchester United stack. The wingers are rounded out with Mason Greenwood and the possible return of Marcus Rashford. Both have scoring upside and make an interesting combo with one of Ronaldo or Rashford for salary relief if targeting Chelsea’s key men.

Ivan Rakitic (DraftKings: $4,500, FanDuel: $16)

Rafa Mir (DraftKings: $6,500, FanDuel: $17)

Sevilla goes on the road to battle a defense of Lille, which is a shell of last year’s championship run. They are allowing one expected goal per match and were trampled by RB Salzburg in their previous Champions League outing. Sevilla is not an imposing offense but a step up from the quality of Ligue 1 and the Austrian Bundesliga. Ivan Rakitic comes in too cheap, and Rafa Mir headlines the attack for Sevilla.

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Rakitic averages just 1.75 shots per match and 2.25 scoring chances created. His value is in PK sets, which he has taken throughout the Champions League early stages. Lille have been one of the better sides at committing fouls, so Rakitic sits as a GPP play with the direct free kick sets and upside should a penalty come about.

Mir leads Sevilla in goals and averages 4.41 shots per match. The on-target accuracy is concerning at 33.8%, making him hard to justify on FanDuel. The discounted price on DraftKings allows salary relief. For a cash play, Marcos Acuna will handle a large share of the indirect sets. His open-play volume complements the average 6.17 crosses per match, and his scoring chances make him a go to in the defender spot at under $5,000 on DraftKings.

Robert Lewandowski (DraftKings: $12,500, FanDuel: $23)

Christian Fassnacht (DraftKings: $5,100, FanDuel: $13)

Robert Lewandowski comes in with a massive price. Bayern averages 19 shots per match, ranking third in the Champions League. This mark is capped by Lewandowski at 4.67 shots per match. He handles the PKs and hits target 57.6% of the time. Lewandowski will need a brace to pay off the price, but he is certainly capable of it and is a top option in GPPs. For cash, Romelu Lukaku and Ronaldo are better. Leroy Sane, Thomas Mueller and Serge Gnarby offer a significant discount, and the matchup is hard to ignore.

Those punts can be found on Young Boys. They have a home matchup against Villareal. Villareal is a tough defensive outing, but the Young Boys are a resilient side at home. Christian Fassnacht leads the home side in goals and averages 3.17 shots per match. Fassnacht allows for the spend up for Bayern and one of the EPL giants mentioned above. In cash a core punt can be found with Michel Aebischer and a defender below. Should one miss the match, the other will handle full set shares. Both are $5,800 and are likewise affordable on FanDuel at under $12. The underdogs in this match come off an upset win at home against Manchester United, so confidence will not be an issue. As with Sevilla, Young Boys would not be a go to stack, but the one-off pieces are necessary.

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Other Options: Romelu Lukaku (DraftKings $9,500, FanDuel $21), Federico Chiesa (DraftKings $8,400, FanDuel $18), Gerard Moreno (DraftKings $7,700, FanDuel $20), Joshua Kimmich (DraftKings $8,100, FanDuel $15), Ruslan Malinovskyi (DraftKings $7,400, FanDuel $16). Duvan Zapata (DraftKings $8,200, FanDuel $19)

Defense

Ulisses Garcia (DraftKings: $5,800, FanDuel: $10)

Ulisses Garcia handles the set shares for Young Boys. He does not need to score to pay off the price. His average 6.37 crosses per match complement the 2.17 won tackles/interceptions per match to build a solid floor. Should Young Boys find themselves at a disadvantage on the time of possession, Garcia can contribute on defense. He has contributed on just 12.5% of Young Boy’s scoring. He takes his chances at net with 1.50 shots per match.

Other Options: Luke Shaw (DraftKings $5,500, FanDuel $12), Ben Chilwell (DraftKings $6,000, FanDuel $13), Douglas Santos (DraftKings $5,600, FanDuel $12), Juan Cuadrado (DraftKings $5,900, FanDuel $15)

Goalkeeper

Yassine Bounou (DraftKings: $5,100, FanDuel: $11)

David von Ballmoos (DraftKings: $4,600, FanDuel: $9)


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Looking for more EPL DFS picks content? We have loads of articles, data, DraftKings and FanDuel cheat sheets and more on the Awesemo EPL DFS home page.

Jovanni Vidal is accountant and finance analyst, with lifetime passion for fantasy sports. He has provided content and player analysis for season-long fantasy sites. He joined Awesemo to help new and current DFS soccer players learn new approaches to the game and how to succeed, with an overall goal to grow the DFS soccer sport and various league content offerings. You can reach him on Twitter @fluff_marsh.

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