I had a good day 6 of tennis DFS. All our picks hit and our fades worked out as well. Karolina Muchova had the sweep, but it was an ugly win. Elise Mertens and Maria Sakkari both won in sweeps as well, scoring well over 70 DraftKings points. Our upset pick, Tsvetana Pironkova, smashed, scoring 80 DraftKings points. The Alex de Minaur fade worked out, as he went five sets and scored only 64 DraftKings points. It is time for a new day of tennis, so lets see if we can go 5-for-5 again and remain perfect for the weekend. Lets get right into the picks for U.S. Open Tennis DFS day 7.
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Tennis DFS Picks | DraftKings
Jennifer Brady ($8,600)
Opponent: Angelique Kerber
Odds to win: -205
I love these two players, and they’ve both been dominant this tournament, but I must choose one. Brady has been the more dominant of the two, and the way she’s playing I wouldn’t be surprised if she makes a run all the way to the finals. This year Brady is 12-5 on the hard surface while Kerber is 7-3. Brady also performed better than Kerber last year.
So far this tournament, Brady’s first serve won percentage has been hovering around 74% compared to Kerber’s 65%. Kerber has been double faulting at a higher rate and has more unforced errors so far than Brady. Mistakes against a player like Brady will be capitalized on quickly. I expect Brady to win in three sets.
Naomi Osaka ($8,700)
Opponent: Anett Kontaveit
Odds to win: -205
Osaka is the favorite to win and has been great on hard courts this year, posting a 12-2 record compared to Kontaveit’s 14-6. But I’m not picking Osaka because she’s the favorite, but because of how she has been winning recently. Osaka, the former world No. 1, has a winning history against Kontaveit, leading the head-to-head 4-0 with three of those wins on the hard surface. This tournament Osaka is averaging a higher first serve won percentage while Kontaveit has fewer unforced errors and double faults. I expect Osaka to increase her record against Kontaveit to 5-0 and win in three sets.
Shelby Rogers ($6,000)
Opponent: Petra Kvitova
Odds to win: +235
Rogers has been playing really well this tournament, winning all her matches in two sets. Kvitova has also been playing well and has won all her matches in sweeps ,but these two have history, with Rogers defeating Kvitova in three sets, two of which were clean sets. A clean set in tennis is rare, and for someone to have two over another player is as dominant as it gets.
Kvitova has a slight advantage in first serve won percentage, and Rogers has the advantage in second serve won percentage. Kvitova tends to have more unforced errors, and I expect Rogers to take advantage of this and win in three sets.
Borna Coric ($8,300)
Opponent: Jordan Thompson
Odds to win: -178
Coric has been good so far this tournament but tends to make a lot of mistakes that his opponents don’t capitalize on. I considered picking Thompson as my upset pick because he’s been that good and has stats to justify being a legit threat to upset. Thompson currently is averaging fewer double faults and a higher first serve won percentage than Coric. Coric, in his last three-set match, had 35 unforced errors, which is quite high for just three sets, especially considering in the same tournament he had a fiver-setter with only seven unforced errors. This inconsistency will eventually be taken advantage of. I expect this match to go five sets.
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