We went 3-1 with tennis DFS picks yesterday, hitting everything but the Borna Coric fade, as he decided to completely smash Jordan Thompson. Jennifer Brady had the sweep and beat Angelique Kerber in dominant fashion. Naomi Osaka beat Anett Kontaveit in straight sets without breaking a sweat. Our upset pick, Shelby Rogers got the win in one of the longest WTA matches so far this tournament.
It is time for a new day of tennis. Let’s see if we can end the day perfectly like we did on Friday! Here are picks for Tennis DFS picks for U.S. Open Day 8.
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Tennis DFS Picks: U.S. Open Day 8 DraftKings Picks | Sept. 7
Tennis DFS Pick: Serena Williams ($9,400)
Opponent: Maria Sakkari
Odds to win: -225
These two last met Aug. 25, with Sakkari winning in three sets. It was a close fought battle, but it seemed as if Williams gave up on the last set, losing 6-1. In their last match Williams won a higher percentage of her break points — 67% to Sakkari’s 26% — but Sakkari has the higher first serve won percentage. It really seemed as if Williams beat herself that match causing unforced errors and double faulting at a higher rate than Sakkari.
So far this tournament Williams has been hitting the ball at over 120 mph and averaging close to 10 aces per game. I think Williams in her current form should be able to beat Sakkari in straight sets.
Tennis DFS Pick: Sofia Kenin ($8,000)
Opponent: Elise Mertens
Odds to win: -152
Kenin has a great track record on the hard surface. She has already won two titles in 2020 compared to Mertens’ zero. These two have history, with Kenin leading their head-to-head 2-0. One of those wins came on the hard surface. They both have won all their matches in two sets, with Kenin being the more dominant of the two if you factor in the level of competition.
Kenin currently leads Mertens so far this tournament in first serve won percentage, second serve won percentage and has fewer unforced errors. This is Kenin’s match to lose, and I expect her to win in three sets.
Tennis DFS Pick: Matteo Berrettini ($7,800)
Opponent: Andrey Rublev
Odds to win: -148
Rublev is coming off of a dominant showing against Salvatore Caruso, the 100th-ranked player, and now he gets a matchup against No. 8 Berrettini. So far this tournament, Berrettini has had more unforced errors but fewer double faults than his opponents in every match and still has managed to win in straight sets.
Berrettini so far this tournament is averaging an 88% first serve won rate and a 63% second serve won rate compared to Rublev’s 84% and 49%. Berrettini is also averaging almost 16 aces per game, and if he keeps playing the way he currently is, I expect a four-set victory over Rublev.
Tennis DFS Pick: Tsvetana Pironkova ($6,000)
Opponent: Alize Cornet
Odds to win: +110
It looks like the line has been moving, and Pironkova is now becoming the slight favorite. Pironkova has been an absolute monster since returning, winning all her matches in straight sets. Cornet has had some matches go to three sets, and I would expect Pironkova to have the fresher legs.
Pironkova is winning almost 80% of her first serves and almost 54% of second serves compared to Cornet’s 69% and 48%. Pironkova should continue her trend and win in straight sets
DFS Tennis Pick: Dominic Thiem ($8,700)
Opponent: Felix Auger-Aliassime
Odds to win: -220
Auger-Aliassime has won two of his last three in straight sets and in dominant fashion. Thiem has been better so far this year on the hard surface, but the way Auger-Aliassime is playing right now, it can easily go five sets. Auger-Aliassime so far this tournament has a first serve won rate almost 10% higher than Thiem, and Auger-Aliassime also averages a higher second serve won percentage. I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if Auger-Aliassime somehow won this match, but definitely expect a five-set battle and low fantasy outputs.
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