The Dallas Cowboys and Tampa Bay Buccaneers kick off the 2021 NFL season at Raymond James Stadium at 8:20 p.m. ET for Week 1 Thursday Night Football. Rather than traditional DFS, No House Advantage brings gamers a different twist. The NHA platform offers props for various players at different point levels. The optimal way to go about winning your prop bets is by utilizing the Awesemo Player Props tool to find the biggest discrepancy between the No House Advantage prop and the tool itself. For the TNF game, let’s go over some NFL DFS advice and dive into some of the No House Advantage prop picks.
No House Advantage: Week 1 NFL Thursday Night Football
7 points: Dak Prescott Under 2.5 touchdowns
Prescott is projected to throw 1.77 touchdowns, with a median of 1.67. He has not played in a game since last October, as he has dealt with a few injuries. He threw nine touchdowns in five appearances, which equated to a career-low 4.1% of his passes last year. Moreover, Tampa returns a stout defense that loves to pressure the quarterback and only gave up 20 touchdowns (1.2 per game) through the air.
6 Points: Mike Evans Under 6.5 Receptions
Evans is projected to record 4.66 catches, with a median of 4.42. Evans is unquestionably the Buccaneers No. 1 receiver, but Brady has many options when he drops back. Plus, Evans is not the most reliable receiver, as he caught 64.2% of his targets last season, ninth on the team. Although, that is better than his career average of 56.4%. He had seven receptions in a game on just three occasions a season ago.
5 Points: Ronald Jones Over 45.5 Yards Rushing
While Jones is expected to split backfield duties with Leonard Fournette once again, there is enough confidence that he will surpass the 45.5-yard mark. Jones has a great matchup — the Cowboys surrendered an average of 5 yards per rushing attempt a year ago — and runs behind one of the best offensive lines in football. Jones is coming off a career season, as he averaged 5.1 yards per carry, including going 2 yards before first contact on over 13 attempts per game. Jones is projected to finish with 55.1 yards and ran for more than 50 yards in nine of his 14 games in 2020.
4 Points: Michael Gallup Under 68.5 Yards Receiving
Gallup is projected to record 52.9 yards receiving, with a median of 50.1. Gallup is Dallas’ deep threat, which could be a problem given Prescott has not played since early last season. Gallup failed to top 60 yards in three of the five games that Prescott was behind center last season. He finished the season with 3.7 receptions and over 52 yards a game.
3 Points: Rob Gronkowski Under 3.5 Receptions
Gronkowski is slated to finish the game with 2.6 catches, and the median is set at 2.49. The Buccaneers have many options this year, but this affects Gronkowski the most, as O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate are back. Moreover, Gronkowski only caught 58.4% of his targets last season, which was a career worst. In addition, Dallas was one of the best defenses against tight ends in 2020.
2 Points: Antonio Brown Over 4.5 Receptions
Brown is projected to catch 5.31 passes tonight, with a median of 5.04. Brady will throw the ball between 60 and 65% of the time, and with an estimate of 64 snaps for the Buccaneers, that means that he will likely throw 40 times. Brown finished third in receptions (45) despite only playing in eight games and being on the field for less than 50% of the snaps on four occasions. He seems to have an excellent rapport with Brady, as he caught 72.6% of his nearly eight targets last year.
1 Points: Ezekiel Elliott Under 70.5 Yards Rushing
Elliott is projected to total 64.9 yards on the ground, with a median of 61.6. Elliott is coming off the worst season of his career, and he will not have Zack Martin to run behind. Tampa was also the best in the NFL against the run, as the Buccaneers allowed a league-best 3.6 yards per carry.
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