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Tennis DFS Picks: Andrey Rublev and John Isner, DraftKings, January 16 (FREE)




Tennis DFS Picks & Expert Predictions Today for Miami Open 3/25/22

We’re into day five of this week’s tennis action and we have a ton of top talent to breakdown. The fifth and final slate of this tennis DFS week has eight matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We have thoughts on Andrey Rublev and John Isner, so let’s dive in.

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Elena Rybakina (DraftKings $9,200; FanDuel N/A)

Elena Rybakina had an outstanding 2019 season, as she absolutely skyrocketed up the WTA rankings. Rybakina started the season as the world No. 192, and now she’s sitting in the 36th spot. She was 37-14 on the year in WTA tour matches, including seven wins against top-60 players. Rybakina’s play style fits best on the clay courts but she’s shown that it can work on the hard courts as well. She’s taken down four top-50 players so far in 2020, while reaching the final in Shenzhen.

Rybakina will face off against Heather Watson, the WTA No. 101 from Great Britain. Watson has had an outstanding week so far in Hobart, winning five matches while dropping just two sets. Her last match was a three set win over the No. 1 seed Elise Mertens, but it wasn’t an impressive night stats wise. Watson won just 53% of all service points while facing a total of 17 break point chances. If Rybakina can hold her own on serve, I think she can run away with this match.

Andrey Rublev (DraftKings $9,000; FanDuel N/A)

Andrey Rublev continues to be one of the more underrated players on the ATP tour and to the Vegas bookmakers. The young Russian is 18-2 in his last 20 matches, including title wins in both Moscow and Doha this past week. Rublev is yet to lose a set in 2020, and no one has gotten close to making it a competitive match. He’s winning 85% of first serve points this year and he’s broken his opponent’s serve 21 times. At this rate, I’d take him to beat anyone outside of the top three.

Rublev has a meeting with Felix Auger Aliassime, the ATP No. 22 from Canada. Felix had an absolutely dreadful week at the ATP this past week, getting dismantled by both Jan Lennard Struff and Dusan Lajovic. While he’s 2-0 this week and posting some impressive serving numbers, the level of competition has not matched what he had to face last week. Aliassime blew by two Australian qualifiers this week in straight sets, but Rublev is on a different level. The young Canadian is far too inconsistent for me to back, and I think Rublev can end this match quickly.

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John Isner (DraftKings $8,100; FanDuel N/A)

John Isner is always the chalk of every tennis DFS slate, but for good reason. Isner is the best server that the game of tennis has ever seen, firing down aces at a 28% rate in 2019. He managed to hold serve 94% of the time, and it becomes extremely frustrating for opponents to handle as the match goes on. While he went 0-3 at the ATP Cup last week, he turned on the jets in his matches this week. Isner is winning 80% of first serve points so far in this tournament while serving 41 aces.

Isner will go up against Ugo Humbert, the ATP No. 55 from France. Humbert is one of the up and coming stars of the next gen, and he’s shown why this week. He took down an in-form Denis Shapovalov in straight sets last night, winning 86% of first serve points while saving every break point he faced. However, it is so tough to play against Isner when he’s serving out of his mind. Isner took down Humbert in three sets back in July, and I expect the same outcome today.

Possible upset/value plays: Dayana Yastremska (DraftKings $7,200; FanDuel N/A)

Dayana Yastremska had an impressive 2019 season on the hard courts, posting a 26-15 record while capturing a title in Hua Hin. The WTA No. 24 has a lot of potential to move up the rankings this year, and she’s already shown signs of breaking out here in 2020. Yastremska hasn’t dropped a set this week while taking out both Angelique Kerber and Donna Vekic fairly easily. She’s winning 80% of first serve points while dropping only two service games, which is extremely low for WTA players. 

Yastremska is going up against Aryna Sabalenka, the WTA No. 12 from Belarus. Sabalenka is one of the best players on the tour when she’s on her game, but she’s a bit too erratic to get to that spot. She has a “swinging for the fences” play style that either goes great or ends in disaster. Sabalenka has won 15 out of her last 17 matches, so it seems to be working, and she’s dropped just one set this week. However, she is 0-2 against Yastremska including a straight set loss back in May on clay courts. They’re both aggressive players and it could come down to a single point, but I’ll take the value.

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Best of luck!

Twitter: @CMGCaleb_

Caleb contributes to the tennis coverage at, providing analysis and picks for some of the top tennis tournaments. Though he specializes in DraftKings' tennis offerings, Caleb's analysis extends to everywhere wise enough to offer tennis daily fantasy sports to the masses. You can contact Caleb by emailing [email protected].

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