We are getting into the final rounds of this week’s tournaments, and some of the top players in tennis will be in action today. The Friday main slate of this tennis DFS week has 8 matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We’ve got thoughts on Daniil Medvedev and Karolina Muchova, so let’s dive in.
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Daniil Medvedev (DraftKings $10,200; FanDuel N/A)
Daniil Medvedev is coming off of the best major result of his career, as he fell short to Rafael Nadal in a five set marathon grand final. He has been the best player on the ATP tour since the end of Wimbledon, with a 22-3 record while reaching four straight finals, and he’s about to make it a fifth. He has played so much tennis over the last two months and he refuses to take a break, the guy is a robot. Medvedev is the clear favorite to win this tournament, and I don’t see anyone stopping him in these last two rounds.
Medvedev has a semifinal matchup against Egor Gerasimov, the ATP world number 119. Egor has played the best tournament of his career this week, dropping just one set in his five matches. He took down the ATP world number 13 Matteo Berrettini in straight sets, and he has to be loaded with confidence. Egor didn’t drop a service game in the match while winning 85% of first serve points. However, Medvedev is just simply unstoppable right now. Medvedev defeated Gerasimov in October, and I expect the same result here.
Karolina Muchova (DraftKings $9,200; FanDuel N/A)
Karolina Muchova has played some excellent hard court tennis in 2019, with a 20-7 record on the surface. This is her first semifinal on a hard court this year and she is the clear favorite to take it down. Muchova has been flawless over his last two matches, winning 79% of first serve points while not dropping a service game. The Czech has the level of play to crack the top 25, and I think she will within the next few weeks.
Muchova is up against Yafan Wang, the WTA world number 58 from China. Wang had a bit of a skid on the hard courts before this tournament, losing seven out of her last 10 matches. However she has picked it back up this week, as she’s dropped just one set on her way to the semifinals. She’s winning 67% of all service points while dropping six service games in total, and Muchova will be her toughest test yet by far. I’m rolling with the in-form Muchova to win in straight sets.
Borna Coric (DraftKings $8,500; FanDuel N/A)
Borna Coric has been a mess as of late to say the least, facing all kinds of injury problems. Coric is 13-7 on the hard surfaces in 2019, while reaching three quarterfinals. It’s been about a year since we’ve seen Coric at his top level, and I think his draw this week could get him back to that top shape. He beat Marton Fucsovics in three sets to start off the week and backed it up with a comeback win against Casper Ruud. If he can get into the finals, I think he’ll give Medvedev a run for his money if they end up meeting.
Coric has a semifinal matchup again Joao Sousa, the ATP world number 64 from Portugal. Sousa has had a solid week this week, winning all three matches while dropping just two service games. He was on a brutal losing streak before this tournament, and I’m just not sold on his level of play. He did defeat an out-of-sorts Karen Khachanov in straight sets, but he’s yet to play a solid, consistent player. Sousa isn’t known for his hard court game, and I think if Coric is at his best, he can handle Sousa easily. I think Coric edges this out in two close sets.
Possible upset/value plays: Yulia Putintseva (DraftKings $6,400; FanDuel N/A)
Yulia Putintseva has had a solid hard court year in 2019, with an 18-14 record while reaching two quarterfinals. She’s yet to drop a set this week while winning 74% of first serve points. Putintseva has dropped five service games, but her return game has been outstanding. She’s converted on 11 break points in two matches, and I think more will come her way in this match. Yulia isn’t the most consistent player on the WTA tour, but she does seem to have success against certain players.
Putintseva will go up against Naomi Osaka, the WTA world number four from Japan. Osaka is one of the best hard court players on the tour, with a 20-7 record in 2019. She took down the Australian Open title in January, but her game has dipped a bit since then. Osaka showed signs of struggle in her first match as she lost three service games, and I know she’s not looking forward to playing against Yulia. Putintseva has Osaka’s number, as she owns a 3-0 record against Naomi including a hard court match last year. Putintseva won all three matches in straight sets, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see the same result.
Best of luck!