We’re into Day Three of this tennis DFS week, and we have a ton of top talent to breakdown. The third slate of this tennis DFS week has 14 matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We have thoughts on Rafael Nadal and Stan Wawrinka, so let’s dive in.
Rafael Nadal (DraftKings $10,400; FanDuel N/A)
Rafael Nadal has been the best player on the planet in 2019 with a 47-6 record. He’s lost just one match since early May, which came on a grass court. The world number two captured the U.S. Open title two months ago, and he hasn’t played a match since. The only player that will give Nadal fits this week is Novak Djokovic, so I’d consider Nadal to be a lock against anyone up until they meet up.
Nadal will go up against Adrian Mannarino, the ATP world number 43 from France. Mannarino has had a somewhat impressive Asia hard court swing with an 9-5 record. He reached the finals in both Zhuhai and Moscow, flying under the radar in almost every match. Mannarino showed his dominance on the indoor courts in Moscow by winning every match in straight sets prior to his finals defeat. However, Nadal will be too much to handle in this one, and he is an easy pick for Tennis DFS.
Stan Wawrinka (DraftKings $8,500; FanDuel N/A)
Stan Wawrinka is back in action after having a stellar tournament at the U.S. Open. Wawrinka gave Djokovic a straight-set beatdown before falling short to eventual finalist Daniil Medvedev. Wawrinka reached the finals in Antwerp two weeks ago, and arguably played his best tennis all year. He then backed that up with a quarterfinal appearance in Basel before he withdrew due to injury. I don’t think the injury is anything to worry about, however, as he probably just tweaked something and didn’t want to risk it against Roger Federer.
Wawrinka has a second-round meeting against Marin Cilic, the ATP world number 24 from Croatia. Cilic remains on my blacklist for the time being, and for good reason. He is 15-12 on the hard courts this year, but he has looked just flat out awful at times. He’s lost four out of his last seven matches coming into this match, and the head to head record is not in Marin’s favor. Wawrinka is 12-2 against Cilic, winning the last eight. I’d be willing to take a 90% health Wawrinka over Cilic for Tennis DFS at this rate.
Alex de Minaur (DraftKings $7,900; FanDuel N/A)
Alex de Minaur has been one of the most consistent hard court players this year with a 30-11 record. He’s captured three titles so far, including one last month in Zhuhai. de Minaur is coming off of a finals run in Basel this past week where he fell short to Federer. His defense is one of the best on the tour, which makes de Minaur a tough out for anyone. The young Australian is looking to add another title to his short career, and it’ll take a top player to take him down.
Alex will go up against Roberto Bautista Agut, the ATP world number 10. Bautista Agut has been stellar on hard court this year with a 25-11 record. He’s reached seven quarterfinals and has just one loss against a non-top-50 player. The Spaniard had a somewhat decent week last week, winning 83% of first serve points while dropping four service games. However, this matchup is terrible for him. Bautista Agut does not have a great second serve, and it showed last time these two played. de Minaur took Bautista Agut down 6-2, 6-2 one month ago and I expect another win today.
Possible upset/value plays: Milos Raonic (DraftKings $6,500; FanDuel N/A)
Milos Raonic has had his fair share of injury problems over the last few years. The former world number three has played just 33 matches this year with a 22-11 record. The Canadian is known for his massive serve, but he’s actually starting to develop a solid baseline game to add to it. His first match this week was impressive to say the least, as Raonic fired down aces at a 34% rate while losing just six points on serve.
Roanic has a meeting with Dominic Thiem, the ATP world number five from Austria. Thiem has played some excellent tennis over the last few weeks with a 12-1 record. He captured the title in both Beijing and Vienna, while taking down two top-10 players along the way. However, Thiem’s serve was a bit rusty in his last two matches last week. He lost eight service games against two top players and he can’t afford to do that against Raonic. I’m rolling with the Canadian to pull it out in two tight sets and to pay off for Tennis DFS.
Best of luck!