We’re into day two of this week’s tennis action and with that comes a massive slate that we’re going to break down. The second slate of this tennis DFS week has 17 matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We have thoughts on Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina, so let’s dive in.
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Aryna Sabalenka (DraftKings $9,500; FanDuel N/A)
Aryna Sabalenka ended the 2019 season with a bang, as she took home the WTA Elite Trophy title. The world No. 11 struggled to maintain a top level in the middle of last season but she eventually kicked it in gear. Sabalenka won 10 out of her last 11 matches, including a straight-set win over the world No. 1 Ashleigh Barty. Sabalenka is just 1-1 this season however, firing down aces at a 6% rate while winning 70% of first serve points.
Sabalenka will face off against Su Wei Hsieh, the WTA No. 33. Hsieh had a solid 2019 season, posting a 23-16 record on the hard courts. Her crafty style of play can be tough to play against, and there are a few weak spots on her game. Hsieh’s first match of 2020 was a blowout loss to Anett Kontaveit, double faulting at a 10% rate while winning just 45% of service points. The poor serve is what prevents her from being a top-10 player, and I think Sabalenka will take full advantage of it.
Elena Rybakina (DraftKings $9,300; FanDuel N/A)
Elena Rybakina had an outstanding 2019 season, as she absolutely skyrocketed up the WTA rankings. Rybakina started the season as the world No. 192, and now she’s sitting in the 36th spot. She was 37-14 on the year in WTA tour matches, including seven wins against top-60 players. Rybakina’s play style fits best on the clay courts but she’s shown that it can work on the hard courts as well. She’s taken down three top-50 players so far in 2020, while reaching the final in Shenzhen.
Rybakina has a first-round meeting with Tamara Zidansek, the WTA No. 64 from Slovenia. Zidansek had a poor 2019 hard court season, with a 6-14 record on the surface. She won her first match this year, but the stats did not improve. In her lone two matches of 2020, Zidansek has lost 11 service games while winning only 47% of all service points. She failed to get a single break opportunity in her last match against Jessica Pegula, and I see that being an issue today. I’m rolling with Rybakina for tennis DFS.
Alison Van Uytvanck (DraftKings $8,200; FanDuel N/A)
Alison Van Uytvanck had a stellar 2019 season, as she took down titles in both Budapest and Tashkent. The Belgian is probably one of the most underrated players in the top 50, but when she’s on, her game she can compete with anyone. She won 66% of first serve points on hard court last year while serving aces at a 10% rate on occasion. We haven’t seen her play yet this year in singles, but Van Uytvanck did make a deep run in Auckland last week in doubles.
Van Uytvanck will go up against Alize Cornet, the WTA No. 57 from France. Cornet was solid on the hard courts in 2019, with a 16-14 record. She managed to get back-to-back wins only five times and won only three matches against top-50 players. Cornet is 2-1 in 2020, but she has not been dominant especially on the service end. She faced 29 break points in those three matches, losing 12 of them. I think Van Uytvanck is an all around better player at the moment on this surface, so I’m picking her as a somewhat cheap tennis DFS play today.
Possible upset/value plays: Alexander Bublik (DraftKings $7,000; FanDuel N/A)
You never know what you’re going to get with Alexander Bublik, but the talent is definitely there. Bublik plays a bit like Nick Kyrgios with a massive serve and a ruthless yet unmotivated attitude on occasion. He is 2-1 to start the 2020 season, firing down aces at an 18% rate while winning 79% of first serve points. The double faults creep up often which is an issue especially in tennis DFS, but it’s worth a shot at this price point for today.
Bublik will face off against Dan Evans, the ATP No. 33. Evans is coming off of an exceptional week at the ATP Cup. He was 3-1 at the competition while taking down both David Goffin and Alex de Minaur in impressive fashion. The ATP No. 42 was striking the ball with all sorts of varieties, and he proved to be a top player on the tour. However, he has not had success against Bublik. Bublik owns the head to head record 2-0 with both wins coming in 2019 on hard courts. Evans is playing some solid tennis right now, but Bublik has his number.
Best of luck!