Today’s slate got an upgrade from the last few, with DraftKings including 18 matches across three tournaments — all on clay. Notably, the WTA event in Madrid is carrying a lot more of the top 50 players in the world than either of the men’s events so ownership could be skewed a bit in the favor of the ATP matches. There is $5,000 up for grabs, so let’s get into some DraftKings tennis DFS picks for Thursday, April 29.
Be sure to check out Awesemo’s expert projections to find the best values and overall plays on the slate.
DraftKings Tennis DFS Picks | April 29
Denis Shapovalov ($9,200)
Opponent: Corentin Moutet
As mentioned up top, men’s matches may go under-owned with tighter odds and lesser names matching up. Denis Shapovalov is definitely not a small name on the circuit but still is buried nicely down in the player pool below many other big names that players will have to scroll by. Clay is absolutely not the preferred surface for Shapovalov, as he carries a Domination Rating of just 0.99 (1.05 on hard), but in his defense, he is often’ playing in large-field tournaments with stiff competition. Clay neutralizes his dominant service game, reducing his first-serve percentages approximately 10% across the board. This means he has to rely much more on his movement and shot making, which can be inconsistent at times. Thankfully, he gets a very inconsistent opponent in Corentin Moutet, who has not fared well on clay either. Moutet is just 12-18 for his career, with service and points-in -lay metrics lower than Shapovalov across the board.
At just $9,200, gamers could do a whole lot worse than the 14th-ranked player on tour facing a far inferior opponent.
Paula Badosa ($7,400)
Opponent: Barbora Krejcikova
Paula Badosa is never a comfortable play, but as an underpriced dog, it is tough to pass her up today. Though facing Barbora Krejcikova is no easy task for any player, with Badosa’s price and odds, she makes for a very nice play in all formats. Krejcikova’s matches are often drawn out, giving her opponents opportunities to score.
Badosa looked great in Charleston, defeating Ashleigh Barty before she got beat by the red-hot Veronika Kudermetova. With an advantage for her career on clay, and per the Elo Ratings, she should come away victorious if she can keep double faults under control.
Others: Veronika Kudermetova, Tamara Zidansek
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